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Machine learning techniques not only offer efficient tools for modelling dynamical systems from data, but can also be employed as frontline investigative instruments for the underlying physics. Nontrivial information about the original…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-02-24 Francesco Borra , Marco Baldovin

This paper provides a framework for investigations in fluctuation theory for L\'evy processes with matrix-exponential jumps. We present a matrix form of the components of the infinitely divisible factorization. Using this representation we…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-09 Ievgen Karnaukh

In this paper we generalize known workload decomposition results for L\'{e}vy queues with secondary jump inputs and queues with server vacations or service interruptions. Special cases are polling systems with either compound Poisson or…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Onno Boxma , Offer Kella

A rescaled Markov chain converges uniformly in probability to the solution of an ordinary differential equation, under carefully specified assumptions. The presentation is much simpler than those in the outside literature. The result may be…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. W. R. Darling

We consider the problem of estimating the asymptotic variance of a function defined on a Markov chain, an important step for statistical inference of the stationary mean. We design a novel recursive estimator that requires $O(1)$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Shubhada Agrawal , Prashanth L. A. , Siva Theja Maguluri

This paper investigates stochastic finite matrices and the corresponding finite Markov chains constructed using recurrence matrices for general families of orthogonal polynomials and multiple orthogonal polynomials. The paper explores the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-11 Amílcar Branquinho , Juan EF Díaz , Ana Foulquié-Moreno , Manuel Mañas

We study the analogue of Poisson ensembles of Markov loops ('loop soups') in the setting of one-dimensional diffusions. We give a detailed description of the corresponding intensity measure. The properties of this measure on loops lead us…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Titus Lupu

Demand for studying queueing systems with multiple servers providing correlated services was created about 60 years ago, motivated by various applications. In recent years, the importance of such studies has been significantly increased,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Suman Thapa , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

These notes provide a short, focused introduction to modelling stochastic gene expression, including a derivation of the master equation, the recovery of deterministic dynamics, birth-and-death processes, and Langevin theory. The notes were…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-07-27 Peter S Swain

We study a class of stationary Markov processes with marginal distributions identifiable by moments such that every conditional moment of degree say $m$ is a polynomial of degree at most $m\;\text{.}\;$ We show that then under some…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-19 Paweł J. Szabłowski

We study the non-Markovian random continuous processes described by the Mori-Zwanzig equation. As a starting point, we use the Markovian Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and introduce an integral memory term depending on the past of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-04 S. S. Melnyk , V. A. Yampol'skii , O. V. Usatenko

The objective of this paper is to study the filtering problem for a system of partially observable processes $(X, Y)$, where $X$ is a non-Markovian pure-jump process representing the signal and $Y$ is a general jump-diffusion which provides…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Elena Bandini , Alessandro Calvia , Katia Colaneri

In many applications involving point pattern data, the Poisson process assumption is unrealistic, with the data exhibiting a more regular spread. Such a repulsion between events is exhibited by trees for example, because of competition for…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-07 Vinayak Rao , Ryan P. Adams , David B. Dunson

This chapter presents an introduction to Markovian modeling for the analysis of sequence data. Contrary to the deterministic approach seen in the previous sequence analysis chapters, Markovian models are probabilistic models, focusing on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Jouni Helske , Satu Helske , Mohammed Saqr , Sonsoles López-Pernas , Keefe Murphy

We discuss a couple of examples of Markov chains. This note is written primarily for school students; it is based on a lecture given by the first author at a Math Circle at NAS (www.assagames.com/nas).

History and Overview · Mathematics 2018-07-18 Alexander Gil , Anton Petrunin

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes combine continuous in time dynamics with jump events, the rates of which generally depend on the continuous variables and thus are not constants. This leads to a problem in a Monte-Carlo simulation…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-01-14 Arkady Pikovsky

The aim of this paper is to analyze a class of random motions which models the motion of a particle on the real line with random velocity and subject to the action of the friction. The speed randomly changes when a Poissonian event occurs.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-31 Alessandro De Gregorio

Applications of first passage times in stochastic processes arise across a wide range of length and time scales in biological settings. After an initial technical overview, we survey representative applications and their corresponding…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-12 Tom Chou , Maria R. D'Orsogna

Markov decision processes (MDPs) in queues and networks have been an interesting topic in many practical areas since the 1960s. This paper provides a detailed overview on this topic and tracks the evolution of many basic results. Also, this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-26 Quan-Lin Li , Jing-Yu Ma , Rui-Na Fan , Li Xia

This article introduces estimators of trend and seasonality for time series of point processes. We assume the point processes follow a temporal or spatial doubly-stochastic Poisson model with log-Gaussian intensity functions. The proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Daniel Gervini , Simon A. Kopischke
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