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We introduce a multistable subordinator, which generalizes the stable subordinator to the case of time-varying stability index. This enables us to define a multifractional Poisson process. We study properties of these processes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Ilya Molchanov , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

In simulations of multiscale dynamical systems, not all relevant processes can be resolved explicitly. Taking the effect of the unresolved processes into account is important, which introduces the need for paramerizations. We present a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Daan Crommelin , Wouter Edeling

We study a class of multi-stage stochastic programs, which incorporate modeling features from Markov decision processes (MDPs). This class includes structured MDPs with continuous action and state spaces. We extend policy graphs to include…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 David P. Morton , Oscar Dowson , Bernardo K. Pagnoncelli

Stochastic mechanics---the study of classical stochastic systems governed by things like master equations and Fokker-Planck equations---exhibits striking mathematical parallels to quantum mechanics. In this article, we make those parallels…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-01 John J. Vastola , William R. Holmes

In this review/tutorial article, we present recent progress on optimal control of partially observed Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs). We first present regularity and continuity conditions for POMDPs and their belief-MDP reductions, where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Ali Devran Kara , Serdar Yuksel

Stochastic processes are proposed whose master equations coincide with classical wave, telegraph, and Klein-Gordon equations. Similar to predecessors based on the Goldstein-Kac telegraph process, the model describes the motion of particles…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 A. V. Plyukhin

For a class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes we introduce a stochastic calculus which is a certain non-Gaussian counterpart to the classical Malliavin calculus. As an application we investigate the regularity of densities of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Jörg-Uwe Löbus

Modern signal processing (SP) methods rely very heavily on probability and statistics to solve challenging SP problems. SP methods are now expected to deal with ever more complex models, requiring ever more sophisticated computational…

We propose a systematic method to derive the asymptotic behaviour of the persistence distribution, for a large class of stochastic processes described by a general Fokker-Planck equation in one dimension. Theoretical predictions are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean Farago

In the development of stochastic integration and the theory of semimartingales, Markov processes have been a constant source of inspiration. Despite this historical interweaving, it turned out that semimartingales should be considered the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-29 Sebastian Rickelhoff , Alexander Schnurr

This manuscript provides additional case analysis for the parameters setting of the distributed probabilistic modeling algorithm for the aggregated wind power forecast error.

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-09-05 Mengshuo Jia , Chen Shen , Zhiwen Wang

This article provides an introductory tutorial on structural results in partially observed Markov decision processes (POMDPs). Typically, computing the optimal policy of a POMDP is computationally intractable. We use lattice program- ming…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-15 Vikram Krishnamurthy

Increasing effort is put into the development of methods for learning mechanistic models from data. This task entails not only the accurate estimation of parameters but also a suitable model structure. Recent work on the discovery of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Justin N. Kreikemeyer , Philipp Andelfinger , Adelinde M. Uhrmacher

This paper proposes an algorithm for computing regularized solutions to linear rational expectations models. The algorithm allows for regularization cross-sectionally as well as across frequencies. A variety of numerical examples illustrate…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-28 Majid M. Al-Sadoon

This brief introduction to Model Predictive Control specifically addresses stochastic Model Predictive Control, where probabilistic constraints are considered. A simple linear system subject to uncertainty serves as an example. The Matlab…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-25 Tim Brüdigam

A broader definition of generalized truncations of graphs is introduced followed by an exploration of some standard concepts and parameters with regard to generalized truncations.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-07-10 Brian Alspach , Joshua B. Connor

Based on the generalized Boltzmann equation and the reverse function of the distribution function, we investigate the two-parameter generalized statistics and get an expression between the two parameters (k,r) and the physical quantities…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-10 Lina Guo , Jiulin Du

The generalized Marshall-Olkin Lomax distribution is introduced, and its properties are easily obtained from those of the Lomax distribution. A regression model for censored data is proposed. The parameters are estimated through maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Alexsandro A. Ferreira , Gauss M. Cordeiro

Stochastic optimisation algorithms are the de facto standard for machine learning with large amounts of data. Handling only a subset of available data in each optimisation step dramatically reduces the per-iteration computational costs,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-19 Matthias J. Ehrhardt , Zeljko Kereta , Jingwei Liang , Junqi Tang

Parameter estimation connects mathematical models to real-world data and decision making across many scientific and industrial applications. Standard approaches such as maximum likelihood estimation and Markov chain Monte Carlo estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-06 Matthew J Simpson , James S Bennett , Alexander Johnston , Ruth E Baker