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For nonparametric regression with one-sided errors and a boundary curve model for Poisson point processes we consider the problem of efficient estimation for linear functionals. The minimax optimal rate is obtained by an unbiased estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-25 Markus Reiß , Leonie Selk

Logistic regression is a well-known statistical model which is commonly used in the situation where the output is a binary random variable. It has a wide range of applications including machine learning, public health, social sciences,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-18 Bernard Bercu , Antoine Godichon-Baggioni , Bruno Portier

Most computational models of dependency syntax consist of distributions over spanning trees. However, the majority of dependency treebanks require that every valid dependency tree has a single edge coming out of the ROOT node, a constraint…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Miloš Stanojević

Link prediction has aroused extensive attention since it can both discover hidden connections and predict future links in the networks. Many unsupervised link prediction algorithms have been proposed to find these links in a variety of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Jingwei Wang , Yunlong Ma , Yun Yuan

Regression on observational data can fail to capture a causal relationship in the presence of unobserved confounding. Confounding strength measures this mismatch, but estimating it requires itself additional assumptions. A common assumption…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-04 Luca Rendsburg , Leena Chennuru Vankadara , Debarghya Ghoshdastidar , Ulrike von Luxburg

We study asymptotically optimal statistical inference concerning the unknown state of $N$ identical quantum systems, using two complementary approaches: a "poor man's approach" based on the van Trees inequality, and a rather more…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-05-02 Richard D. Gill , Madalin Guta

In this paper, we analyze the use of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to model dynamical systems subjected to bounded noisy perturbations. In order to discuss the main characteristics of this new approach we consider some basic models in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Tomás Caraballo , Renato Colucci , Javier López-de-la-Cruz , Alain Rapaport

In this work, which is based on the family of Fractional Iterated Ornstein Uhlenbeck processes, we propose a new hypothesis test to contrast short memory versus long memory in time series. This family includes short memory and long memory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-22 Juan Kalemkerian , Andrés Sosa

The measurement of the efficiency of an event selection is always an important part of the analysis of experimental data. The statistical techniques which are needed to determine the efficiency and its uncertainty are reviewed. Frequentist…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-08-28 Diego Casadei

We develop a uniform inference theory for high-dimensional slope parameters in threshold regression models, allowing for either cross-sectional or time series data. We first establish oracle inequalities for prediction errors, and L1…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Jiatong Li , Hongqiang Yan

We introduce a nonparametric model for inferring time-evolving, unobserved probability distributions from discrete-time data consisting of unlabelled partitions. The latent process is a two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet diffusion, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Marco Dalla Pria , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

Unlinked regression, in which covariates and responses are observed separately without known correspondence, has recently gained increasing attention. Deconvolution, on the other hand, is a fundamental and challenging problem in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Antonio Di Noia , Cécile Durot

We consider a diffusion $(\xi_t)_{t\ge 0}$ whose drift involves a $T$-periodic signal. $T$ is fixed and known, whereas the signal depends on an unknown $d$-dimensional parameter $\vartheta\in\Theta$. Assuming positive Harris recurrence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-19 Reinhard Hoepfner , Yury Kutoyants

Consider a semiparametric model with a Euclidean parameter and an infinite-dimensional parameter, to be called a Banach parameter. Assume: (a) There exists an efficient estimator of the Euclidean parameter. (b) When the value of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Chris A. J. Klaassen , Hein Putter

The inferential model (IM) framework offers alternatives to the familiar probabilistic (e.g., Bayesian and fiducial) uncertainty quantification in statistical inference. Allowing this uncertainty quantification to be imprecise makes it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Ryan Martin , Jonathan P. Williams

This paper studies the probability of error associated with the social machine learning framework, which involves an independent training phase followed by a cooperative decision-making phase over a graph. This framework addresses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Ping Hu , Virginia Bordignon , Mert Kayaalp , Ali H. Sayed

The paper contains some musings about the abstractions introduced by Lucien Le Cam into the asymptotic theory of statistical inference and decision theory. A short, self-contained proof of a key result (existence of randomizations via…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-20 David Pollard

Consider a star network where each local node possesses a set of test statistics that exhibit a symmetric distribution around zero when their corresponding null hypothesis is true. This paper investigates statistical inference problems in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-29 Mehrdad Pournaderi , Yu Xiang

This paper aims to address the issue of semiparametric efficiency for cointegration rank testing in finite-order vector autoregressive models, where the innovation distribution is considered an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. Our…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-17 Bo Zhou

While there is considerable work on change point analysis in univariate time series, more and more data being collected comes from high dimensional multivariate settings. This paper introduces the asymptotic concept of high dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-28 John A. D. Aston , Claudia Kirch