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Biological data objects often have both of the following features: (i) they are functions rather than single numbers or vectors, and (ii) they are correlated due to phylogenetic relationships. In this paper we give a flexible statistical…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-20 Nick S. Jones , John Moriarty

Nonparametric Bayesian models are often based on the assumption that the objects being modeled are exchangeable. While appropriate in some applications (e.g., bag-of-words models for documents), exchangeability is sometimes assumed simply…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Kurt T. Miller , Thomas Griffiths , Michael I. Jordan

A new method is developed to represent probabilistic relations on multiple random events. Where previously knowledge bases containing probabilistic rules were used for this purpose, here a probability distribution over the relations is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Manfred Jaeger

This paper is a note on the use of Bayesian nonparametric mixture models for continuous time series. We identify a key requirement for such models, and then establish that there is a single type of model which meets this requirement. As it…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-05 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

Exchangeability is a central notion in statistics and probability theory. The assumption that an infinite sequence of data points is exchangeable is at the core of Bayesian statistics. However, finite exchangeability as a statistical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-04-24 Mathias Niepert , Guy Van den Broeck

The use of a finite mixture of normal distributions in model-based clustering allows to capture non-Gaussian data clusters. However, identifying the clusters from the normal components is challenging and in general either achieved by…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-21 Gertraud Malsiner-Walli , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Bettina Grün

Ensembles of networks arise in many scientific fields, but there are few statistical tools for inferring their generative processes, particularly in the presence of both dyadic dependence and cross-graph heterogeneity. To fill in this gap,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-23 Fan Yin , Weining Shen , Carter T. Butts

Exponential random graph models are an important tool in the statistical analysis of data. However, Bayesian parameter estimation for these models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior distribution typically involves…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-05 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

Data clustering, including problems such as finding network communities, can be put into a systematic framework by means of a Bayesian approach. The application of Bayesian approaches to real problems can be, however, quite challenging. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-09-28 Alexei Vazquez

Methods for learning Bayesian network structure can discover dependency structure between observed variables, and have been shown to be useful in many applications. However, in domains that involve a large number of variables, the space of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Eran Segal , Dana Pe'er , Aviv Regev , Daphne Koller , Nir Friedman

We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights.…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-26 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Francesco Ravazzolo

This article introduces a new class of models for multiple networks. The core idea is to parametrize a distribution on labelled graphs in terms of a Fr\'{e}chet mean graph (which depends on a user-specified choice of metric or graph…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-09 Simón Lunagómez , Sofia C. Olhede , Patrick J. Wolfe

When the historical data are limited, the conditional probabilities associated with the nodes of Bayesian networks are uncertain and can be empirically estimated. Second order estimation methods provide a framework for both estimating the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-09 Conrad D. Hougen , Lance M. Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Alfred O. Hero

Bayesian Networks (BNs) have become increasingly popular over the last few decades as a tool for reasoning under uncertainty in fields as diverse as medicine, biology, epidemiology, economics and the social sciences. This is especially true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Neville K. Kitson , Anthony C. Constantinou , Zhigao Guo , Yang Liu , Kiattikun Chobtham

We offer a solution to a long-standing problem in the physics of networks, the creation of a plausible, solvable model of a network that displays clustering or transitivity -- the propensity for two neighbors of a network node also to be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-08-13 M. E. J. Newman

A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Martin Bladt , Jorge González Cázares

Gaussian graphical models, where it is assumed that the variables of interest jointly follow a multivariate normal distribution with a sparse precision matrix, have been used to study intrinsic dependence among variables, but the normality…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-20 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

In this paper we present decomposable priors, a family of priors over structure and parameters of tree belief nets for which Bayesian learning with complete observations is tractable, in the sense that the posterior is also decomposable and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Marina Meila , Tommi S. Jaakkola

Recently developed techniques have made it possible to quickly learn accurate probability density functions from data in low-dimensional continuous space. In particular, mixtures of Gaussians can be fitted to data very quickly using an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Scott Davies , Andrew Moore

Networks play a central role in modern data analysis, enabling us to reason about systems by studying the relationships between their parts. Most often in network analysis, the edges are given. However, in many systems it is difficult or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-06 Scott W. Linderman , Ryan P. Adams