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A central problem in data science is to use potentially noisy samples of an unknown function to predict values for unseen inputs. In classical statistics, predictive error is understood as a trade-off between the bias and the variance that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Mark K. Transtrum , Gus L. W. Hart , Tyler J. Jarvis , Jared P. Whitehead

We present a theory of ensemble diversity, explaining the nature of diversity for a wide range of supervised learning scenarios. This challenge has been referred to as the holy grail of ensemble learning, an open research issue for over 30…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Danny Wood , Tingting Mu , Andrew Webb , Henry Reeve , Mikel Luján , Gavin Brown

Ensemble algorithms offer state of the art performance in many machine learning applications. A common explanation for their excellent performance is due to the bias-variance decomposition of the mean squared error which shows that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Sebastian Buschjäger , Lukas Pfahler , Katharina Morik

Ensembles are widely used in machine learning and, usually, provide state-of-the-art performance in many prediction tasks. From the very beginning, the diversity of an ensemble has been identified as a key factor for the superior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Luis A. Ortega , Rafael Cabañas , Andrés R. Masegosa

Ensembles, as a widely used and effective technique in the machine learning community, succeed within a key element -- "diversity." The relationship between diversity and generalization, unfortunately, is not entirely understood and remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Yijun Bian , Huanhuan Chen

Anomaly detection, finding patterns that substantially deviate from those seen previously, is one of the fundamental problems of artificial intelligence. Recently, classification-based methods were shown to achieve superior results on this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-06 Liron Bergman , Yedid Hoshen

This article explores the generalized analysis-of-variance or ANOVA dimensional decomposition (ADD) for multivariate functions of dependent random variables. Two notable properties, stemming from weakened annihilating conditions, reveal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-05 Sharif Rahman

Ensembles of neural networks have been shown to give better performance than single networks, both in terms of predictions and uncertainty estimation. Additionally, ensembles allow the uncertainty to be decomposed into aleatoric (data) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-11 Jakob Lindqvist , Amanda Olmin , Fredrik Lindsten , Lennart Svensson

Diffusion models have shown superior performance on unsupervised anomaly detection tasks. Since trained with normal data only, diffusion models tend to reconstruct normal counterparts of test images with certain noises added. However, these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Hang Yao , Ming Liu , Haolin Wang , Zhicun Yin , Zifei Yan , Xiaopeng Hong , Wangmeng Zuo

Deep neural networks are behind many of the recent successes in machine learning applications. However, these models can produce overconfident decisions while encountering out-of-distribution (OOD) examples or making a wrong prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Navid Kardan , Ankit Sharma , Kenneth O. Stanley

As artificial intelligence is increasingly affecting all parts of society and life, there is growing recognition that human interpretability of machine learning models is important. It is often argued that accuracy or other similar…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-27 Kush R. Varshney , Prashant Khanduri , Pranay Sharma , Shan Zhang , Pramod K. Varshney

Ensemble learning combines several individual models to obtain a better generalization performance. In this work we present a practical method for estimating the joint power of several classifiers. It differs from existing approaches which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Simi Haber , Yonatan Wexler

We propose a fundamental theory on ensemble learning that answers the central question: what factors make an ensemble system good or bad? Previous studies used a variant of Fano's inequality of information theory and derived a lower bound…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Terufumi Morishita , Gaku Morio , Shota Horiguchi , Hiroaki Ozaki , Nobuo Nukaga

Composition-the ability to generate myriad variations from finite means-is believed to underlie powerful generalization. However, compositional generalization remains a key challenge for deep learning. A widely held assumption is that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Qiyao Liang , Daoyuan Qian , Liu Ziyin , Ila Fiete

Classifier ensembles are pattern recognition structures composed of a set of classification algorithms (members), organized in a parallel way, and a combination method with the aim of increasing the classification accuracy of a…

Ensembling neural networks is an effective way to increase accuracy, and can often match the performance of individual larger models. This observation poses a natural question: given the choice between a deep ensemble and a single neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Taiga Abe , E. Kelly Buchanan , Geoff Pleiss , Richard Zemel , John P. Cunningham

For many applications, an ensemble of base classifiers is an effective solution. The tuning of its parameters(number of classes, amount of data on which each classifier is to be trained on, etc.) requires G, the generalization error of a…

Anomaly detection is defined as discovering patterns that do not conform to the expected behavior. Previously, anomaly detection was mostly conducted using traditional shallow learning techniques, but with little improvement. As the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Zhiyuan Liu , Chunjie Cao , Jingzhang Sun

Deep ensembles excel in large-scale image classification tasks both in terms of prediction accuracy and calibration. Despite being simple to train, the computation and memory cost of deep ensembles limits their practicability. While some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Giung Nam , Jongmin Yoon , Yoonho Lee , Juho Lee

Understanding associations between paired high-dimensional longitudinal datasets is a fundamental yet challenging problem that arises across scientific domains, including longitudinal multi-omic studies. The difficulty stems from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Jianbin Tan , Pixu Shi
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