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Recently established, directed dependence measures for pairs $(X,Y)$ of random variables build upon the natural idea of comparing the conditional distributions of $Y$ given $X=x$ with the marginal distribution of $Y$. They assign pairs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Jonathan Ansari , Patrick B. Langthaler , Sebastian Fuchs , Wolfgang Trutschnig

Kernel density estimation is a popular method for estimating unseen probability distributions. However, the convergence of these classical estimators to the true density slows down in high dimensions. Moreover, they do not define meaningful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Jack Kendrick

We assume that we observe $N$ independent copies of a diffusion process on a time-interval $[0,2T]$. For a given time $t$, we estimate the transition density $p_t(x,y)$, namely the conditional density of $X_{t + s}$ given $X_s = x$, under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

We present a structured additive regression approach to model conditional densities given scalar covariates, where only samples of the conditional distributions are observed. This links our approach to distributional regression models for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Eva-Maria Maier , Alexander Fottner , Sonja Greven , Almond Stöcker

Estimating the unknown density from which a given independent sample originates is more difficult than estimating the mean, in the sense that for the best popular non-parametric density estimators, the mean integrated square error converges…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Pierre L'Ecuyer , Florian Puchhammer , Amal Ben Abdellah

We study the non-parametric estimation of the value ${\theta}(f )$ of a linear functional evaluated at an unknown density function f with support on $R_+$ based on an i.i.d. sample with multiplicative measurement errors. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Sergio Brenner Miguel , Fabienne Comte , Jan Johannes

The paper deals with the density estimation on Rd under sup- norm loss. We provide with fully data-driven estimation procedure and establish for it so called sup-norm oracle inequality. The pro- posed estimator allows to take into account…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-29 Lepski Oleg

We consider the problem of estimating a density $f_X$ using a sample $Y_1,...,Y_n$ from $f_Y=f_X\star f_{\epsilon}$, where $f_{\epsilon}$ is an unknown density. We assume that an additional sample $\epsilon_1,...,\epsilon_m$ from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-21 Jan Johannes

Aleatoric uncertainty quantification seeks for distributional knowledge of random responses, which is important for reliability analysis and robustness improvement in machine learning applications. Previous research on aleatoric uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

We suppose that a L\'evy process is observed at discrete time points. Starting from an asymptotically minimax family of estimators for the continuous part of the L\'evy Khinchine characteristics, i.e., the covariance, we derive a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Katerina Papagiannouli

Conditional density estimation is a fundamental problem in statistics, with scientific and practical applications in biology, economics, finance and environmental studies, to name a few. In this paper, we propose a conditional density…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-03 Zijun Gao , Trevor Hastie

In the regression model $Y = b(X) +\sigma(X)\varepsilon$, where $X$ has a density $f$, this paper deals with an oracle inequality for an estimator of $bf$, involving a kernel in the sense of Lerasle et al. (2016), selected via the PCO…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Hélène Halconruy , Nicolas Marie

We consider the problem of Bayesian density estimation on the positive semiline for possibly unbounded densities. We propose a hierarchical Bayesian estimator based on the gamma mixture prior which can be viewed as a location mixture. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Natalia Bochkina , Judith Rousseau

The paper deals with the non-parametric estimation in the regression with the multiplicative noise. Using the local polynomial fitting and the bayesian approach, we construct the minimax on isotropic H\"older class estimator. Next applying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-24 M. Chichignoud

This paper deals with the problem of the multivariate copula density estimation. Using wavelet methods we provide two shrinkage procedures based on thresholding rules for which the knowledge of the regularity of the copula density to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-04 Florent Autin , Erwan Le Pennec , Karine Tribouley

We describe a method to computationally estimate the probability density function of a univariate random variable by applying the maximum entropy principle with some local conditions given by Gaussian functions. The estimation errors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-21 Mihail-Ioan Pop

Guided diffusion sampling relies on approximating often intractable likelihood scores, which introduces significant noise into the sampling dynamics. We propose using adaptive moment estimation to stabilize these noisy likelihood scores…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Christian Belardi , Justin Lovelace , Kilian Q. Weinberger , Carla P. Gomes

This paper introduces a conformal inference method to evaluate uncertainty in classification by generating prediction sets with valid coverage conditional on adaptively chosen features. These features are carefully selected to reflect…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Yanfei Zhou , Matteo Sesia

We develop a recursive approach for deriving closed-form solutions to both conditional and unconditional moments of affine jump diffusions with state-independent jump intensities. Using these moment solutions, we construct closed-form…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-10 Yan-Feng Wu , Jian-Qiang Hu

Density estimation in high-dimensional settings is an important and challenging statistical problem.Traditional methods based on kernel smoothing are inefficient in high dimensions due to the difficulties in specifying appropriate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Ruitong Zhang , Ke Deng