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We define the concept of an "open" Markov process, or more precisely, continuous-time Markov chain, which is one where probability can flow in or out of certain states called "inputs" and "outputs". One can build up a Markov process from…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-08-22 John C. Baez , Brendan Fong , Blake S. Pollard

When two Markov operators commute, it suggests that we can couple two copies of one of the corresponding processes. We explicitly construct a number of couplings of this type for a commuting family of Markov processes on the set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-20 Anthony P. Metcalfe , Neil O'Connell , Jon Warren

In this paper, a Bayesian method for piecewise regression is adapted to handle counting processes data distributed as Poisson. A numerical code in Mathematica is developed and tested analyzing simulated data. The resulting method is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-21 Diego Sevilla

We propose an approach to compute the boundary crossing probabilities for a class of diffusion processes which can be expressed as piecewise monotone (not necessarily one-to-one) functionals of a standard Brownian motion. This class…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Liqun Wang , Klaus Pötzelberger

The influence of a time-periodic forcing on stochastic processes can essentially be emphasized in the large time behaviour of their paths. The statistics of transition in a simple Markov chain model permits to quantify this influence. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Samuel Herrmann , Damien Landon

We construct a monoidal category of open transition systems that generate material history as transitions unfold, which we call situated transition systems. The material history generated by a composite system is composed of the material…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-04 Chad Nester

Many integrable stochastic particle systems in one space dimension (such as TASEP - Totally Asymmetric Simple Exclusion Process - and its $q$-deformation, the $q$-TASEP) remain integrable if we equip each particle with its own speed…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Leonid Petrov , Axel Saenz

Filtered Poisson processes are often used as reference models for intermittent fluc- tuations in physical systems. Such a process is here extended by adding a noise term, either as a purely additive term to the process or as a dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia , Martin Rypdal

A typical polling system consists of a number of queues, attended by a single server in a fixed order. The vast majority of papers on polling systems focusses on Poisson arrivals, whereas very few results are available for general arrivals.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-04 Marko Boon , Erik Winands , Ivo Adan , Sandra van Wijk

The reduction of a continuous Markov process with multiple metastable states to a discrete rate process is investigated in the presence of slow time dependent parameters such as periodic external forces or slowly fluctuating barrier…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Peter Talkner , Jerzy Luczka

Modeling count-valued time series has been receiving increasing attention since count time series naturally arise in physical and social domains. Poisson gamma dynamical systems (PGDSs) are newly-developed methods, which can well capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Rui Huang , Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl

We introduce a multistable subordinator, which generalizes the stable subordinator to the case of time-varying stability index. This enables us to define a multifractional Poisson process. We study properties of these processes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Ilya Molchanov , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

Consider a one-sided Markov additive process with an upper and a lower barrier, where each can be either reflecting or terminating. For both defective and non-defective processes and all possible scenarios we identify the corresponding…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Jevgenijs Ivanovs

The use of coordinate processes for the modelling of impulse control for general Markov processes typically involves the construction of a probability measure on a countable product of copies of the path space. In addition, admissibility of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-02 K. L. Helmes , R. H. Stockbridge , C. Zhu

Probability generating functions for first passage times of Markov chains are found using the method of collective marks. A system of equations is found which can be used to obtain moments of the first passage times.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-14 Yiping ZHANG , Myron HLYNKA , Percy H. BRILL

We present a short introduction into the framework of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We illustrate the abstract mathematical setting with a series of examples related to dispersal of biological systems, cell cycle models, gene…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Ryszard Rudnicki , Marta Tyran-Kaminska

We consider a fractional counting process with jumps of amplitude $1,2,\ldots,k$, with $k\in \mathbb{N}$, whose probabilities satisfy a suitable system of fractional difference-differential equations. We obtain the moment generating…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-10 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Alessandra Meoli

We present a numerical method to compute expectations of functionals of a piecewise-deterministic Markov process. We discuss time dependent functionals as well as deterministic time horizon problems. Our approach is based on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Adrien Brandejsky , Benoîte de Saporta , François Dufour

We consider the down/up crossing property of weighted Markov branching processes. The joint probability distribution of multi crossing numbers of such processes are obtained. In particular, for Markov branching processes, the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Yanyun Li , Junping Li

We study Markov processes conditioned so that their local time must grow slower than a prescribed function. Building upon recent work on Brownian motion with constrained local time in [5] and [33], we study transience and recurrence for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Adam Barker
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