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This aim of this article is to explore the potential use of Wikipedia page view data for predicting electoral results. Responding to previous critiques of work using socially generated data to predict elections, which have argued that these…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-01-05 Taha Yasseri , Jonathan Bright

Polls posted on social media have emerged in recent years as an important tool for estimating public opinion, e.g., to gauge public support for business decisions and political candidates in national elections. Here, we examine nearly two…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Stephen Scarano , Vijayalakshmi Vasudevan , Chhandak Bagchi , Mattia Samory , JungHwan Yang , Przemyslaw A. Grabowicz

Mass Media outlets have occupied the central role of the political scenario, and are persuasive in the process of opinion formation of the citizens. In particular, the study of the relationship between Mass Media and behaviour of citizens…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-02 Federico Albanese , Claudio J. Tessone , Viktoriya Semeshenko , Pablo Balenzuela

There are some shreds of evidence that social opinion polarization leads to the breakup of the relationship, some in the scale of small communities, but others can divide large organizations or even a nation. The legacy methodology to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Andry Alamsyah , Wachda Yuniar Rochmah , Arina Nahya Nurnafia

Popularity is a critical success factor for a politician and her/his party to win in elections and implement their plans. Finding the reasons behind the popularity can provide a stable political movement. This research attempts to measure…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-11 Amir Karami , Aida Elkouri

Online data has the potential to transform how researchers and companies produce election forecasts. Social media surveys, online panels and even comments scraped from the internet can offer valuable insights into political preferences.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-20 Alberto Arletti , Maria Letizia Tanturri , Omar Paccagnella

Measuring and forecasting opinion trends from real-time social media is a long-standing goal of big-data analytics. Despite its importance, there has been no conclusive scientific evidence so far that social media activity can capture the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-12 Alexandre Bovet , Flaviano Morone , Hernan A. Makse

Traffic jams on roadways, echo chambers on social media, crowds of moving pedestrians, and opinion dynamics during elections are all complex social systems. These applications may seem disparate, but some of the questions that they motivate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-18 Alexandria Volkening

The study of how social media affects the formation of public opinion and its influence on political results has been a popular field of inquiry. However, current approaches frequently offer a limited comprehension of the complex political…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Pratik Gujral , Kshitij Awaldhi , Navya Jain , Bhavuk Bhandula , Abhijnan Chakraborty

We expect that democracy enables us to utilize collective intelligence such that our collective decisions build and enhance social welfare, and such that we accept their distributive and normative consequences. Collective decisions are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-06 Jan Lorenz , Martin Neumann

The dynamics of political opinion are a critical component of modern society with large-scale implications for the evolution of intra- and international political discourse and policy. Here we utilize recent high-resolution survey data to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-15 David Sabin-Miller , Christopher Harding

Big Data dealing with the social produce predictive correlations for the benefit of brands and web platforms. Beyond "society" and "opinion" for which the text lays out a genealogy, appear the "traces" that must be theorized as…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-19 Dominique Boullier

Electoral prediction from Twitter data is an appealing research topic. It seems relatively straightforward and the prevailing view is overly optimistic. This is problematic because while simple approaches are assumed to be good enough, core…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-04 Daniel Gayo-Avello

Sentiment analysis using big data from YouTube videos metadata can be conducted to analyze public opinions on various political figures who represent political parties. This is possible because YouTube has become one of the platforms for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Danendra Athallariq Harya Putra , Arief Purnama Muharram

Computational Politics is the study of computational methods to analyze and moderate users' behaviors related to political activities such as election campaign persuasion, political affiliation, and opinion mining. With the rapid…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-03 Ehsan ul Haq , Tristan Braud , Young D. Kwon , Pan Hui

Human activities increasingly take place in online environments, providing novel opportunities for relating individual behaviours to population-level outcomes. In this paper, we introduce a simple generative model for the collective…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-24 James P. Gleeson , Davide Cellai , Jukka-Pekka Onnela , Mason A. Porter , Felix Reed-Tsochas

Social media comprises interactive applications and platforms for creating, sharing and exchange of user-generated contents. The past ten years have brought huge growth in social media, especially online social networking services, and it…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-03-09 Sheng Yu , Subhash Kak

An ability to infer the political leaning of social media users can help in gathering opinion polls thereby leading to a better understanding of public opinion. While there has been a body of research attempting to infer the political…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Joseba Fernandez de Landa , Arkaitz Zubiaga , Rodrigo Agerri

Social media platforms allow users to create polls to gather public opinion on diverse topics. However, we know little about what such polls are used for and how reliable they are, especially in significant contexts like elections. Focusing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Stephen Scarano , Vijayalakshmi Vasudevan , Mattia Samory , Kai-Cheng Yang , JungHwan Yang , Przemyslaw A. Grabowicz

With the rising participation of the common mass in social media, it is increasingly common now for policymakers/journalists to create online polls on social media to understand the political leanings of people in specific locations. The…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Souvic Chakraborty , Pawan Goyal , Animesh Mukherjee
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