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An individualized risk prediction model that dynamically updates the probability of a clinical event from a specific cause is valuable for physicians to be able to optimize personalized treatment strategies in real-time by incorporating all…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-22 Qing Liu , Gong Tang , Joseph P. Costantino , Chung-Chou H. Chang

A population-averaged additive subdistribution hazards model is proposed to assess the marginal effects of covariates on the cumulative incidence function and to analyze correlated failure time data subject to competing risks. This approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-23 Xinyuan Chen , Denise Esserman , Fan Li

Stochastic volatility often implies increasing risks that are difficult to capture given the dynamic nature of real-world applications. We propose using arc length, a mathematical concept, to quantify cumulative variations (the total…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-21 Yan Gao , Rodney A. Sparapani , Sanjib Basu

The conditional survival function of a time-to-event outcome subject to censoring and truncation is a common target of estimation in survival analysis. This parameter may be of scientific interest and also often appears as a nuisance in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Charles J. Wolock , Peter B. Gilbert , Noah Simon , Marco Carone

This article analyzes the problem of estimating the time until an event occurs, also known as survival modeling. We observe through substantial experiments on large real-world datasets and use-cases that populations are largely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-13 David Hubbard , Benoit Rostykus , Yves Raimond , Tony Jebara

We introduce a generalized promotion time cure model motivated by a new biological consideration. The new approach is flexible to model heterogeneous survival data, in particular for addressing intra-sample heterogeneity. We also indicate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-19 Zhi Zhao , Fatih Kızılaslan

Breast cancer remains a significant global health challenge, with prognosis and treatment decisions largely dependent on clinical characteristics. Accurate prediction of patient outcomes is crucial for personalized treatment strategies.…

We consider Bayesian nonparametric inference in the right-censoring survival model, where modeling is made at the level of the hazard rate. We derive posterior limiting distributions for linear functionals of the hazard, and then for `many'…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Ismaël Castillo , Stéphanie van der Pas

The integration of high-dimensional genomic data and clinical data into time-to-event prediction models has gained significant attention due to the growing availability of these datasets. Traditionally, a Cox regression model is employed,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-03 Dayasri Ravi , Andreas Groll

Choosing relevant predictors is central to the analysis of biomedical time-to-event data. Classical frequentist inference, however, presumes that the set of covariates is fixed in advance and does not account for data-driven variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Lena Schemet , Sarah Friedrich-Welz

Understanding the factors that explain differences in survival times is an important issue for establishing policies to improve national health systems. Motivated by breast cancer data arising from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-13 Haiming Zhou , Timothy Hanson , Alejandro Jara , Jiajia Zhang

The joint modeling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is an important tool of growing popularity to gain insights into the association between a biomarker and an event process. We develop a general framework of flexible additive joint…

The difference in restricted mean survival times between two groups is a clinically relevant summary measure. With observational data, there may be imbalances in confounding variables between the two groups. One approach to account for such…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-17 Andrew Wey , David Vock , John Connett , Kyle Rudser

In epidemiological or demographic studies, with variable age at onset, a typical quantity of interest is the incidence of a disease (for example the cancer incidence). In these studies, the individuals are usually highly heterogeneous in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Vivien Goepp , Jean-Christophe Thalabard , Grégory Nuel , Olivier Bouaziz

Identification of biomarkers is an emerging area in Oncology. In this article, we develop an efficient statistical procedure for classification of protein markers according to their effect on cancer progression. A high-dimensional…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-08 Souvik Banerjee , Gajendra K. Vishwakarma , Atanu Bhattacharjee

We propose two novel approaches for estimating time-varying effects of functional predictors within a linear functional Cox model framework. This model allows for time-varying associations of a functional predictor observed at baseline,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-20 Hongyu Du , Andrew Leroux

Survival Analysis (SA) constitutes the default method for time-to-event modeling due to its ability to estimate event probabilities of sparsely occurring events over time. In this work, we show how to improve the training and inference of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Chris Solomou

Modern biomedical studies frequently collect complex, high-dimensional physiological signals using wearables and sensors along with time-to-event outcomes, making efficient variable selection methods crucial for interpretation and improving…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Yuanzhen Yue , Stella Self , Yichao Wu , Jiajia Zhang , Rahul Ghosal

A challenge when dealing with survival analysis data is accounting for a cure fraction, meaning that some subjects will never experience the event of interest. Mixture cure models have been frequently used to estimate both the probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Eni Musta , Valentin Patilea , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Semi-parametric survival analysis methods like the Cox Proportional Hazards (CPH) regression (Cox, 1972) are a popular approach for survival analysis. These methods involve fitting of the log-proportional hazard as a function of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-16 Chirag Nagpal , Rohan Sangave , Amit Chahar , Parth Shah , Artur Dubrawski , Bhiksha Raj