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We introduce a family of stochastic models motivated by the study of nonequilibrium steady states of fluid equations. These models decompose the deterministic dynamics of interest into fundamental building blocks, i.e., minimal vector…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Andrea Agazzi , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Omar Melikechi

Random walks find applications in many areas of science and are the heart of essential network analytic tools. When defined on temporal networks, even basic random walk models may exhibit a rich spectrum of behaviours, due to the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-11 Julien Petit , Renaud Lambiotte , Timoteo Carletti

This paper is concerned with modeling the dependence structure of two (or more) time-series in the presence of a (possible multivariate) covariate which may include past values of the time series. We assume that the covariate influences…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Natalie Neumeyer , Marek Omelka , Sarka Hudecova

In this paper we consider a telegraph equation with time-dependent coefficients, governing the persistent random walk of a particle moving on the line with a time-varying velocity $c(t)$ and changing direction at instants distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Luca Angelani , Roberto Garra

Recently, D. Williams \cite{williams} gave an explicit example of a random time $\rho $ associated with Brownian motion such that $\rho $ is not a stopping time but $\mathbb{E}M_{\rho}=\mathbb{E}M_{0}$ for every bounded martingale $M$. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ashkan Nikeghbali , Marc Yor

In this paper, a time series model with coefficients that take values from random matrix ensembles is proposed. Formal definitions, theoretical solutions, and statistical properties are derived. Estimation and forecast methodologies for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-07 Peiyuan Teng , Min Xu

In this paper we present multivariate space-time fractional Poisson processes by considering common random time-changes of a (finite-dimensional) vector of independent classical (non-fractional) Poisson processes. In some cases we also…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

It is the common lore to assume that knowing the equation for the probability distribution function (PDF) of a stochastic model as a function of time tells the whole picture defining all other characteristics of the model. We show that this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Yasmine Meroz , Igor M. Sokolov , Joseph Klafter

In the paper we consider an interesting possibility of a time as a stochastic process in quantum mechanics.In order to do it we reconsider time as a mechanical quantity in classical mechanics and afterwards we quantize it. We consider…

General Physics · Physics 2022-05-13 M. W. Kalinowski

The concept of conditional expectation is important in applications of probability and statistics in many areas such as reliability engineering, economy, finance, and actuarial sciences due to its property of being the best predictor of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-07 Ismihan Bayramoglu

Many dynamical phenomena display a cyclic behavior, in the sense that time can be partitioned into units within which distributional aspects of a process are homogeneous. In this paper, we introduce a class of models - called conjugate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Eduardo Horta , Flavio Ziegelmann

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

An approach for the description of stochastic systems is derived. Some of the variables in the system are studied forward in time, others backward in time. The approach is based on a perturbation expansion in the strength of the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-04 Piero Olla

A probabilistic method for solving time-dependent load-transfer models of fracture is developed. It is applicable to any rule of load redistribution, i.e, local, hierarchical, etc. In the new method, the fluctuations are generated during…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-08-17 J. B. Gomez , Y. Moreno , A. F. Pacheco

We extend flow matching to ensembles of linear systems in both deterministic and stochastic settings. Averaging over system parameters induces memory leading to a non-Markovian interpolation problem for the stochastic case. In this setting,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Daniel Owusu Adu , Yongxin Chen

We consider the task of modeling a dependent sequence of random partitions. It is well-known that a random measure in Bayesian nonparametrics induces a distribution over random partitions. The community has therefore assumed that the best…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Garritt L. Page , Fernando A. Quintana , David B. Dahl

This article develops a comprehensive framework for stability analysis of a broad class of commonly used continuous and discrete time-filters for stochastic dynamic systems with non-linear state dynamics and linear measurements under…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-11 Toni Karvonen , Silvère Bonnabel , Eric Moulines , Simo Särkkä

In the probability theory limit distributions (or probability measures) are often characterized by some convolution equations (factorization properties) rather than by Fourier transforms (the characteristic functionals). In fact, usually…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-24 Zbigniew J. Jurek

A sequential importance sampling algorithm is developed for the distribution that results when a matrix of independent, but not identically distributed, Bernoulli random variables is conditioned on a given sequence of row and column sums.…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-18 Matthew T. Harrison , Jeffrey W. Miller

Time evolutions whose infinitesimal generator is a fractional time derivative arise generally in the long time limit. Such fractional time evolutions are considered here for random walks. An exact relationship is given between the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 R. Hilfer