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We establish large sample approximations for an arbitray number of bilinear forms of the sample variance-covariance matrix of a high-dimensional vector time series using $ \ell_1$-bounded and small $\ell_2$-bounded weighting vectors.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Ansgar Steland , Rainer von Sachs

Consider the empirical autocovariance matrix at a given non-zero time lag based on observations from a multivariate complex Gaussian stationary time series. The spectral analysis of these autocovariance matrices can be useful in certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Arup Bose , Walid Hachem

We offer a method to estimate a covariance matrix in the special case that \textit{both} the covariance matrix and the precision matrix are sparse --- a constraint we call double sparsity. The estimation method is maximum likelihood,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-17 Shev Macnamara , Erik Schlögl , Zdravko I. Botev

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the covariance matrix of a series of independent multivariate observations, in the case where the dimension of each observation is of the same order as the number of observations. Although…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-03 Jianfeng Yao , Abla Kammoun , Jamal Najim

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models provide a flexible framework for characterizing dynamic dependence in multivariate spatio-temporal systems, but their unrestricted estimation becomes infeasible when multiple variables are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-04 Peiliang Bai

In this paper, we consider the Group Lasso estimator of the covariance matrix of a stochastic process corrupted by an additive noise. We propose to estimate the covariance matrix in a high-dimensional setting under the assumption that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-26 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez

Long-run covariance matrix estimation is the building block of time series inference. The corresponding difference-based estimator, which avoids detrending, has attracted considerable interest due to its robustness to both smooth and abrupt…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

Cosmological parameter estimation requires that the likelihood function of the data is accurately known. Assuming that cosmological large-scale structure power spectra data are multivariate Gaussian-distributed, we show the accuracy of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 Andy Taylor , Benjamin Joachimi , Thomas Kitching

We propose methodology for statistical inference for low-dimensional parameters of sparse precision matrices in a high-dimensional setting. Our method leads to a non-sparse estimator of the precision matrix whose entries have a Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-13 Jana Jankova , Sara van de Geer

We derive a maximum a posteriori estimator for the linear observation model, where the signal and noise covariance matrices are both uncertain. The uncertainties are treated probabilistically by modeling the covariance matrices with prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-12 Dave Zachariah , Nafiseh Shariati , Mats Bengtsson , Magnus Jansson , Saikat Chatterjee

This work presents a detailed covariance and correlation matrix analysis for experimentally measured cross sections obtained using the activation technique. Both statistical and systematic contributions to the covariance matrix were…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-04-01 Tanmoy Bar

Computing the inverse covariance matrix (or precision matrix) of large data vectors is crucial in weak lensing (and multi-probe) analyses of the large scale structure of the universe. Analytically computed covariances are noise-free and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-06 Oliver Friedrich , Tim Eifler

High-dimensional vector autoregression with measurement error is frequently encountered in a large variety of scientific and business applications. In this article, we study statistical inference of the transition matrix under this model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Xiang Lyu , Jian Kang , Lexin Li

The accurate computation of the covariance matrix of fitted model parameters is a somewhat neglected task in Statistics. Algorithms are given for computing accurate covariance matrices derived from computing the Hessian matrix by numerical…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-12 Rose Baker

Let $X\in \mathbb{R}^p$ and $Y\in \mathbb{R}$ be two random variables. We estimate the conditional covariance matrix $\mathrm{Cov}\left(\mathrm{E}\left[\boldsymbol{X}\vert Y\right]\right)$ applying a plug-in kernel-based algorithm to its…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Jean-Michel Loubes , Clement Marteau , Maikol Solís

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models are important tools for the analysis of multivariate time series. This paper focuses on high-dimensional time series and on the different regularized estimation procedures proposed for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis

Many data-analysis problems involve large dense matrices that describe the covariance of stationary noise processes; the computational cost of inverting these matrices, or equivalently of solving linear systems that contain them, is often a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 Rutger van Haasteren , Michele Vallisneri

Gaussian covariance graph model is a popular model in revealing underlying dependency structures among random variables. A Bayesian approach to the estimation of covariance structures uses priors that force zeros on some off-diagonal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Bongjung Sung , Jaeyong Lee

Accurately modeling the correlation structure of errors is critical for reliable uncertainty quantification in probabilistic time series forecasting. While recent deep learning models for multivariate time series have developed efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun