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Constraint Programming (CP) has proved an effective paradigm to model and solve difficult combinatorial satisfaction and optimisation problems from disparate domains. Many such problems arising from the commercial world are permeated by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-08-08 Neil Yorke-Smith , Carmen Gervet

Nonparametric regression models have recently surged in their power and popularity, accompanying the trend of increasing dataset size and complexity. While these models have proven their predictive ability in empirical settings, they are…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-23 Spencer Woody , Carlos M. Carvalho , Jared S. Murray

Embedding data into vector spaces is a very popular strategy of pattern recognition methods. When distances between embeddings are quantized, performance metrics become ambiguous. In this paper, we present an analysis of the ambiguity…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-02-21 Anguelos Nicolaou , Sounak Dey , Vincent Christlein , Andreas Maier , Dimosthenis Karatzas

Parameter estimates in misspecified models converge to pseudo-true parameter values, which minimize a population objective function. Pseudo-true values often differ from quantities of economic interest, raising questions of how, if at all,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-20 Isaiah Andrews , Harvey Barnhard , Jacob Carlson

The intuition that a long history is required for the emergence of complexity in natural systems is formalized using the notion of depth. The depth of a system is defined in terms of the number of parallel computational steps needed to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-11-09 J. Machta

In cooperative human decision-making, agreements are often not total; a partial degree of agreement is sufficient to commit to a decision and move on, as long as one is somewhat confident that the involved parties are likely to stand by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Timotheus Kampik , Juan Carlos Nieves

Complex systems are found in most branches of science. It is still argued how to best quantify their complexity and to what end. One prominent measure of complexity (the statistical complexity) has an operational meaning in terms of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-10-24 Karoline Wiesner , Mile Gu , Elisabeth Rieper , Vlatko Vedral

Automating algorithm configuration is growing increasingly necessary as algorithms come with more and more tunable parameters. It is common to tune parameters using machine learning, optimizing performance metrics such as runtime and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-25 Maria-Florina Balcan , Tuomas Sandholm , Ellen Vitercik

We show how risk measures originally defined in a model free framework in terms of acceptance sets and reference assets imply a meaningful underlying probability structure. Hereafter we construct a maximal domain of definition of the risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-27 Felix-Benedikt Liebrich , Gregor Svindland

A different general philosophy, to be called Full Randomness (FR), for the analysis of random effects models is presented, involving a notion of reducing or preferably eliminating fixed effects, at least formally. For example, under FR…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-30 Norm Matloff

Much of our understanding of ecological and evolutionary mechanisms derives from analysis of low-dimensional models: with few interacting species, or few axes defining "fitness". It is not always clear to what extent the intuition derived…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-14 Mikhail Tikhonov , Remi Monasson

It's regarded as an axiom that a good model is one that compromises between bias and variance. The bias is measured in training cost, while the variance of a (say, regression) model is measure by the cost associated with a validation set.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-07 Joseph R. Barr , Peter Shaw , Marcus Sobel

Finetuning can significantly modify the behavior of large language models, including introducing harmful or unsafe behaviors. To study these risks, researchers develop model organisms: models finetuned to exhibit specific known behaviors…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Mohammed Abu Baker , Luca Baroni , Dan Wilhelm

Methods for building fair predictors often involve tradeoffs between fairness and accuracy and between different fairness criteria, but the nature of these tradeoffs varies. Recent work seeks to characterize these tradeoffs in specific…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-02 Alan Mishler , Edward Kennedy

Error bounds and complexity bounds in numerical analysis and information-based complexity are often proved for functions that are defined on very simple domains, such as a cube, a torus, or a sphere. We study optimal error bounds for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-15 Erich Novak

Recent model-free reinforcement learning algorithms have proposed incorporating learned dynamics models as a source of additional data with the intention of reducing sample complexity. Such methods hold the promise of incorporating imagined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-02 Vladimir Feinberg , Alvin Wan , Ion Stoica , Michael I. Jordan , Joseph E. Gonzalez , Sergey Levine

Conformal prediction is a framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets for previously unseen data, guaranteeing coverage of the true label with a specified probability. However, the efficiency of these prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

In resource limited computing systems, sequence prediction models must operate under tight constraints. Various models are available that cater to prediction under these conditions that in some way focus on reducing the cost of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-09 Arjun Karuvally , J. Eliot B. Moss

Writing parallel codes is difficult and exhibits a fundamental trade-off between abstraction and performance. The high level language abstractions designed to simplify the complexities of parallelism make certain assumptions that impacts…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Nick Brown , Ludovic Capelli , J. Mark Bull

We propose and axiomatize preferences on a product state space in light of uncertainty regarding the dependency of different payoff-relevant factors. Dependence structures allow to decompose probabilities and allow to pin down behavior…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-28 Gerrit Bauch , Lorenz Hartmann
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