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In this paper the problems of the retrospective analysis of models with time-varying structure are considered. These models include contamination models with randomly switching parameters and multivariate classification models with an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-31 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

Accurate models are essential for design, performance prediction, control, and diagnostics in complex engineering systems. Physics-based models excel during the design phase but often become outdated during system deployment due to changing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Zihan Liu , Prashant N. Kambali , C. Nataraj

Multivariate functional data present theoretical and practical complications which are not found in univariate functional data. One of these is a situation where the component functions of multivariate functional data are positive and are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Cody Carroll , Hans-Georg Müller

Federated learning enables distributed clients to collaborate on training while storing their data locally to protect client privacy. However, due to the heterogeneity of data, models, and devices, the final global model may need to perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Wolong Xing , Zhenkui Shi , Hongyan Peng , Xiantao Hu , Xianxian Li

Functional data analysis almost always involves smoothing discrete observations into curves, because they are never observed in continuous time and rarely without error. Although smoothing parameters affect the subsequent inference,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Sunny G. W. Wang , Valentin Patilea , Nicolas Klutchnikoff

Dynamical systems in the life sciences are often composed of complex mixtures of overlapping behavioral regimes. Cellular subpopulations may shift from cycling to equilibrium dynamics or branch towards different developmental fates. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Nathan Quiblier , Roy Friedman , Matthew Ricci

Understanding the sequence of cognitive operations that underlie decision-making is a fundamental challenge in cognitive neuroscience. Traditional approaches often rely on group-level statistics, which obscure trial-by-trial variations in…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-15 Rick den Otter , Gabriel Weindel , Sjoerd Stuit , Leendert van Maanen

Modeling functions that are sequentially observed as functional time series is becoming increasingly common. In such models, it is often crucial to ensure data homogeneity. We investigate the sensitivity of graph-based change point…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Jeremy VanderDoes , Shojaeddin Chenouri

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

Scientists often use observational time series data to study complex natural processes, but regression analyses often assume simplistic dynamics. Recent advances in deep learning have yielded startling improvements to the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Cory Shain , William Schuler

We present a data-driven modeling strategy to overcome improperly modeled dynamics for systems exhibiting complex spatio-temporal behaviors. We propose a Deep Learning framework to resolve the differences between the true dynamics of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Maan Qraitem , Dhanushka Kularatne , Eric Forgoston , M. Ani Hsieh

Regularized regression models are well studied and, under appropriate conditions, offer fast and statistically interpretable results. However, large data in many applications are heterogeneous in the sense of harboring distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Konstantinos Perrakis , Thomas Lartigue , Frank Dondelinger , Sach Mukherjee

Process curves are multivariate finite time series data coming from manufacturing processes. This paper studies machine learning that detect drifts in process curve datasets. A theoretic framework to synthetically generate process curves in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-06 Edgar Wolf , Tobias Windisch

In a real life process evolving over time, the relationship between its relevant variables may change. Therefore, it is advantageous to have different inference models for each state of the process. Asymmetric hidden Markov models fulfil…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Carlos Puerto-Santana , Pedro Larrañaga , Concha Bielza

Curve registration and clustering are fundamental tools in the analysis of functional data. While several methods have been developed and explored for either task individually, limited work has been done to infer functional clusters and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-28 Yafeng Zhang , Donatello Telesca

Representations of sequential data are commonly based on the assumption that observed sequences are realizations of an unknown underlying stochastic process, where the learning problem includes determination of the model parameters. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-17 Ronny Hug , Wolfgang Hübner , Michael Arens

Functional data analysis deals with data recorded densely over time (or any other continuum) with one or more observed curves per subject. Conceptually, functional data are continuously defined, but in practice, they are usually observed at…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-20 Chengqian Xian , Camila de Souza , John Jewell , Ronaldo Dias

The latent class model is a widely used mixture model for multivariate discrete data. Besides the existence of qualitatively heterogeneous latent classes, real data often exhibit additional quantitative heterogeneity nested within each…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Zhongyuan Lyu , Ling Chen , Yuqi Gu

Signal processing traditionally relies on classical statistical modeling techniques. Such model-based methods utilize mathematical formulations that represent the underlying physics, prior information and additional domain knowledge. Simple…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-08 Nir Shlezinger , Yonina C. Eldar

Clustering multivariate data is a pervasive task in many applied problems, particularly in social studies and life science. Model-based approaches to clustering rely on mixture models, where each mixture component corresponds to the kernel…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Laura Ferrini , Federico Castelletti