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In this paper, we tackle the problem of risk-averse route planning in a transportation network with time-dependent and stochastic costs. To solve this problem, we propose an adaptation of the A* algorithm that accommodates any risk measure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-01-04 Dajian Li , Paul Weng , Orkun Karabasoglu

Bellman formulated a vague principle for optimization over time, which characterizes optimal policies by stating that a decision maker should not regret previous decisions retrospectively. This paper addresses time consistency in stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Alois Pichler , Alexander Shapiro

Trajectory optimization under uncertainty underpins a wide range of applications in robotics. However, existing methods are limited in terms of reasoning about sources of epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty, space and time correlations,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Thomas Lew , Riccardo Bonalli , Marco Pavone

We present simple general conditions on the acceptance sets under which their induced monetary risk and deviation measures are comonotonic additive. We show that acceptance sets induce comonotonic additive risk measures if and only if the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-12 Samuel Solgon Santos , Marlon Ruoso Moresco , Marcelo Brutti Righi , Eduardo de Oliveira Horta

Uncertainty is prevalent in engineering design, data-driven problems, and decision making broadly. Due to inherent risk-averseness and ambiguity about assumptions, it is common to address uncertainty by formulating and solving conservative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Johannes O. Royset

We establish structural properties of optimal stopping problems under time-consistent dynamic (coherent) risk measures, focusing on value function monotonicity and the existence of control limit (threshold) optimal policies. While such…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-16 Xingyu Ren , Michael C. Fu , Steven I. Marcus

A one-to-one correspondence is drawn between law invariant risk measures and divergences, which we define as functionals of pairs of probability measures on arbitrary standard Borel spaces satisfying a few natural properties. Divergences…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-07 Daniel Lacker

In this work we consider optimal stopping problems with conditional convex risk measures called optimised certainty equivalents. Without assuming any kind of time-consistency for the underlying family of risk measures, we derive a novel…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-16 Denis Belomestny , Volker Kraetschmer

We consider the traffic assignment problem in nonatomic routing games where the players' cost functions may be subject to random fluctuations (e.g., weather disturbances, perturbations in the underlying network, etc.). We tackle this…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Dong Quan Vu , Kimon Antonakopoulos , Panayotis Mertikopoulos

We study combinations of risk measures under no restrictive assumption on the set of alternatives. We develop and discuss results regarding the preservation of properties and acceptance sets for the combinations of risk measures. One of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Marcelo Brutti Righi

We propose a recursive logit model which captures the notion of choice aversion by imposing a penalty term that accounts for the dimension of the choice set at each node of the transportation network. We make three contributions. First, we…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-19 Austin Knies , Jorge Lorca , Emerson Melo

In route selection problems, the driver's personal preferences will determine whether she prefers a route with a travel time that has a relatively low mean and high variance over one that has relatively high mean and low variance. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Rens Kamphuis , Michel Mandjes , Paulo Serra

We propose a risk measurement approach for a risk-averse stochastic problem. We provide results that guarantee that our problem has a solution. We characterize and explore the properties of the argmin as a risk measure and the minimum as a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Marcelo Brutti Righi , Fernanda Maria Müller , Marlon Ruoso Moresco

Based on the reliability budget and percentile travel time (PTT) concept, a new travel time index named combined mean travel time (CMTT) under stochastic traffic network was proposed. CMTT here was defined as the convex combination of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-12 Wen-Yi Zhang , Wei Guan , Li-Ying Song , Hui-Jun Sun

This paper introduces a new type of risk measures, namely regime switching entropic risk measures, and study their applicability through simulations. The state of the economy is incorporated into the entropic risk formulation by using a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-28 Babacar Seck , Robert J. Elliott

In this paper we provide a flexible framework allowing for a unified study of time consistency of risk measures and performance measures (also known as acceptability indices). The proposed framework not only integrates existing forms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-08 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Marcin Pitera

We consider reinforcement learning with performance evaluated by a dynamic risk measure. We construct a projected risk-averse dynamic programming equation and study its properties. Then we propose risk-averse counterparts of the methods of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Umit Kose , Andrzej Ruszczynski

Stability of Wardrop equilibria is analyzed for dynamical transportation networks in which the drivers' route choices are influenced by information at multiple temporal and spatial scales. The considered model involves a continuum of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Giacomo Como , Ketan Savla , Daron Acemoglu , Munther A. Dahleh , Emilio Frazzoli

We propose a microscopic decision model for route choice based on discrete choice theory. The correlation of overlapping routes is included in the random portions of the utility explicitly. For computational efficiency, we restrict the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-29 Markus Rausch , Martin Treiber , Stefan Lämmer

We extend stochastic network optimization theory to treat networks with arbitrary sample paths for arrivals, channels, and mobility. The network can experience unexpected link or node failures, traffic bursts, and topology changes, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-01-07 Michael J. Neely
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