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We investigate model assessment and selection in a changing environment, by synthesizing datasets from both the current time period and historical epochs. To tackle unknown and potentially arbitrary temporal distribution shift, we develop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Elise Han , Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang

A partially linear probit model for spatially dependent data is considered. A triangular array setting is used to cover various patterns of spatial data. Conditional spatial heteroscedasticity and non-identically distributed observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-13 Ahmed , Dabo

Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a global scale usually suffer from non-stationarity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-10 Chintan A. Dalal , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert E. Kopp

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are well-established tools for probabilistic exploration of dependence structures using precision matrices. We develop a Bayesian method to incorporate covariate information in this GGMs setup in a nonlinear…

Spatiotemporal modeling of economic aggregates is increasingly relevant in regional science due to the presence of both spatial spillovers and temporal dynamics. Traditional temporal disaggregation methods, such as Chow-Lin, often ignore…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 A. Tobar , A. Mir , R. Alberich , I. Garcia Mosquera , M. Miró , NA. Cruz

Non-Gaussian spatial and spatio-temporal data are becoming increasingly prevalent, and their analysis is needed in a variety of disciplines. FRK is an R package for spatial/spatio-temporal modelling and prediction with very large data sets…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-22 Matthew Sainsbury-Dale , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Noel Cressie

We introduce an extension of R-vine copula models for the purpose of spatial dependency modeling and model based prediction at unobserved locations. The newly derived spatial R-vine model combines the flexibility of vine copulas with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-17 Tobias Michael Erhardt , Claudia Czado , Ulf Schepsmeier

Spatial documentation is exponentially increasing given the availability of Big IoT Data, enabled by the devices miniaturization and data storage capacity. Bayesian spatial statistics is a useful statistical tool to determine the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-01 Francisco Louzada , Diego C. Nascimento , Osafu Augustine Egbon

This paper presents the R package GAS for the analysis of time series under the Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) framework of Creal et al. (2013) and Harvey (2013). The distinctive feature of the GAS approach is the use of the score…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-25 David Ardia , Kris Boudt , Leopoldo Catania

Geographic distribution shift arises when the distribution of locations on Earth in a training dataset is different from what is seen at inference time. Using standard empirical risk minimization (ERM) in this setting can lead to uneven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Ruth Crasto , Esther Rolf

Although geographically weighted Poisson regression (GWPR) is a popular regression for spatially indexed count data, its development is relatively limited compared to that found for linear geographically weighted regression (GWR), where…

Rescaled spike and slab models are a new Bayesian variable selection method for linear regression models. In high dimensional orthogonal settings such models have been shown to possess optimal model selection properties. We review…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Hemant Ishwaran , Ariadni Papana

This exposition presents nimblewomble, a software package to perform wombling, or boundary analysis, using the nimble Bayesian hierarchical modeling language in the R statistical computing environment. Wombling is used widely to track…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-11 Aritra Halder , Sudipto Banerjee

Quantifying spatial and/or temporal associations in multivariate geolocated data of different types is achievable via spatial random effects in a Bayesian hierarchical model, but severe computational bottlenecks arise when spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Michele Peruzzi , David B. Dunson

Geographic regression models of various descriptions are often applied to identify patterns and anomalies in the determinants of spatially distributed observations. These types of analyses focus on answering why questions about underlying…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Fan Lei , Yuxin Ma , Stewart Fotheringham , Elizabeth Mack , Ziqi Li , Mehak Sachdeva , Sarah Bardin , Ross Maciejewski

While time series prediction is an important, actively studied problem, the predictive accuracy of time series models is complicated by non-stationarity. We develop a fast and effective approach to allow for non-stationarity in the…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-10 Daniel M. McCarthy , Shane T. Jensen

In the current context of Big Data, the nature of many forecasting problems has changed from predicting isolated time series to predicting many time series from similar sources. This has opened up the opportunity to develop competitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Hansika Hewamalage , Christoph Bergmeir , Kasun Bandara

Although models for count data with over-dispersion have been widely considered in the literature, models for under-dispersion -- the opposite phenomenon -- have received less attention as it is only relatively common in particular research…

Gaussian graphical models are used for determining conditional relationships between variables. This is accomplished by identifying off-diagonal elements in the inverse-covariance matrix that are non-zero. When the ratio of variables (p) to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-07 Donald R. Williams , Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari , Philippe Rast

Recent learning-based visual localization methods use global descriptors to disambiguate visually similar places, but existing approaches often derive these descriptors from geometric cues alone (e.g., covisibility graphs), limiting their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Son Tung Nguyen , Alejandro Fontan , Michael Milford , Tobias Fischer
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