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Related papers: Time series forecasting using neural networks

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Performance forecasting is an age-old problem in economics and finance. Recently, developments in machine learning and neural networks have given rise to non-linear time series models that provide modern and promising alternatives to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Carmina Fjellström

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are types of artificial neural networks (ANNs) that are well suited to forecasting and sequence classification. They have been applied extensively to forecasting univariate financial time series, however…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-19 Matthew F Dixon

Recent research demonstrate that prediction of time series by recurrent neural networks (RNNs) based on the noisy input generates a smooth anticipated trajectory. We examine the internal dynamics of RNNs and establish a set of conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Boris Rubinstein

In this paper, we use convolutional neural networks to address the problem of model identification for autoregressive moving average time series models. We compare the performance of several neural network architectures, trained on…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Wai Hoh Tang , Adrian Röllin

Crude oil is a major component in most advanced economies of the world. Accurately predicting and understanding the behavior of crude oil prices is important for economists, analysts, forecasters, and traders, to name a few. The price of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-26 Ganapathy S. Natarajan , Aishwarya Ashok

Though machine learning has been applied to the foreign exchange market for algorithmic trading for quiet some time now, and neural networks(NN) have been shown to yield positive results, in most modern approaches the NN systems are…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2012-01-31 Gene I. Sher

Time series forecasting is difficult. It is difficult even for recurrent neural networks with their inherent ability to learn sequentiality. This article presents a recurrent neural network based time series forecasting framework covering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-03 Gábor Petneházi

The prediction of stock and foreign exchange (Forex) had always been a hot and profitable area of study. Deep learning application had proven to yields better accuracy and return in the field of financial prediction and forecasting. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-18 Zexin Hu , Yiqi Zhao , Matloob Khushi

Forecasting time series data is an important subject in economics, business, and finance. Traditionally, there are several techniques to effectively forecast the next lag of time series data such as univariate Autoregressive (AR),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Sima Siami-Namini , Akbar Siami Namin

This paper describes recent development and test implementation of a continuous time recurrent neural network that has been configured to predict rates of change in securities. It presents outcomes in the context of popular technical…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-05 Christopher S Kirk

Accurate forecasting of exchange rates remains a persistent challenge, particularly for emerging economies such as Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRIC). These series exhibit long memory and nonlinearity that conventional time series…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-13 Tanujit Chakraborty , Donia Besher , Madhurima Panja , Shovon Sengupta

Optimal decision-making in social settings is often based on forecasts from time series (TS) data. Recently, several approaches using deep neural networks (DNNs) such as recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been introduced for TS…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Philippe Chatigny , Jean-Marc Patenaude , Shengrui Wang

Because of the rotational components on quantum circuits, some quantum neural networks based on variational circuits can be considered equivalent to the classical Fourier networks. In addition, they can be used to predict the Fourier…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-06-24 Ammar Daskin

Cyber-physical systems often consist of entities that interact with each other over time. Meanwhile, as part of the continued digitization of industrial processes, various sensor technologies are deployed that enable us to record…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-03 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Darius-Valer Micu , Gabriel-Marcel Muresan , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Neural activity forecasting is central to understanding neural systems and enabling closed-loop control. While deep learning has recently advanced the state-of-the-art in the time series forecasting literature, its application to neural…

Banks are interested in evaluating the risk of the financial distress before giving out a loan. Many researchers proposed the use of models based on the Neural Networks in order to help the banker better make a decision. The objective of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-19 Younes Boujelbène , Sihem Khemakhem

Time series forecasting is crucial for decision-making across various domains, particularly in financial markets where stock prices exhibit complex and non-linear behaviors. Accurately predicting future price movements is challenging due to…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-29 Tiantian Tu

New fast estimation methods stemming from control theory lead to a fresh look at time series, which bears some resemblance to "technical analysis". The results are applied to a typical object of financial engineering, namely the forecast of…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-23 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join

Accurate exchange rate prediction is fundamental to financial stability and international trade, positioning it as a critical focus in economic and financial research. Traditional forecasting models often falter when addressing the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Shuchen Meng , Andi Chen , Chihang Wang , Mengyao Zheng , Fangyu Wu , Xupeng Chen , Haowei Ni , Panfeng Li

Electricity prices strongly depend on seasonality of different time scales, therefore any forecasting of electricity prices has to account for it. Neural networks have proven successful in short-term price-forecasting, but complicated…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-03 Andreas Wagner , Enislay Ramentol , Florian Schirra , Hendrik Michaeli