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Ancestral graph models, introduced by Richardson and Spirtes (2002), generalize both Markov random fields and Bayesian networks to a class of graphs with a global Markov property that is closed under conditioning and marginalization. By…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-19 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

While unbiased machine learning models are essential for many applications, bias is a human-defined concept that can vary across tasks. Given only input-label pairs, algorithms may lack sufficient information to distinguish stable (causal)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Yujia Bao , Shiyu Chang , Regina Barzilay

In the present work, a simple algorithm for stabilizing an unknown linear time-invariant system is proposed, assuming only that this system is stabilizable. The suggested algorithm is based on first performing a partial identification of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-14 Dennis Gramlich , Christian Ebenbauer

In this paper, we first propose a filter-based continuous Ensemble Eddy Viscosity (EEV) model for stochastic turbulent flow problems. We then propose a generic algorithm for a family of fully discrete, grad-div regularized, efficient…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Brandiece N. Berry , Md Mahmudul Islam , Muhammad Mohebujjaman , Neethu Suma Raveendran

This work is concerned with the dynamics of a class of slow-fast stochastic dynamical systems with non-Gaussian stable L\'evy noise with a scale parameter. Slow manifolds with exponentially tracking property are constructed, eliminating the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Shenglan Yuan , Jianyu Hu , Xianming Liu , Jinqiao Duan

We propose the use of indirect inference estimation to conduct inference in complex locally stationary models. We develop a local indirect inference algorithm and establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator. Due to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-17 David Frazier , Bonsoo Koo

In this paper we study a family of nonlinear (conditional) expectations that can be understood as a stochastic process with uncertain parameters. We develop a general framework which can be seen as a version of the martingale problem method…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-04 David Criens

Robust estimators for linear regression require non-convex objective functions to shield against adverse affects of outliers. This non-convexity brings challenges, particularly when combined with penalization in high-dimensional settings.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-08 David Kepplinger , Siqi Wei

Graphical models have found widespread applications in many areas of modern statistics and machine learning. Iterative Proportional Fitting (IPF) and its variants have become the default method for undirected graphical model estimation, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Kshitij Khare , Syed Rahman , Bala Rajaratnam , Jiayuan Zhou

Modelling extreme events and heavy-tailed phenomena is central to building reliable predictive systems in domains such as finance, climate science, and safety-critical AI. While L\'evy processes provide a natural mathematical framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yaman Kindap , Manfred Opper , Benjamin Dupuis , Umut Simsekli , Tolga Birdal

We introduce a class of distributions originating from an exponential family and having a property related to the strict stability property. A characteristic function representation for this family is obtained and its properties are…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-11 Lev B. Klebanov , Grigory Temnov

We propose an observation-driven modeling framework that allows model parameters to vary over time through an implicit score-driven (ISD) update. The ISD update maximizes the logarithmic observation density with respect to the parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Rutger-Jan Lange , Bram van Os , Dick van Dijk

Feature selection is fundamental to robust data-centric AI, but most existing methods optimize predictive performance under a single data distribution. This often selects spurious features that fail under distribution shifts. Motivated by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Arun Vignesh Malarkkan , Xinyuan Wang , Kunpeng Liu , Denghui Zhang , Yanjie Fu

In this paper, we consider the task of designing a Kalman Filter (KF) for an unknown and partially observed autonomous linear time invariant system driven by process and sensor noise. To do so, we propose studying the following two step…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-14 Anastasios Tsiamis , Nikolai Matni , George J. Pappas

We consider the problem of stochastic optimal control in the presence of an unknown disturbance. We characterize the disturbance via empirical characteristic functions, and employ a chance constrained approach. By exploiting properties of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Vignesh Sivaramakrishnan , Meeko M. K. Oishi

We present a true-dynamics-agnostic, statistically rigorous framework for establishing exponential stability and safety guarantees of closed-loop, data-driven nonlinear control. Central to our approach is the novel concept of conformal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-12 Ting-Wei Hsu , Hiroyasu Tsukamoto

This paper presents an adaptive control approach for uncertain nonlinear systems subject to safety constraints that allows for modularity in the selection of the parameter estimation algorithm. Such modularity is achieved by unifying the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-09 Max Cohen , Calin Belta

We address the construction of stable random matrix ensembles as the generalization of the stable random variables (Levy distributions). With a simple method we derive the Cauchy case, which is known to have remarkable properties. These…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Tierz

Incremental learning from non-stationary data poses special challenges to the field of machine learning. Although new algorithms have been developed for this, assessment of results and comparison of behaviors are still open problems, mainly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-19 Alejandro Cervantes , Christian Gagné , Pedro Isasi , Marc Parizeau

Consider a pair of cumulative distribution functions $F$ and $G$, where $F$ is unknown and $G$ is a known reference distribution. Given a sample from $F$, we propose tests to detect the convexity or the concavity of $G^{-1}\circ F$ versus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Tommaso Lando , Mohammed Es-Salih Benjrada