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Multiplicative cascades have been introduced in turbulence to generate random or deterministic fields having intermittent values and long-range power-law correlations. Generally this is done using discrete construction rules leading to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Francois G. Schmitt

We tackle the problem of conditioning probabilistic programs on distributions of observable variables. Probabilistic programs are usually conditioned on samples from the joint data distribution, which we refer to as deterministic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 David Tolpin , Yuan Zhou , Tom Rainforth , Hongseok Yang

We derive explicit integrability conditions for stochastic integrals taken over time and space driven by a random measure. Our main tool is a canonical decomposition of a random measure which extends the results from the purely temporal…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Carsten Chong , Claudia Klüppelberg

The class of stochastic matrices that have a stochastic $c$-th root for infinitely many natural numbers $c$ is introduced and studied. Such matrices are called arbitrarily finely divisible, and generalise the class of infinitely divisible…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Priyanka Joshi , Helena Šmigoc

We consider a class of fractional time stochastic equation defined on a bounded domain and show that the presence of the time derivative induces a significant change in the qualitative behaviour of the solutions. This is in sharp contrast…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Mohammud Foondun

This article is a presentation of specific recent results describing scaling limits of individual-based models. Thanks to them, we wish to relate the time-scales typical of demographic dynamics and natural selection to the parameters of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

Stochastic filtering refers to estimating the probability distribution of the latent stochastic process conditioned on the observed measurements in time. In this paper, we introduce a new class of convergent filters that represent the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-27 Zheng Zhao , Juha Sarmavuori

From a continuous-time long memory stochastic process, a discrete-time randomly sampled one is drawn. We investigate the second-order properties of this process and establish some time-and frequency-domain asymptotic results. We mainly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe , Caroline Robet

We introduce a new stochastic duration model for transaction times in asset markets. We argue that widely accepted rules for aggregating seemingly related trades mislead inference pertaining to durations between unrelated trades: while any…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-20 Samuel Gingras , William J. McCausland

In this paper, we introduce the concept of random time changes in dynamical systems. The sub- ordination principle may be applied to study the long time behavior of the random time systems. We show, under certain assumptions on the class of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-21 R. Capuani , L. Di Persio , Y. Kondratiev , M. Ricciardi , J. L. da Silva

The need to condition distributional properties such as expectation, variance, and entropy arises in algorithmic fairness, model simplification, robustness and many other areas. At face value however, distributional properties are not…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Zenna Tavares , Xin Zhang , Edgar Minaysan , Javier Burroni , Rajesh Ranganath , Armando Solar Lezama

Stochastic differential equations play an important role in various applications when modeling systems that have either random perturbations or chaotic dynamics at faster time scales. The time evolution of the probability distribution of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-11 Yao Li , Caleb Meredith

In mathematical modeling of the non-squared frequency-dependent diffusions, also known as the anomalous diffusions, it is desirable to have a positive real Fourier transform for the time derivative of arbitrary fractional or odd integer…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 W Chen

Many regenerative arguments in stochastic processes use random times which are akin to stopping times, but which are determined by the future as well as the past behaviour of the process of interest. Such arguments based on "conditioning on…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-09 Sergey Foss , Stan Zachary

We focus on variational inference in dynamical systems where the discrete time transition function (or evolution rule) is modelled by a Gaussian process. The dominant approach so far has been to use a factorised posterior distribution,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-17 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , James Hensman , Carl Edward Rasmussen

All covariant time operators with normalized probability distribution are derived. Symmetry criteria are invoked to arrive at a unique expression for a given Hamiltonian. As an application, a well known result for the arrival time…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-19 G. C. Hegerfeldt , J. G. Muga

Let $\mathbb{F}$ be a filtration and $\tau$ be a random time. Let $\mathbb{G}$ be the progressive enlargement of $\mathbb{F}$ with $\tau$. We study the validity of the following formula, called optional splitting formula : For any…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-23 Shiqi Song

We consider a system consisting of a planar random walk on a square lattice, submitted to stochastic elementary local deformations. Depending on the deformation transition rates, and specifically on a parameter $\eta$ which breaks the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Guy Fayolle , Cyril Furtlehner

A physical-mathematical approach to anomalous diffusion may be based on generalized diffusion equations (containing derivatives of fractional order in space or/and time) and related random walk models. The fundamental solution (for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-09-25 Rudolf Gorenflo , Francesco Mainardi , Daniele Moretti , Gianni Pagnini , Paolo Paradisi

The continuous time random walk model plays an important role in modeling of so called anomalous diffusion behaviour. One of the specific property of such model are constant time periods visible in trajectory. In the continuous time random…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-01-04 Rafał Połoczański , Agnieszka Wyłomańska , Janusz Gajda , Monika Maciejewska , Andrzej Szczurek