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Recently there have been increasing interests in learning and inference with implicit distributions (i.e., distributions without tractable densities). To this end, we develop a gradient estimator for implicit distributions based on Stein's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-11 Jiaxin Shi , Shengyang Sun , Jun Zhu

Structural damping is known to be approximately rate-independent in many cases. Popular models for rate-independent dissipation are hysteresis models; and a highly popular hysteresis model is the Bouc-Wen model. If such hysteretic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Bidhayak Goswami , Anindya Chatterjee

Most of the existing algorithms for approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) assume that it is feasible to simulate pseudo-data from the model at each iteration. However, the computational cost of these simulations can be prohibitive for high…

Solving semiparametric models can be computationally challenging because the dimension of parameter space may grow large with increasing sample size. Classical Newton's method becomes quite slow and unstable with intensive calculation of…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-19 Yucong Lin , Jinhua Su , Yang Liu , Jue Hou , Feifei Wang

Robust yield curve estimation is crucial in fixed-income markets for accurate instrument pricing, effective risk management, and informed trading strategies. Traditional approaches, including the bootstrapping method and parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Sina Molavipour , Alireza M. Javid , Cassie Ye , Björn Löfdahl , Mikhail Nechaev

This article presents a Bayesian inferential method where the likelihood for a model is unknown but where data can easily be simulated from the model. We discretize simulated (continuous) data to estimate the implicit likelihood in a…

The theory of co-prime arrays has been studied in the past. Nyquist rate estimation of second order statistics using the combined difference set was demonstrated with low latency. This paper proposes a novel method to reconstruct the second…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-05 Usham V. Dias

Computing the probability of evidence even with known error bounds is NP-hard. In this paper we address this hard problem by settling on an easier problem. We propose an approximation which provides high confidence lower bounds on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-26 Vibhav Gogate , Bozhena Bidyuk , Rina Dechter

This work proposes a general strategy for solving possibly nonlinear problems arising from implicit time discretizations as a sequence of explicit solutions. The resulting sequence may exhibit instabilities similar to those of the base…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Nicolas A. Barnafi , Felipe Galarce , Pablo Brubeck

Posterior inference with an intractable likelihood is becoming an increasingly common task in scientific domains which rely on sophisticated computer simulations. Typically, these forward models do not admit tractable densities forcing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Joeri Hermans , Volodimir Begy , Gilles Louppe

Banks are interested in evaluating the risk of the financial distress before giving out a loan. Many researchers proposed the use of models based on the Neural Networks in order to help the banker better make a decision. The objective of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-19 Younes Boujelbène , Sihem Khemakhem

Interleaving is an online evaluation approach for information retrieval systems that compares the effectiveness of ranking functions in interpreting the users' implicit feedback. Previous work such as Hofmann et al (2011) has evaluated the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-03-20 Alessandro Benedetti , Anna Ruggero

In general, homeowners refinance in response to a decrease in interest rates, as their borrowing costs are lowered. However, it is worth investigating the effects of refinancing after taking the underlying costs into consideration. Here we…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-18 Khizar Qureshi , Cheng Su

We show that, for the purpose of pricing Swaptions, the Swap rate and the corresponding Forward rates can be considered lognormal under a single martingale measure. Swaptions can then be priced as options on a basket of lognormal assets and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Alexandre d'Aspremont

Globally, two billion people and more than half of the poorest adults do not use formal financial services. Consequently, there is increased emphasis on developing financial technology that can facilitate access to financial products for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-01-30 María Óskarsdóttir , Cristián Bravo , Carlos Sarraute , Bart Baesens , Jan Vanthienen

Complex continuous or mixed joint distributions (e.g., P(Y | z_1, z_2, ..., z_N)) generally lack closed-form solutions, often necessitating approximations such as MCMC. This paper proposes Indeterminate Probability Theory (IPT), which makes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Tao Yang , Chuang Liu , Xiaofeng Ma , Weijia Lu , Ning Wu , Bingyang Li , Zhifei Yang , Peng Liu , Lin Sun , Xiaodong Zhang , Can Zhang

We present a model for direct semi-parametric estimation of the State Price Density (SPD) implied in quoted option prices. We treat the observed prices as expected values of possible pay-offs at maturity, weighted by the unknown probability…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-29 Gianluca Frasso , Paul H. C. Eilers

The traditional way of building a yield curve is to choose an interpolation on discount factors, implied by the market tradable instruments. Since then, constructions based on specific interpolations of the forward rates have become the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-29 Jherek Healy

In this paper, we consider a class of backward doubly stochastic differential equations (BDSDE for short) with general terminal value and general random generator. Those BDSDEs do not involve any forward diffusion processes. By using the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Yaozhong Hu , David Nualart , Xiaoming Song

Empirical rate-and-state friction laws are widely used in geophysics and engineering to simulate interface slip. They postulate that the friction coefficient depends on the local slip rate and a state variable that reflects the history of…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2025-07-15 Shengduo Liu , Kaushik Bhattacharya , Nadia Lapusta