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In this paper we focus on the problem of assigning uncertainties to single-point predictions generated by a deterministic model that outputs a continuous variable. This problem applies to any state-of-the-art physics or engineering models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-12 Enrico Camporeale , Algo Carè

$D$-optimal designs originate in statistics literature as an approach for optimal experimental designs. In numerical analysis points and weights resulting from maximal determinants turned out to be useful for quadrature and interpolation.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-04 Felix Bartel , Lutz Kämmerer , Kateryna Pozharska , Martin Schäfer , Tino Ullrich

This work studies an experimental design problem where {the values of a predictor variable, denoted by $x$}, are to be determined with the goal of estimating a function $m(x)$, which is observed with noise. A linear model is fitted to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-03 David Azriel

Uncertainty quantification is essential for scientific analysis, as it allows for the evaluation and interpretation of variability and reliability in complex systems and datasets. In their original form, multivariate statistical regression…

We introduce a novel type of approximation spaces for functions with values in a nonlinear manifold. The discrete functions are constructed by piecewise polynomial interpolation in a Euclidean embedding space, and then projecting pointwise…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Philipp Grohs , Hanne Hardering , Oliver Sander , Markus Sprecher

We refine metrical statements in the style of the Khintchine-Groshev Theorem by requiring certain coprimality constraints on the coordinates of the integer solutions.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-21 S. G. Dani , Michel Laurent , Arnaldo Nogueira

In this paper, conditional stability estimates are derived for unique continuation and Cauchy problems associated to the Poisson equation in ultra-weak variational form. Numerical approximations are obtained as minima of regularized least…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Harald Monsuur , Rob Stevenson

Most uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches provide a single scalar value as a measure of model reliability. However, different uncertainty measures could provide complementary information on the prediction confidence. Even measures…

Approximating a univariate function on the interval $[-1,1]$ with a polynomial is among the most classical problems in numerical analysis. When the function evaluations come with noise, a least-squares fit is known to reduce the effect of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Takeru Matsuda , Yuji Nakatsukasa

Collocation has become a standard tool for approximation of parameterized systems in the uncertainty quantification (UQ) community. Techniques for least-squares regularization, compressive sampling recovery, and interpolatory reconstruction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Akil Narayan , Tao Zhou

We address the problem of the best uniform approximation by linear combinations of a finite system of functions. If the system is Chebyshev and the problem is unconstrained, then the classical Remez algorithm provides a fast and precise…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Vladimir Yu. Protasov , Rinat Kamalov

This paper is concerned with the study of the consistency of a variational method for probability measure quantization, deterministically realized by means of a minimizing principle, balancing power repulsion and attraction potentials. The…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2013-10-07 Massimo Fornasier , Jan-Christian Hütter

In this article, we present a novel approach to multivariate probabilistic forecasting. Our approach is based on an extension of single-output quantile regression (QR) to multivariate-targets, called quantile surfaces (QS). QS uses a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-13 Maarten Bieshaar , Jens Schreiber , Stephan Vogt , André Gensler , Bernhard Sick

Combining the properties of monovariate internal functions as proposed in Kolmogorov superimposition theorem, in tandem with the bounds wielded by the multivariate formulation of Chebyshev inequality, a hybrid model is presented, that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2011-06-03 Shriprakash Sinha , Gert J. ter Horst

Motivated by the need for the rigorous analysis of the numerical stability of variational least-squares kernel-based methods for solving second-order elliptic partial differential equations, we provide previously lacking stability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Meng Chen , Leevan Ling , Dongfang Yun

This paper presents an algorithm to simulate Gaussian random vectors whose precision matrix can be expressed as a polynomial of a sparse matrix. This situation arises in particular when simulating Gaussian Markov random fields obtained by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Mike Pereira , Nicolas Desassis

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential in probabilistic machine learning models, particularly for assessing the reliability of predictions. In this paper, we present a systematic framework for estimating both epistemic and aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-11 Marzieh Ajirak , Anand Ravishankar , Petar M. Djuric

In this paper, we propose deep partial least squares for the estimation of high-dimensional nonlinear instrumental variable regression. As a precursor to a flexible deep neural network architecture, our methodology uses partial least…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-06 Maria Nareklishvili , Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

We present a simple way to discretize and precondition mixed variational formulations. Our theory connects with, and takes advantage of, the classical theory of symmetric saddle point problems and the theory of preconditioning symmetric…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Constantin Bacuta , Jacob Jacavage

Despite their importance for assessing reliability of predictions, uncertainty quantification (UQ) measures for machine learning models have only recently begun to be rigorously characterized. One prominent issue is the curse of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-27 Liam Hodgkinson , Chris van der Heide , Fred Roosta , Michael W. Mahoney