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Machine learning methods on graphs have proven useful in many applications due to their ability to handle generally structured data. The framework of Gaussian Markov Random Fields (GMRFs) provides a principled way to define Gaussian models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-13 Joel Oskarsson , Per Sidén , Fredrik Lindsten

Understanding and predicting how complex systems respond to external perturbations is a central challenge in nonequilibrium statistical physics. Here we consider continuous-time Markov networks, which we subject to perturbations along a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-25 Robin Bebon , Thomas Speck

Hierarchical tree structures are common in many real-world systems, from tree roots and branches to neuronal dendrites and biologically inspired artificial neural networks, as well as in technological networks for organizing and searching…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-04 Davide Cipollini , Lambert Schomaker

The potential effects of conservation actions on threatened species can be predicted using ensemble ecosystem models by forecasting populations with and without intervention. These model ensembles commonly assume stable coexistence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-22 Sarah A. Vollert , Christopher Drovandi , Matthew P. Adams

This paper is concerned with the approximation of high-dimensional functions in a statistical learning setting, by empirical risk minimization over model classes of functions in tree-based tensor format. These are particular classes of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-15 Erwan Grelier , Anthony Nouy , Mathilde Chevreuil

The theory of learning under the uniform distribution is rich and deep, with connections to cryptography, computational complexity, and the analysis of boolean functions to name a few areas. This theory however is very limited due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-15 Varun Kanade , Elchanan Mossel

We investigate how the properties of epidemic networks change depending on the availability of different types of data on a disease outbreak. This is achieved by introducing mathematical and computational methods that estimate the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-09-03 Oscar Fajardo-Fontiveros , Carl J. E. Suster , Eduardo G. Altmann

Understanding the structural complexity and predictability of complex networks is a central challenge in network science. Although recent studies have revealed a relationship between compression-based entropy and link prediction…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Sebastián Brzovic , Cristóbal Rojas , Andrés Abeliuk

Artificial Neural Networks form the basis of very powerful learning methods. It has been observed that a naive application of fully connected neural networks to data with many irrelevant variables often leads to overfitting. In an attempt…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Gitesh Dawer , Yangzi Guo , Sida Liu , Adrian Barbu

Predictions of fatalities from violent conflict on the PRIO-GRID-month (pgm) level are characterized by high levels of uncertainty, limiting their usefulness in practical applications. We discuss the two main sources of uncertainty for this…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-13 Daniel Mittermaier , Tobias Bohne , Martin Hofer , Daniel Racek

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have recently gained popularity in the forecasting domain due to their ability to model complex spatial and temporal patterns in tasks such as traffic forecasting and region-based demand forecasting. Most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Abishek Sriramulu , Nicolas Fourrier , Christoph Bergmeir

Building predictive models for tabular data presents fundamental challenges, notably in scaling consistently, i.e., more resources translating to better performance, and generalizing systematically beyond the training data distribution.…

Consider a collection of random variables attached to the vertices of a graph. The reconstruction problem requires to estimate one of them given `far away' observations. Several theoretical results (and simple algorithms) are available when…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-10 Antoine Gerschenfeld , Andrea Montanari

The hierarchical system of forest ecosystem models based on the theory of individual-based (structured) models of populations and communities is briefly described. New self-thinning models are integrated with tree stand models within a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Georgy P. Karev

Markovian population models are suitable abstractions to describe well-mixed interacting particle systems in situation where stochastic fluctuations are significant due to the involvement of low copy particles. In molecular biology,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-17 Christoph Zechner , Federico Wadehn , Heinz Koeppl

We introduce a novel class of graphical models, termed profile graphical models, that represent, within a single graph, how an external factor influences the dependence structure of a multivariate set of variables. This class is quite…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Monia Lupparelli , Francesco C. Stingo

We study the family of network models derived by requiring the expected properties of a graph ensemble to match a given set of measurements of a real-world network, while maximizing the entropy of the ensemble. Models of this type play the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Juyong Park , M. E. J. Newman

We give an algorithm for learning $O(\log n)$ juntas in polynomial-time with respect to Markov Random Fields (MRFs) in a smoothed analysis framework where only the external field has been randomly perturbed. This is a broad generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Gautam Chandrasekaran , Adam Klivans

Many complex systems change their structure over time, in these cases dynamic networks can provide a richer representation of such phenomena. As a consequence, many inference methods have been generalized to the dynamic case with the aim to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Hadiseh Safdari , Martina Contisciani , Caterina De Bacco

In this paper, we propose a new estimation procedure for discovering the structure of Gaussian Markov random fields (MRFs) with false discovery rate (FDR) control, making use of the sorted l1-norm (SL1) regularization. A Gaussian MRF is an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-25 Sangkyun Lee , Piotr Sobczyk , Malgorzata Bogdan
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