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Mathematical modelling is ubiquitous in the financial industry and drives key decision processes. Any given model provides only a crude approximation to reality and the risk of using an inadequate model is hard to detect and quantify. By…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-09 Patryk Gierjatowicz , Marc Sabate-Vidales , David Šiška , Lukasz Szpruch , Žan Žurič

We derive explicit valuation formulae for an exotic path-dependent interest rate derivative, namely an option on the composition of LIBOR rates. The formulae are based on Fourier transform methods for option pricing. We consider two models…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-26 Wolfgang Kluge , Antonis Papapantoleon

One of the most enticing research areas is the stock market, and projecting stock prices may help investors profit by making the best decisions at the correct time. Deep learning strategies have emerged as a critical technique in the field…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Karan Pardeshi , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Ahmed M. Abdelmoniem

We propose a new model for electricity pricing based on the price cap principle. The particularity of the model is that the asset price is an exponential functional of a jump L\'evy process. This model can capture both mean reversion and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-27 Martin Kegnenlezom , Patrice Takam Soh , Antoine-Marie Bogso , Yves Emvudu Wono

In this paper we propose an efficient method to compute the price of multi-asset American options, based on Machine Learning, Monte Carlo simulations and variance reduction technique. Specifically, the options we consider are written on a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-04 Ludovic Goudenège , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

We propose a probabilistic framework for pricing derivatives, which acknowledges that information and beliefs are subjective. Market prices can be translated into implied probabilities. In particular, futures imply returns for these implied…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-12 Ulrich Kirchner

Consider the following toy problem. There are $m$ rectangles and $n$ points on the plane. Each rectangle $R$ is a consumer with budget $B_R$, who is interested in purchasing the cheapest item (point) inside R, given that she has enough…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-07-25 Parinya Chalermsook , Khaled Elbassioni , Danupon Nanongkai , He Sun

New theoretical approaches about forecasting stock markets are proposed. A mathematization of the stock market in terms of arithmetical relations is given, where some simple (non-differential, non-fractal) expressions are also suggested as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-10 Caglar Tuncay

We introduce a novel approach to options trading strategies using a highly scalable and data-driven machine learning algorithm. In contrast to traditional approaches that often require specifications of underlying market dynamics or…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Wee Ling Tan , Stephen Roberts , Stefan Zohren

The classical derivation of the well-known Vasicek model for interest rates is reformulated in terms of the associated pricing kernel. An advantage of the pricing kernel method is that it allows one to generalize the construction to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-04 Dorje C. Brody , Lane P. Hughston , David M. Meier

We prove a large deviations principle for the class of multidimensional affine stochastic volatility models considered in (Gourieroux, C. and Sufana, R., J. Bus. Econ. Stat., 28(3), 2010), where the volatility matrix is modelled by a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-20 Aurélien Alfonsi , David Krief , Peter Tankov

Advertisement (abbreviated ad) options are a recent development in online advertising. Simply, an ad option is a first look contract in which a publisher or search engine grants an advertiser a right but not obligation to enter into…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-12-11 Bowei Chen , Jun Wang

Option pricing is the most elemental challenge of mathematical finance. Knowledge of the prices of options at every strike is equivalent to knowing the entire pricing distribution for a security, as derivatives contingent on the security…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-03 Paul McCloud

We introduce a new model of financial market with stochastic volatility driven by an arbitrary H\"older continuous Gaussian Volterra process. The distinguishing feature of the model is the form of the volatility equation which ensures the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-16 Giulia Di Nunno , Yuliya Mishura , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

In this article we develop an explicit formula for pricing European options when the underlying stock price follows a non-linear stochastic differential delay equation (sdde). We believe that the proposed model is sufficiently flexible to…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Mercedes Arriojas , Yaozhong Hu , Salah-Eldin Mohammed , Gyula Pap

Convergence (virtual) bidding is an important part of two-settlement electric power markets as it can effectively reduce discrepancies between the day-ahead and real-time markets. Consequently, there is extensive research into the bidding…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-09 Letif Mones , Sean Lovett

The relationship between demand and prices of a set of products can be modeled as a linear mapping from logarithmic price changes to logarithmic changes in demand. We consider the problem of estimating the coefficient matrix of this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Maximilian Schaller , Stephen Boyd

We propose a class of Markovian agent based models for the time evolution of a share price in an interactive market. The models rely on a microscopic description of a market of buyers and sellers who change their opinion about the stock…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Anton Bovier , Jiri Cerny , Ostap Hryniv

Building on ideas from online convex optimization, we propose a general framework for the design of efficient securities markets over very large outcome spaces. The challenge here is computational. In a complete market, in which one…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2010-11-10 Jacob Abernethy , Yiling Chen , Jennifer Wortman Vaughan

We present a path integral method to derive closed-form solutions for option prices in a stochastic volatility model. The method is explained in detail for the pricing of a plain vanilla option. The flexibility of our approach is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 D. Lemmens , M. Wouters , J. Tempere , S. Foulon