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In this paper, we analyze Gaussian processes using statistical mechanics. Although the input is originally multidimensional, we simplify our model by considering the input as one-dimensional for statistical mechanical analysis. Furthermore,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-05 Jun Tsuzurugi

Despite a large corpus of recent work on scaling up Gaussian processes, a stubborn trade-off between computational speed, prediction and uncertainty quantification accuracy, and customizability persists. This is because the vast majority of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Marcus M. Noack , Mark D. Risser , Hengrui Luo , Vardaan Tekriwal , Ronald J. Pandolfi

In this paper we develop non-asymptotic Gaussian approximation results for the sampling distribution of suprema of empirical processes when the indexing function class $\mathcal{F}_n$ varies with the sample size $n$ and may not be Donsker.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Alexander Giessing

Multi-stage decision-making under uncertainty, where decisions are taken under sequentially revealing uncertain problem parameters, is often essential to faithfully model managerial problems. Given the significant computational challenges…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Simon Thomä , Maximilian Schiffer , Wolfram Wiesemann

This work studies constrained stochastic optimization problems where the objective and constraint functions are convex and expressed as compositions of stochastic functions. The problem arises in the context of fair classification, fair…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Srujan Teja Thomdapu , Harshvardhan , Ketan Rajawat

Optimization of expensive computer models with the help of Gaussian process emulators in now commonplace. However, when several (competing) objectives are considered, choosing an appropriate sampling strategy remains an open question. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-10-03 Victor Picheny

In spatial statistics and machine learning, the kernel matrix plays a pivotal role in prediction, classification, and maximum likelihood estimation. A thorough examination reveals that for large sample sizes, the kernel matrix becomes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-07 Hao Zhang

Optimization of complex functions, such as the output of computer simulators, is a difficult task that has received much attention in the literature. A less studied problem is that of optimization under unknown constraints, i.e., when the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-07-06 Robert B. Gramacy , Herbert K. H. Lee

Stochastic Approximation has been a prominent set of tools for solving problems with noise and uncertainty. Increasingly, it becomes important to solve optimization problems wherein there is noise in both a set of constraints that a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Francisco Facchinei , Vyacheslav Kungurtsev

To assess the quality of a probabilistic prediction for stochastic dynamical systems (SDSs), scoring rules assign a numerical score based on the predictive distribution and the measured state. In this paper, we propose an…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Tao Xu , Yushan Li , Jianping He

Single-spin quantum sensors, for example based on nitrogen-vacancy centres in diamond, provide nanoscale mapping of magnetic fields. In applications where the magnetic field may be changing rapidly, total sensing time is crucial and must be…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-05-26 K. Craigie , E. M. Gauger , Y. Altmann , C. Bonato

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

Devising optimal operating strategies for a compressor station relies on the knowledge of compressor characteristics. As the compressor characteristics change with time and use, it is necessary to provide accurate models of the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Akhil Ahmed , Marta Zagorowska , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona , Mehmet Mercangöz

Gaussian processes (GPs) are flexible, probabilistic, nonparametric models widely used in fields such as spatial statistics and machine learning. A drawback of Gaussian processes is their computational cost, with $O(N^3)$ time and $O(N^2)$…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-20 Filippo Rambelli , Fabio Sigrist

We revisit the Stochastic Score Classification (SSC) problem introduced by Gkenosis et al. (ESA 2018): We are given $n$ tests. Each test $j$ can be conducted at cost $c_j$, and it succeeds independently with probability $p_j$. Further, a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Benedikt M. Plank , Kevin Schewior

The stochastic knapsack problem is the stochastic variant of the classical knapsack problem in which the algorithm designer is given a a knapsack with a given capacity and a collection of items where each item is associated with a profit…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Anindya De

Validating and controlling safety-critical systems in uncertain environments necessitates probabilistic reachable sets of future state evolutions. The existing methods of computing probabilistic reachable sets normally assume that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-03 Xun Shen , Ye Wang , Kazumune Hashimoto , Yuhu Wu , Sebastien Gros

We consider covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with functional inputs. From an increasing-domain asymptotics perspective, we prove the asymptotic consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator. We extend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Lucas Reding , Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc

This paper studies a novel approach for approximating the behavior of compartmental spreading processes. In contrast to prior work, the methods developed describe a dynamics which bound the exact moment dynamics, without explicitly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-21 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , Victor M. Preciado , George J. Pappas

We propose a Likelihood Matching approach for training diffusion models by first establishing an equivalence between the likelihood of the target data distribution and a likelihood along the sample path of the reverse diffusion. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-23 Lei Qian , Wu Su , Yanqi Huang , Song Xi Chen
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