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Related papers: Forecasting the solar activity cycle: new insights

200 papers

Hemispheric irregularities of solar magnetic activity is a well-observed phenomenon -- the origin of which has been studied through numerical simulations and data-analysis techniques. In this work we explore possible causes generating…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-18 Prantika Bhowmik

The Babcock-Leighton type of dynamo has received recent support in terms of the discovery in the observational records of systematic cycle-to-cycle variations in the tilt angle of sunspot groups. It has been proposed that these variations…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-08-08 R. H. Cameron

Some selected concepts for the solar activity cycle are briefly reviewed. Cycle modulations through a stochastic alpha effect are being identified with limited scale separation ratios. Three-dimensional turbulence simulations with helicity…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-07-17 Axel Brandenburg , Gustavo Guerrero

The diagram of indices of coronal and chromospheric activity allowed us to reveal stars where solar-type activity appears and regular cycles are forming. Using new consideration of a relation between coronal activity and the rotation rate,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-08-06 M. M. Katsova , N. I. Bondar' , M. A. Livshits

Solar cycle activity forecasting, mainly its magnitude and timing, is an essential issue for numerous scientific and technological applications: in fact, during an active solar period, many strong eruptions occur on the Sun with increasing…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-01 Stefano Sello

Using the non-linear mean-field dynamo models we calculate the magnetic cycle parameters, like the dynamo cycle period, the amplitude of the total magnetic energy, and the Poynting flux luminosity from the surface for the solar analogs with…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-01-27 V. V. Pipin

Observations of the sun suggest that solar activities systematically create north-south hemispheric asymmetries. For instance, the hemisphere in which the sunspot activity is more active tends to switch after the early half of each solar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-12 D. Syukuya , K. Kusano

Building a reliable forecast of solar activity is a long-standing problem that requires to accurately describe past and current global dynamics. However, synoptic observations of magnetic fields and subsurface flows became available…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-07-14 Irina N. Kitiashvili

According to the scheme of action of the solar dynamo, the poloidal magnetic field can be considered a source of production of the toroidal magnetic field by the solar differential rotation. From the polar magnetic field proxies, it is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-09-13 V. N. Obridko , D. D. Sokoloff , V. V. Pipin , A. S. Shibalova , I. M. Livshits

We study turbulent generation of large-scale magnetic fields using nonlinear dynamo models for solar-type stars in the range of rotational periods from 14 to 30 days. Our models take into account non-linear effects of dynamical quenching of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-06-08 Valery Pipin , Alexander Kosovichev

The solar activity cycle is successfully modeled by the flux transport dynamo, in which the meridional circulation of the Sun plays an important role. Most of the kinematic dynamo simulations assume a one-cell structure of the meridional…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-02-05 Gopal Hazra , Bidya Binay Karak , Arnab Rai Choudhuri

Our understanding of stellar dynamos has largely been driven by the phenomena we have observed of our own Sun. Yet, as we amass longer-term datasets for an increasing number of stars, it is clear that there is a wide variety of stellar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-30 Maria A. Weber

Though generated deep inside the convection zone, the solar magnetic field has a direct impact on the Earth space environment via the Parker spiral. It strongly modulates the solar wind in the whole heliosphere, especially its latitudinal…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-30 Barbara Perri , Allan Sacha Brun , Antoine Strugarek , Victor Réville

The record of solar activity is reviewed here with emphasis on peculiarities. Since sunspot positions tell us a lot more about the solar dynamo than the various global sunspot numbers, we first focus on the records of telescopic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 R. Arlt , N. Weiss

Our knowledge of the Sun, its atmosphere, long term activity and space weather potential is severely limited by the lack of good observations of the polar and far-side regions. Observations from a polar vantage point would revolutionize our…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-14 A. Vourlidas , P. C. Liewer , M. Velli , D. Webb

The emergence of tilted bipolar active regions and the dispersal of their flux, mediated via processes such as diffusion, differential rotation and meridional circulation is believed to be responsible for the reversal of the Sun's polar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-09-28 Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo , Dibyendu Nandy , Petrus C. H. Martens , Anthony R. Yeates

We present a 3D kinematic solar dynamo model in which poloidal field is generated by the emergence and dispersal of tilted sunspot pairs (more generally Bipolar Magnetic Regions, or BMRs). The axisymmetric component of this model functions…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-18 Mark S. Miesch , Mausumi Dikpati

Previously unobservable mirror asymmetry of the solar magnetic field -- a key ingredient of the dynamo mechanism which is believed to drive the 11-year activity cycle -- has now been measured. This was achieved through systematic monitoring…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-14 Hongqi Zhang , T. Sakurai , A. Pevtsov , Yu Gao , Haiqing Xu , D. D. Sokoloff , K. Kuzanyan

The length of the solar activity cycle fluctuates considerably. The temporal evolution of the corresponding cycle phase, that is, the deviation of the epochs of activity minima or maxima from strict periodicity, provides relevant…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-15 E. Weisshaar , R. H. Cameron , M. Schüssler

In 1969 Leighton developed a quasi-1D mathematical model of the solar dynamo, building upon the phenomenological scenario of Babcock(1961). Here we present a modification and extension of Leighton's model. Using the axisymmetric component…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-03-01 R. H. Cameron , M. Schuessler