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Clustering multivariate data is a pervasive task in many applied problems, particularly in social studies and life science. Model-based approaches to clustering rely on mixture models, where each mixture component corresponds to the kernel…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Laura Ferrini , Federico Castelletti

This paper describes a new method, HMM gauge likelihood analysis, or GLA, of detecting anomalies in discrete time series using Hidden Markov Models and clustering. At the center of the method lies the comparison of subsequences. To achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Boris Lorbeer , Tanja Deutsch , Peter Ruppel , Axel Küpper

We study the problem of clustering $T$ trajectories of length $H$, each generated by one of K unknown ergodic Markov chains over a finite state space of size $S$. We derive an instance-dependent, high-probability lower bound on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-18 Junghyun Lee , Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutière , Se-Young Yun

This paper formed part of a preliminary research report for a risk consultancy and academic research. Stochastic Programming models provide a powerful paradigm for decision making under uncertainty. In these models the uncertainties are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-08 Sovan Mitra

In this thesis, we propose several modelling strategies to tackle evolving data in different contexts. In the framework of static clustering, we start by introducing a soft kernel spectral clustering (SKSC) algorithm, which can better deal…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-11-24 Rocco Langone

Model-based clustering integrated with variable selection is a powerful tool for uncovering latent structures within complex data. However, its effectiveness is often hindered by challenges such as identifying relevant variables that define…

Identifying relationships between molecular variations and their clinical presentations has been challenged by the heterogeneous causes of a disease. It is imperative to unveil the relationship between the high dimensional molecular…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-02 Wennan Chang , Changlin Wan , Yong Zang , Chi Zhang , Sha Cao

We present an algorithm for learning mixtures of Markov chains and Markov decision processes (MDPs) from short unlabeled trajectories. Specifically, our method handles mixtures of Markov chains with optional control input by going through a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-07 Chinmaya Kausik , Kevin Tan , Ambuj Tewari

Multivariate time series data come as a collection of time series describing different aspects of a certain temporal phenomenon. Anomaly detection in this type of data constitutes a challenging problem yet with numerous applications in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Jinbo Li , Hesam Izakian , Witold Pedrycz , Iqbal Jamal

We address the problem of analyzing sets of noisy time-varying signals that all report on the same process but confound straightforward analyses due to complex inter-signal heterogeneities and measurement artifacts. In particular we…

Regression models, where the response variable is circular, are common in areas such as biology, geology and meteorology. A typical model assumes that the conditional distribution of the response follows a von-Mises distribution. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Sphiwe B. Skhosana , Najmeh Nakhaei Rad

Creating low dimensional representations of a high dimensional data set is an important component in many machine learning applications. How to cluster data using their low dimensional embedded space is still a challenging problem in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Zahra Moslehi , Abdolreza Mirzaei , Mehran Safayani

In the light of regularized dynamic time warping kernels, this paper re-considers the concept of time elastic centroid for a setof time series. We derive a new algorithm based on a probabilistic interpretation of kernel alignment matrices.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-12 Pierre-François Marteau

We introduce an extension of finite mixture models by incorporating skew-normal distributions within a Hidden Markov Model framework. By assuming a constant transition probability matrix and allowing emission distributions to vary according…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Andrea Nigri , Marco Forti , Han Lin Shang

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) can predict the future value of a time series based on its current and previous values, making it a powerful algorithm for handling various types of time series. Numerous studies have explored the improvement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 YeXin Huang

Clustering of time series is a well-studied problem, with applications ranging from quantitative, personalized models of metabolism obtained from metabolite concentrations to state discrimination in quantum information theory. We consider a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Mengjia Niu , Xiaoyu He , Petr Ryšavý , Quan Zhou , Jakub Marecek

This paper proposes model reduction approaches for consensus network systems based on a given clustering of the underlying graph. Namely, given a consensus network system of time-scaled agents evolving over a weighted undirected graph and a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-29 Ralph Sabbagh , Dany Abou Jaoude

Unsupervised clustering of temporal data is both challenging and crucial in machine learning. In this paper, we show that neither traditional clustering methods, time series specific or even deep learning-based alternatives generalise well…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Nuno Mota Goncalves , Ioana Giurgiu , Anika Schumann

The clustering of bounded data presents unique challenges in statistical analysis due to the constraints imposed on the data values. This paper introduces a novel method for model-based clustering specifically designed for bounded data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Luca Scrucca

Temporal data, obtained in the setting where it is only possible to observe one time point per experiment, is widely used in different research fields, yet remains insufficiently addressed from the statistical point of view. Such data often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot
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