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The advent of the era of big data provides new ideas for financial distress prediction. In order to evaluate the financial status of listed companies more accurately, this study establishes a financial distress prediction indicator system…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-22 Yi Ding , Chun Yan

Time series analysis is the process of building a model using statistical techniques to represent characteristics of time series data. Processing and forecasting huge time series data is a challenging task. This paper presents Approximation…

In the complex landscape of multivariate time series forecasting, achieving both accuracy and interpretability remains a significant challenge. This paper introduces the Fuzzy Transformer (Fuzzformer), a novel recurrent neural network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Miha Ožbot , Igor Škrjanc , Vitomir Štruc

We present a systematic trading framework that forecasts short-horizon market risk, identifies its underlying drivers, and generates alpha using a hybrid machine learning ensemble built to trade on the resulting signal. The framework…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-28 Aryan Ranjan

As the number of publicly traded companies as well as the amount of their financial data grows rapidly, it is highly desired to have tracking, analysis, and eventually stock selections automated. There have been few works focusing on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-04 Sercan Arik , Sukru Burc Eryilmaz , Adam Goldberg

Despite numerous research efforts in applying deep learning to time series forecasting, achieving high accuracy in multi-step predictions for volatile time series like crude oil prices remains a significant challenge. Moreover, most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Mohammed Alruqimi , Luca Di Persio

There are many different nature-inspired algorithms in the literature, and almost all such algorithms have algorithm-dependent parameters that need to be tuned. The proper setting and parameter tuning should be carried out to maximize the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-29 Geethu Joy , Christian Huyck , Xin-She Yang

In this paper, we develop a new approach to the very short-term point forecasting of electricity prices in the continuous market. It is based on the Support Vector Regression with a kernel correction built on additional forecast of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-26 Andrzej Puć , Joanna Janczura

The endeavor of stock trend forecasting is principally focused on predicting the future trajectory of the stock market, utilizing either manual or technical methodologies to optimize profitability. Recent advancements in machine learning…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Mingjie Wang , Juanxi Tian , Mingze Zhang , Jianxiong Guo , Weijia Jia

Forecasting financial time series is considered to be a difficult task due to the chaotic feature of the series. Statistical approaches have shown solid results in some specific problems such as predicting market direction and single-price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-05 Angelo Garangau Menezes , Saulo Martiello Mastelini

One of the most important studies in finance is to find out whether stock returns could be predicted. This research aims to create a new multivariate model, which includes dividend yield, earnings-to-price ratio, book-to-market ratio as…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-06 Jianying Xie

Data mining methods have been widely applied in financial markets, with the purpose of providing suitable tools for prices forecasting and automatic trading. Particularly, learning methods aim to identify patterns in time series and, based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-01-22 Marcelo S. Lauretto , Barbara B. C. Silva , Pablo M. Andrade

In this work, we apply machine learning techniques to historical stock prices to forecast future prices. To achieve this, we use recursive approaches that are appropriate for handling time series data. In particular, we apply a linear…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-08 Ogulcan E. Orsel , Sasha S. Yamada

Performance forecasting is an age-old problem in economics and finance. Recently, developments in machine learning and neural networks have given rise to non-linear time series models that provide modern and promising alternatives to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Carmina Fjellström

Stock price prediction has been an important research theme both academically and practically. Various methods to predict stock prices have been studied until now. The feature that explains the stock price by a cross-section analysis is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-21 Masaya Abe , Kei Nakagawa

Stock price prediction remains a complex and high-stakes task in financial analysis, traditionally addressed using statistical models or, more recently, language models. In this work, we introduce VISTA (Vision-Language Inference for Stock…

Symbolic regression (SR) searches for analytical expressions representing the relationship between a set of explanatory and response variables. Current SR methods assume a single dataset extracted from a single experiment. Nevertheless,…

Stock price prediction is influenced by a variety of factors, including technical indicators, which makes Feature selection crucial for identifying the most relevant predictors. This study examines the impact of feature selection on stock…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-17 Fatemeh Moodi , Amir Jahangard-Rafsanjani

In order to make good investment decisions, it is vitally important for an investor to know how to make good analysis of financial time series. Within this context, studies on the forecast of the values and trends of stock prices have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 Gabriel de Oliveira Guedes Nogueira , Marcel Otoboni de Lima

Predicting trends in stock market prices has been an area of interest for researchers for many years due to its complex and dynamic nature. Intrinsic volatility in stock market across the globe makes the task of prediction challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Luckyson Khaidem , Snehanshu Saha , Sudeepa Roy Dey