Related papers: Scaling Integral Projection Models for Analyzing S…
Integral projection models (IPMs) are widely used to study population growth and the dynamics of demographic structure (e.g. age and size distributions) within a population.These models use data on individuals' growth, survival, and…
Statistical evaluation aims to estimate the generalization performance of a model using held-out i.i.d.\ test data sampled from the ground-truth distribution. In supervised learning settings such as classification, performance metrics such…
Integrated population models (IPMs) combine multiple ecological data types such as capture-mark-recapture histories, reproduction surveys, and population counts into a single statistical framework. In such models, each data type is…
Several demographic and health indicators, including the total fertility rate (TFR) and modern contraceptive use rate (mCPR), evolve similarly over time, characterized by a transition between stable states. Existing approaches for…
Predicting competitive outcomes typically requires fitting dynamical models to data, from which interaction strengths and coexistence indicators such as invasion criteria can be produced. Methods that allow to propagate parameter…
Machine learning models $-$ now commonly developed to screen, diagnose, or predict health conditions $-$ are evaluated with a variety of performance metrics. An important first step in assessing the practical utility of a model is to…
1) Micro-evolutionary predictions are complicated by ecological feedbacks like density dependence, while ecological predictions can be complicated by evolutionary change. A widely used approach in micro-evolution, quantitative genetics,…
Probabilistic graphical models (PGMs) are widely used to discover latent structure in data, but their success hinges on selecting an appropriate model design. In practice, model specification is difficult and often requires iterative…
Multi-objective optimization problems (MOPs) require the simultaneous optimization of conflicting objectives. Real-world MOPs often exhibit complex characteristics, including high-dimensional decision spaces, many objectives, or…
Spatial patterning is common in ecological systems and has been extensively studied via different modeling approaches. Individual-based models (IBMs) accurately describe nonlinear interactions at the organism level and the stochastic…
Effectively modeling non-stationary dynamics in probabilistic multivariate time series(MTS) forecasting requires balancing expressiveness with robustness. Existing parametric approaches benefit from strong inductive biases but lack…
The aim of this paper is to describe a population model with transition. We analyze the spectral properties of the transition matrix considering both irreducible and reducible structures. We give physical interpretations of these properties…
Macro-level modeling is still the dominant approach in many demographic applications because of its simplicity. Individual-level models, on the other hand, provide a more comprehensive understanding of observed patterns; however, their…
The goal of data selection is to capture the most structural information from a set of data. This paper presents a fast and accurate data selection method, in which the selected samples are optimized to span the subspace of all data. We…
Accurate human motion prediction is crucial for safe human-robot collaboration but remains challenging due to the complexity of modeling intricate and variable human movements. This paper presents Parallel Multi-scale Incremental Prediction…
Many of society's most pressing challenges, from pandemic response to supply chain disruptions to climate adaptation, emerge from the collective behavior of millions of autonomous agents making decisions over time. Large Population Models…
For model-based estimation methods, the modeling that is as close to reality as possible makes a vital estimation result. In simple applications, it is sufficient to model a system with a single state space model. However, there are…
Statistical shape modeling is an essential tool for the quantitative analysis of anatomical populations. Point distribution models (PDMs) represent the anatomical surface via a dense set of correspondences, an intuitive and easy-to-use…
Supporting the health and well-being of dynamic populations around the world requires governmental agencies, organizations and researchers to understand and reason over complex relationships between human behavior and local contexts in…
Neurons can code for multiple variables simultaneously and neuroscientists are often interested in classifying neurons based on their receptive field properties. Statistical models provide powerful tools for determining the factors…