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A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty. Minimizing overall prediction error often encourages models to prioritize informativeness over calibration,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Ádám Jung , Domokos M. Kelen , András A. Benczúr

This paper is concerned with forecasting probability density functions. Density functions are nonnegative and have a constrained integral; thus, they do not constitute a vector space. Implementing unconstrained functional time-series…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Frédéric Ferraty , Han Lin Shang

Wireless Sensor Network (WSN) is pertinent to many applications with varied network parameters. Sensor node placement in the application region whether it is indoor or outdoor is a major task as well as plays very remarkable role in the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-04-27 R. Malathi , Alagarsamy , V. Veeramani , RD. Balaji

Given i.i.d samples from some unknown continuous density on hyper-rectangle $[0, 1]^d$, we attempt to learn a piecewise constant function that approximates this underlying density non-parametrically. Our density estimate is defined on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-24 Kun Yang , Hao Su , Wing Hung Wang

We propose generalized random forests, a method for non-parametric statistical estimation based on random forests (Breiman, 2001) that can be used to fit any quantity of interest identified as the solution to a set of local moment…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-06 Susan Athey , Julie Tibshirani , Stefan Wager

Nonparametric density estimators are studied for $d$-dimensional, strongly spatial mixing data which is defined on a general $N$-dimensional lattice structure. We consider linear and nonlinear hard thresholded wavelet estimators which are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Johannes T. N. Krebs

We present a nonparametric framework to model a short sequence of probability distributions that vary both due to underlying effects of sequential progression and confounding noise. To distinguish between these two types of variation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-08 Jonas Mueller , Tommi Jaakkola , David Gifford

Ordinal classification models assign higher penalties to predictions further away from the true class. As a result, they are appropriate for relevant diagnostic tasks like disease progression prediction or medical image grading. The…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Adrian Galdran

Eliciting preferences from human judgements is inherently imprecise, yet most decision analysis methods force a single priority vector from pairwise comparisons, discarding the information embedded in inconsistencies. We instead leverage…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-27 Salvatore Greco , Sajid Siraj , Michele Lundy

This paper presents an estimator for semiparametric models that uses a feed-forward neural network to fit the nonparametric component. Unlike many methodologies from the machine learning literature, this approach is suitable for…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-19 Andrew Crane-Droesch

The density function of the limiting spectral distribution of general sample covariance matrices is usually unknown. We propose to use kernel estimators which are proved to be consistent. A simulation study is also conducted to show the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-15 Bing-Yi Jing , Guangming Pan , Qi-Man Shao , Wang Zhou

In this work we are interested in the problems of supervised learning and variable selection when the input-output dependence is described by a nonlinear function depending on a few variables. Our goal is to consider a sparse nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-14 Lorenzo Rosasco , Silvia Villa , Sofia Mosci , Matteo Santoro , Alessandro verri

The estimation of cumulative distribution functions (CDF) and probability density functions (PDF) is a fundamental practice in applied statistics. However, challenges often arise when dealing with data arranged in grouped intervals. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-25 Ejike R. Ugba , Jan Gertheiss

Model misspecification can create significant challenges for the implementation of probabilistic models, and this has led to development of a range of robust methods which directly account for this issue. However, whether these more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-22 Oscar Key , Arthur Gretton , François-Xavier Briol , Tamara Fernandez

It is highly important for governments and health organizations to monitor the prevalence of breast cancer as a leading source of cancer-related death among women. However, the accurate diagnosis of this disease is expensive, especially in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-21 M. Mahdizadeha , Ehsan Zamanzade

We aim at estimating in a non-parametric way the density $\pi$ of the stationary distribution of a $d$-dimensional stochastic differential equation $(X_t)_{t \in [0, T]}$, for $d \ge 2$, from the discrete observations of a finite sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-29 Chiara Amorino , Arnaud Gloter

Nested nonparametric processes are vectors of random probability measures widely used in the Bayesian literature to model the dependence across distinct, though related, groups of observations. These processes allow a two-level clustering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Federico Camerlenghi , Riccardo Corradin , Andrea Ongaro

The problem of developing binary classifiers from positive and unlabeled data is often encountered in machine learning. A common requirement in this setting is to approximate posterior probabilities of positive and negative classes for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-11 Shantanu Jain , Martha White , Michael W. Trosset , Predrag Radivojac

We present a local density estimator based on first order statistics. To estimate the density at a point, $x$, the original sample is divided into subsets and the average minimum sample distance to $x$ over all such subsets is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-10 Vikram V. Garg , Luis Tenorio , Karen Willcox

We propose a random forest estimator for the intensity of spatial point processes, applicable with or without covariates. It retains the well-known advantages of a random forest approach, including the ability to handle a large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Christophe Biscio , Frédéric Lavancier