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This article studies asymptotic approximations of ruin probabilities of multivariate random walks with heavy-tailed increments. Under our assumptions, the distributions of the increments are closely connected to multivariate…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Miriam Hägele

We present sharp tail asymptotics for the density and the distribution function of linear combinations of correlated log-normal random variables, that is, exponentials of components of a correlated Gaussian vector. The asymptotic behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Archil Gulisashvili , Peter Tankov

We consider implied volatilities in asset pricing models, where the discounted underlying is a strict local martingale under the pricing measure. Our main result gives an asymptotic expansion of the right wing of the implied volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-19 Antoine Jacquier , Martin Keller-Ressel

Using Trades and Quotes data from the Paris stock market, we show that the random walk nature of traded prices results from a very delicate interplay between two opposite tendencies: long-range correlated market orders that lead to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Yuval Gefen , Marc Potters , Matthieu Wyart

Anomalous diffusions arise as scaling limits of continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) whose innovation times are distributed according to a power law. The impact of a non-exponential waiting time does not vanish with time and leads to…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-13 Antoine Jacquier , Lorenzo Torricelli

We study sufficient conditions for local asymptotic mixed normality. We weaken the sufficient conditions in Theorem 1 of Jeganathan (Sankhya Ser. A 1982) so that they can be applied to a wider class of statistical models including a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Teppei Ogihara , Yuma Uehara

We provide Large Deviation estimates for the bridge of a $d$-dimensional general diffusion process as the conditioning time tends to $0$ and apply these results to the evaluation of the asymptotics of its exit time probabilities. We are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-19 Paolo Baldi , Lucia Caramellino , Maurizia Rossi

In this paper, we consider a one-dimensional diffusion process with jumps driven by a Hawkes process. We are interested in the estimations of the volatility function and of the jump function from discrete high-frequency observations in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-28 Chiara Amorino , Charlotte Dion , Arnaud Gloter , Sarah Lemler

We work under the A\"{\i}d\'{e}kon-Chen conditions which ensure that the derivative martingale in a supercritical branching random walk on the line converges almost surely to a nondegenerate nonnegative random variable that we denote by…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-14 Dariusz Buraczewski , Alexander Iksanov , Bastien Mallein

We study conditions under which $P(S_\tau>x)\sim P(M_\tau>x)\sim E\tau P(\xi_1>x)$ as $x\to\infty$, where $S_\tau$ is a sum $\xi_1+...+\xi_\tau$ of random size $\tau$ and $M_\tau$ is a maximum of partial sums $M_\tau=\max_{n\le\tau}S_n$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-29 Denis Denisov , Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov

We derive the asymptotic distribution of ordinal-pattern frequencies under weak dependence conditions and investigate the long-run covariance matrix not only analytically for moving-average, Gaussian, and the novel generalized coin-tossing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Angelika Silbernagel , Christian Weiß

Asymptotic laws of records values have usually been investigated as limits in type. In this paper, we use functional representations of the tail of cumulative distribution functions in the extreme value domain of attraction to directly…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-13 Gane Samb Lo , Mohammad ahsanullah

We study the fair strike of a discrete variance swap for a general time-homogeneous stochastic volatility model. In the special cases of Heston, Hull-White and Schobel-Zhu stochastic volatility models we give simple explicit expressions…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-03 Carole Bernard , Zhenyu Cui

We consider a model for chaotic diffusion with amplification on graphs associated with piecewise-linear maps of the interval [S. Lepri, Chaos Solitons & Fractals, 139,110003 (2020)]. We determine the conditions for having fat-tailed…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-01-19 Stefano Lepri

This paper investigates short-term behaviors of implied volatility of derivatives written on indexes in equity markets when the index processes are constructed by using a ranking procedure. Even in simple market settings where stock prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-11 Huy N. Chau , Duy Nguyen , Thai Nguyen

We study the tail asymptotics of the sum of two heavy-tailed random variables. The dependence structure is modeled by copulas with the so-called tail order property. Examples are presented to illustrate the approach. Further for each…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-15 Fan Yang , Yi Zhang

In this paper we revisited the classical problem of max-sum equivalence of randomly weighted sums in two dimensions. In opposite to the most papers in literature, we consider that there exists some interdependence between the primary random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

In this paper, we study stochastic volatility models in regimes where the maturity is small, but large compared to the mean-reversion time of the stochastic volatility factor. The problem falls in the class of averaging/homogenization…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-22 Jin Feng , Jean-Pierre Fouque , Rohini Kumar

We extend the Bismut-Elworthy-Li formula to non-degenerate jump diffusions and "payoff" functions depending on the process at multiple future times. In the spirit of Fournie et al [13] and Davis and Johansson [9] this can improve Monte…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 T. R. Cass , P. K. Friz

We consider the moderate deviations behaviors for two (co-) volatility estima-tors: generalised bipower variation, Hayashi-Yoshida estimator. The results are obtained by using a new result about the moderate deviations principle for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Hacène Djellout , Arnaud Guillin , Hui Jiang , Yacouba Samoura