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Filtering and parameter estimation under partial information for multiscale problems is studied in this paper. After proving mean square convergence of the nonlinear filter to a filter of reduced dimension, we establish that the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Consistent experiment data are crucial to adjust parameters of physics models and to determine best estimates of observables. However, often experiment data are not consistent due to unrecognized systematic errors. Standard methods of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-03-05 Georg Schnabel

This paper is devoted to the multivariate estimation of a vector of Poisson means. A novel loss function that penalises bad estimates of each of the parameters and the sum (or equivalently the mean) of the parameters is introduced. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Emil Aas Stoltenberg , Nils Lid Hjort

The problem of astrometry is revisited from the perspective of analyzing the attainability of well-known performance limits (the Cramer-Rao bound) for the estimation of the relative position of light-emitting (usually point-like) sources on…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-05 Sebastian Espinosa , Jorge F. Silva , Rene A. Mendez , Rodrigo Lobos , Marcos Orchard

The method of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a widely used statistical approach for estimating the values of one or more unknown parameters of a probabilistic model based on observed data. In this tutorial, I briefly review the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-03 Anthony Vella

Traditional binned statistics such as $\chi^2$ suffer from information loss and arbitrariness of the binning procedure. We point out that the underlying statistical quantity (the log likelihood $L$) does not require any binning beyond the…

We obtain an approximate Gaussian distribution from a Poisson distribution after doing a change of variable. A new chi-square function is obtained which can be used for parameter estimations and goodness-of-fit testing when adjusting curves…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-10-31 F. M. L. Almeida , M. Barbi , M. A. B. do Vale

Compound Poisson distributions have been employed by many authors to fit experimental data, typically via the method of moments or maximum likelihood estimation. We propose a new technique and apply it to several sets of published data. It…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 S. R. Mane

We present an algorithm based on maximum likelihood for the estimation and renormalization (marginalization) of exponential densities. The moment-matching problem resulting from the maximization of the likelihood is solved as an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Panagiotis Stinis

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In this paper we consider two such likelihood ratios. The first one is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-04-05 Serguei Dachian

There are several assumptions made in a standard $\chi^2$ analysis of data, including the frequent assumption that the likelihood function is well approximated by a multivariate Gaussian distribution. This article briefly reviews the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-02-09 Andrew W. Steiner

In this short note, we derive a new bias adjusted maximum likelihood estimate for the shape parameter of the Weibull distribution with complete data and type I censored data. The proposed estimate of the shape parameter is significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Enes Makalic , Daniel F. Schmidt

[ABRIDGED] The Cash statistic, also known as the C stat, is commonly used for the analysis of low-count Poisson data, including data with null counts for certain values of the independent variable. The use of this statistic is especially…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Massimiliano Bonamente , David Spence

Likelihood based-learning of graphical models faces challenges of computational-complexity and robustness to model mis-specification. This paper studies methods that fit parameters directly to maximize a measure of the accuracy of predicted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-04 Justin Domke

Optical measurements often exhibit mixed Poisson-Gaussian noise statistics, which hampers image quality, particularly under low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) conditions. Computational imaging falls short in such situations when solely…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-16 Jacob Seifert , Yifeng Shao , Rens van Dam , Dorian Bouchet , Tristan van Leeuwen , Allard P. Mosk

We derive uniform convergence rates for the maximum likelihood estimator and minimax lower bounds for parameter estimation in two-component location-scale Gaussian mixture models with unequal variances. We assume the mixing proportions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Tudor Manole , Nhat Ho

We describe an approximation to the widely-used Poisson-likelihood chi-square using a linear combination of Neyman's and Pearson's chi-squares, namely "combined Neyman-Pearson chi-square" ($\chi^2_{\mathrm{CNP}}$). Through analytical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-26 Xiangpan Ji , Wenqiang Gu , Xin Qian , Hanyu Wei , Chao Zhang

This paper develops a bias correction scheme for a multivariate heteroskedastic errors-in-variables model. The applicability of this model is justified in areas such as astrophysics, epidemiology and analytical chemistry, where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-27 Alexandre G. Patriota , Artur J. Lemonte , Heleno Bolfarine

We discuss the constraints one can place on cosmological parameters using current cosmic microwave background data. A standard $\chi^2$--minimization over band--power estimates is first presented, followed by a discussion of the more…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 J. G. Bartlett , A. Blanchard , M. Douspis , M. Le Dour

We address several estimation problems in quantum optics by means of the maximum-likelihood principle. We consider Gaussian state estimation and the determination of the coupling parameters of quadratic Hamiltonians. Moreover, we analyze…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-06 G. Mauro D'Ariano , Matteo G. A. Paris , Massimiliano F. Sacchi