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The availability of massive data about sports activities offers nowadays the opportunity to quantify the relation between performance and success. In this study, we analyze more than 6,000 games and 10 million events in six European leagues…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-17 Luca Pappalardo , Paolo Cintia

In constructing an econometric or statistical model, we pick relevant features or variables from many candidates. A coalitional game is set up to study the selection problem where the players are the candidates and the payoff function is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-07 Xingwei Hu

This study applies complexity sciences to analyze the game of Padel. Data from 18 professional matches were collected, and the probability distributions of the total number of shots and the probability distribution of rallies' duration were…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-09 A. Chacoma , O. V. Billoni

Bayesian inference gets its name from *Bayes's theorem*, expressing posterior probabilities for hypotheses about a data generating process as the (normalized) product of prior probabilities and a likelihood function. But Bayesian inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Thomas J. Loredo , Robert L. Wolpert

The standard mathematical approach to fourth-down decision making in American football is to make the decision that maximizes estimated win probability. Win probability estimates arise from machine learning models fit from historical data.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-03 Ryan S. Brill , Ronald Yurko , Abraham J. Wyner

Game theory serves as a powerful tool for distributed optimization in multi-agent systems in different applications. In this paper we consider multi-agent systems that can be modeled by means of potential games whose potential function…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-13 Tatiana Tatarenko

We study a class of probabilistic cooperative games which can be treated as an extension of the classical cooperative games with transferable utilities. The coalitions have an exogenous probability of being realized. This probability…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-08-08 Surajit Borkotokey , Sujata Gowala , Rajnish Kumar

If the prime numbers are pseudo-randomly distributed, then analogy with quantum systems suggests that counting primes might be modeled by a non-homogeneous Poisson process. Consequently, postulating underlying gamma statistics, more-or-less…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-19 J. LaChapelle

Numerous statistics have been proposed for the measure of offensive ability in major league baseball. While some of these measures may offer moderate predictive power in certain situations, it is unclear which simple offensive metrics are…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-21 Blakeley B. McShane , Alexander Braunstein , James Piette , Shane T. Jensen

A recurring debate in the philosophy of statistics concerns what, exactly, should count as a measure of evidence for or against a given hypothesis. P-values, likelihood ratios, and Bayes factors all have their defenders. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas , Peter Grünwald

We present a game of interacting agents which mimics the complex dynamics found in many natural and social systems. These agents modify their strategies periodically, depending on their performances using genetic crossover mechanisms,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Marko Sysi-Aho , Anirban Chakraborti , Kimmo Kaski

In this paper, we continue studying the properties of $\gamma$-semi-continuous and $\gamma$-semi-open functions introduced in [5].

General Topology · Mathematics 2011-03-17 Sabir Hussain

We introduce the class of pay or play games, which captures scenarios in which each decision maker is faced with a choice between two actions: one with a fixed payoff and an- other with a payoff dependent on others' selected actions. This…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-09-27 Sigal Oren , Michael Schapira , Moshe Tennenholtz

The Pythagorean formula is one of the most popular ways to measure the true ability of a team. It is very easy to use, estimating a team's winning percentage from the runs they score and allow. This data is readily available on standings…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2014-06-04 Steven J. Miller , Taylor Corcoran , Jennifer Gossels , Victor Luo , Jaclyn Porfilio

We use well-known limit theorems in probability theory to derive a Wallis-type product formula for the gamma function. Our result immediately provides a probabilistic proof of Wallis's product formula for $\pi$, as well as the duplication…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-30 Wooyoung Chin

In our present investigation we propose to study and develop the I-function of two variables analogous to the I-function of one variable introduced and studied by one of the authors[24]. The conditions for convergence, series…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Shantha Kumari. K. , Vasudevan Nambisan T. M. , Arjun K. Rathie

Major League Baseball (MLB) has a storied history of using statistics to better understand and discuss the game of baseball, with an entire discipline of statistics dedicated to the craft, known as sabermetrics. At their core, all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Connor Heaton , Prasenjit Mitra

Predicting the outcomes of future events is a challenging problem for which a variety of solution methods have been explored and attempted. We present an empirical comparison of a variety of online and offline adaptive algorithms for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Varsha Dani , Omid Madani , David M Pennock , Sumit Sanghai , Brian Galebach

A common problem faced in statistical inference is drawing conclusions from paired comparisons, in which two objects compete and one is declared the victor. A probabilistic approach to such a problem is the Bradley-Terry model, first…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-19 Gabriel C. Phelan , John T. Whelan

For some time, point-differential has been thought to be a better predictor for future NBA success than pure win-loss record. Most ranking and team performance predictions rely largely on point-differential, often with some normalizations…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-04 Samuel Henry
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