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Bayesian models that can handle both over and under dispersed counts are rare in the literature, perhaps because full probability distributions for dispersed counts are rather difficult to construct. This note takes a first look at Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-08 Alan Huang , Andy Sang Il Kim

Count endpoints are common in clinical trials, particularly for recurrent events such as hypoglycemia. When interest centers on comparing overall event rates between treatment groups, negative binomial (NB) regression is widely used because…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Jiren Sun , Linda Amoafo , Yongming Qu

We analyze longitudinal self-reported counts of sexual partners from youth living with HIV. In self-reported survey data, subjects recall counts of events or behaviors such as the number of sexual partners or the number of drug uses in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-28 Jihey Lee , Robert E. Weiss , Marc A. Suchard

In this paper, an alternative count distribution suitable for modeling over dispersed, zero vertex unimodality and monotonically decreasing data sets. Though the proposed probability model includes Gauss Hypergeometric special function, it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-30 Deepesh Bhati , Ishfaq Shah Ahmad

We propose a way to remove the bias of a Poisson regression when the subjects are partially observed. In this paper we address this issue under certain assumptions about the missing-data generating process. We fix the total number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Seyed Jalil Kazemitabar

This paper develops forecasting methodology and application of new classes of dynamic models for time series of non-negative counts. Novel univariate models synthesise dynamic generalized linear models for binary and conditionally Poisson…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Lindsay Berry , Mike West

Count data are common in medical research. When these data have more zeros than expected by the most used count distributions, it is common to employ a zero-inflated regression model. However, the interpretability of these models is much…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Gustavo H. A. Pereira , Jeremias Leão , Manoel Santos-Neto , Jianwen Cai

The estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects in the potential outcome setting is biased when there exists model misspecification or unobserved confounding. As these biases are unobservable, what model to use when remains a critical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-09 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Kosaku Takanashi , Kenichiro McAlinn , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Sample overlap is a common issue in evidence synthesis in the field of medical research, particularly when integrating findings from observational studies utilizing existing databases such as registries. Due to the general inaccessibility…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-26 Zhentian Zhang , Tim Friede , Tim Mathes

In reinsurance, Poisson and Negative binomial distributions are employed for modeling frequency. However, the incomplete data regarding reported incurred claims above a priority level presents challenges in estimation. This paper focuses on…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Nicolas Baradel

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

A new two-parameter discrete distribution, namely the PoiG distribution is derived by the convolution of a Poisson variate and an independently distributed geometric random variable. This distribution generalizes both the Poisson and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-11 Anupama Nandi , Subrata Chakraborty , Aniket Biswas

It is generally known that counting statistics is not correctly described by a Gaussian approximation. Nevertheless, in neutron scattering, it is common practice to apply this approximation to the counting statistics; also at low counting…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-06-09 Jakob Lassa , Magnus Egede Bøggild , Per Hedegård , Kim Lefmann

This paper addresses patient heterogeneity associated with prediction problems in biomedical applications. We propose a systematic hypothesis testing approach to determine the existence of patient subgroup structure and the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-08 Xu Gao , Weining Shen , Jing Ning , Ziding Feng , Jianhua Hu

Negative binomial regression is essential for analyzing over-dispersed count data in in comparative studies, but parameter estimation becomes computationally challenging in large screens requiring millions of comparisons. We investigate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-07 Valentine Svensson

A general random effects model is proposed that allows for continuous as well as discrete distributions of the responses. Responses can be unrestricted continuous, bounded continuous, binary, ordered categorical or given in the form of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Gerhard Tutz

The literature for count modeling provides useful tools to conduct causal inference when outcomes take non-negative integer values. Applied to the potential outcomes framework, we link the Bayesian causal inference literature to statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-10 Young Lee , Wicher P. Bergsma , Marie-Abele C. Bind

The seemingly disjoint problems of count and mixture modeling are united under the negative binomial (NB) process. A gamma process is employed to model the rate measure of a Poisson process, whose normalization provides a random probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-15 Mingyuan Zhou , Lawrence Carin

In recent years the role of epidemic models in informing public health policies has progressively grown. Models have become increasingly realistic and more complex, requiring the use of multiple data sources to estimate all quantities of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-09 Paul J Birrell , Daniela De Angelis , Anne M Presanis

The problem of overdispersion in multivariate count data is a challenging issue. Nowadays, it covers a central role mainly due to the relevance of modern technologies data, such as Next Generation Sequencing and textual data from the web or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Noemi Corsini , Cinzia Viroli