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Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

We revise the Bayesian inference steps required to analyse the cosmological large-scale structure. Here we make special emphasis in the complications which arise due to the non-Gaussian character of the galaxy and matter distribution. In…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 Francisco-Shu Kitaura

Immediately following a disaster event, such as an earthquake, estimates of the damage extent play a key role in informing the coordination of response and recovery efforts. We develop a novel impact estimation tool that leverages a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Max Anderson Loake , Hamish Patten , David Steinsaltz

This paper presents an efficient Bayesian framework for solving nonlinear, high-dimensional model calibration problems. It is based on a Variational Bayesian formulation that aims at approximating the exact posterior by means of solving an…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-02 Isabell M. Franck , P. S. Koutsourelakis

Geoscientists use observed data to estimate properties of the Earth's interior. This often requires non-linear inverse problems to be solved and uncertainties to be estimated. Bayesian inference solves inverse problems under a probabilistic…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-01 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

In this study, the applicability of generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) expansion for land surface model parameter estimation is evaluated. We compute the (posterior) distribution of the critical hydrological parameters that are subject to…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-21 Georgios Karagiannis , Zhangshuan Hou , Maoyi Huang , Guang Lin

To date weak gravitational lensing surveys have typically been restricted to small fields of view, such that the $\textit{flat-sky approximation}$ has been sufficiently satisfied. However, with Stage IV surveys ($\textit{e.g. LSST}$ and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-19 Matthew A. Price , Jason D. McEwen , L. Pratley , Thomas D. Kitching

Inverse problems constrained by partial differential equations are often ill-conditioned due to noisy and incomplete data or inherent non-uniqueness. A prominent example is full waveform inversion, which estimates Earth's subsurface…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-03 Ali Siahkoohi , Kamal Aghazade , Ali Gholami

We develop a fast method for optimally designing experiments in the context of statistical seismic source inversion. In particular, we efficiently compute the optimal number and locations of the receivers or seismographs. The seismic source…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-19 Quan Long , Mohammad Motamed , Raul Tempone

Seismic waves are the most sensitive probe of the Earth's interior we have. With the dense data sets available in exploration, images of subsurface structures can be obtained through processes such as migration. Unfortunately, relating…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-05-05 R. B. Schlottmann

We present a Bayesian methodology for infinite as well as finite dimensional parameter identification for partial differential equation models. The Bayesian framework provides a rigorous mathematical framework for incorporating prior…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-17 Eduard Campillo-Funollet , Chandrasekhar Venkataraman , Anotida Madzvamuse

Two major bottlenecks to the solution of large-scale Bayesian inverse problems are the scaling of posterior sampling algorithms to high-dimensional parameter spaces and the computational cost of forward model evaluations. Yet incomplete or…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-03 Tiangang Cui , Youssef M. Marzouk , Karen E. Willcox

Model misspecification constitutes a major obstacle to reliable inference in many inverse problems. Inverse problems in seismology, for example, are particularly affected by misspecification of wave propagation velocities. In this paper, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Andrea Scarinci , Michael Fehler , Youssef Marzouk

Advances in data acquisition and numerical wave simulation have improved tomographic imaging techniques and results, but non-experts may find it difficult to understand which model is best for their needs. This paper is intended for these…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-01-27 Andreas Fichtner , Jeroen Ritsema , Solvi Thrastarson

High dimensional statistics deals with the challenge of extracting structured information from complex model settings. Compared with the growing number of frequentist methodologies, there are rather few theoretically optimal Bayes methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Chao Gao , Aad W. van der Vaart , Harrison H. Zhou

The Bayesian formulation of inverse problems is attractive for three primary reasons: it provides a clear modelling framework; means for uncertainty quantification; and it allows for principled learning of hyperparameters. The posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Matthew M. Dunlop , Tapio Helin , Andrew M. Stuart

Multivariate spatially-oriented data sets are prevalent in the environmental and physical sciences. Scientists seek to jointly model multiple variables, each indexed by a spatial location, to capture any underlying spatial association for…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-19 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee

We consider geothermal inverse problems and uncertainty quantification from a Bayesian perspective. Our main goal is to make standard, `out-of-the-box' Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling more feasible for complex simulation models by…

Analyzing data collected from multiple sources to estimate common and heterogeneous structures through a hierarchical model is a central task in Bayesian inference, and to this end, Bayesian factor models are one of the most widely used…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Naoki Awaya , Keisuke Sasaki , Genya Kobayashi , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Computer models are widely used in science and engineering to simulate complex systems. However, these models are affected by several sources of uncertainty, which may limit their use for decision making in risk management. We present a…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-17 Oumar Baldé , Guillaume Damblin , Amandine Marrel , Antoine Bouloré , Loïc Giraldi