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Stochastic blockmodels (SBM) and their variants, $e.g.$, mixed-membership and overlapping stochastic blockmodels, are latent variable based generative models for graphs. They have proven to be successful for various tasks, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Nikhil Mehta , Lawrence Carin , Piyush Rai

The present paper aims to demonstrate the usage of Convolutional Neural Networks as a generative model for stochastic processes, enabling researchers from a wide range of fields (such as quantitative finance and physics) to develop a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-12 Fernando Fernandes Neto

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) set the state-of-the-art in representation learning for graph-structured data. They are used in many domains, from online social networks to complex molecules. Most GNNs leverage the message-passing paradigm and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Tuğrul Hasan Karabulut , İnci M. Baytaş

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

This thesis investigates unsupervised time series representation learning for sequence prediction problems, i.e. generating nice-looking input samples given a previous history, for high dimensional input sequences by decoupling the static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-19 Markus Beissinger

Multiscale dynamical systems characterized by interacting fast and slow processes are ubiquitous across scientific domains, from climate dynamics to fluid mechanics. Accurate modeling of such systems requires capturing both the long-term…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-07 Giulio Del Felice , Ludovico Theo Giorgini

Gaussian state space models have been used for decades as generative models of sequential data. They admit an intuitive probabilistic interpretation, have a simple functional form, and enjoy widespread adoption. We introduce a unified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-06 Rahul G. Krishnan , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

The parameters of a discrete stationary Markov model are transition probabilities between states. Traditionally, data consist in sequences of observed states for a given number of individuals over the whole observation period. In such a…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-30 Alberto Pasanisi , Shuai Fu , Nicolas Bousquet

Traffic forecasting is a challenging spatio-temporal modeling task and a critical component of urban transportation management. Current studies mainly focus on deterministic predictions, with limited considerations on the uncertainty and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Weijiang Xiong , Robert Fonod , Nikolas Geroliminis

We present a novel model Graph Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (Graph Neural SDEs). This technique enhances the Graph Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (Graph Neural ODEs) by embedding randomness into data representation using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Richard Bergna , Felix Opolka , Pietro Liò , Jose Miguel Hernandez-Lobato

Markov cohort state-transition models have been the standard approach for simulating the prognosis of patients or, more generally, the life trajectories of individuals over a time period. Current approaches for estimating the variance of a…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-07 Rowan Iskandar , Cassandra Berns

Despite much research, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) still do not display the favorable scaling properties of other deep neural networks such as Convolutional Neural Networks and Transformers. Previous work has identified issues such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Ameen Ali , Hakan Cevikalp , Lior Wolf

Graph neural networks (GNNs) are designed to process data associated with graphs. They are finding an increasing range of applications; however, as with other modern machine learning techniques, their theoretical understanding is limited.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-02-23 O. Duranthon , L. Zdeborová

We focus on generative autoencoders, such as variational or adversarial autoencoders, which jointly learn a generative model alongside an inference model. Generative autoencoders are those which are trained to softly enforce a prior on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-13 Antonia Creswell , Kai Arulkumaran , Anil Anthony Bharath

Probabilistic Boolean Networks (PBNs) have been previously proposed so as to gain insights into complex dy- namical systems. However, identification of large networks and of the underlying discrete Markov Chain which describes their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-24 Ifigeneia Apostolopoulou , Diana Marculescu

Turbulence governs the transport of momentum, energy, and scalars in many geophysical and engineering flows. In large-eddy simulations (LES), parameterizing subgrid-scale (SGS) stresses remains a central challenge, as unresolved physical…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-10-02 Yu Cheng , Tianle Liu

In Bayesian structure learning, we are interested in inferring a distribution over the directed acyclic graph (DAG) structure of Bayesian networks, from data. Defining such a distribution is very challenging, due to the combinatorially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Tristan Deleu , António Góis , Chris Emezue , Mansi Rankawat , Simon Lacoste-Julien , Stefan Bauer , Yoshua Bengio

Distributed training of GNNs enables learning on massive graphs (e.g., social and e-commerce networks) that exceed the storage and computational capacity of a single machine. To reach performance comparable to centralized training,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Jiong Zhu , Aishwarya Reganti , Edward Huang , Charles Dickens , Nikhil Rao , Karthik Subbian , Danai Koutra

We consider Markov models of stochastic processes where the next-step conditional distribution is defined by a kernel density estimator (KDE), similar to Markov forecast densities and certain time-series bootstrap schemes. The KDE Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Gustav Eje Henter , Arne Leijon , W. Bastiaan Kleijn

Stochastic gradient MCMC (SG-MCMC) has played an important role in large-scale Bayesian learning, with well-developed theoretical convergence properties. In such applications of SG-MCMC, it is becoming increasingly popular to employ…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-24 Changyou Chen , Nan Ding , Chunyuan Li , Yizhe Zhang , Lawrence Carin