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We propose a quasi maximum likelihood estimation method for Bergomi-type stochastic volatility models with parametrized kernels, focusing on the estimation of the kernel parameters from high-frequency time-series observations of option…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Masaaki Fukasawa , Haruki Tomita

Understanding the statistical laws governing citation dynamics remains a fundamental challenge in network theory and the science of science. Citation networks typically exhibit in-degree distributions well approximated by log-normal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-14 Keisuke Okamura

In continual learning, where task data arrives in a sequence, fine-tuning on later tasks will often lead to performance degradation on earlier tasks. This is especially pronounced when these tasks come from diverse domains. In this setting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Anat Kleiman , Gintare Karolina Dziugaite , Jonathan Frankle , Sham Kakade , Mansheej Paul

We introduce a technique to merge two biased Brownian motions into a single regular process. The outcome follows a stochastic differential equation with a constant diffusion coefficient and a non-linear drift. The emerging stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Miquel Montero

Temporal integration of equations possessing continuous symmetries (e.g. systems with translational invariance associated with traveling solutions and scale invariance associated with self-similar solutions) in a ``co-evolving'' frame (i.e.…

We introduce the first probabilistic framework tailored for sequential random projection, an approach rooted in the challenges of sequential decision-making under uncertainty. The analysis is complicated by the sequential dependence and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Yingru Li

The majority of machine learning methods can be regarded as the minimization of an unavailable risk function. To optimize the latter, given samples provided in a streaming fashion, we define a general stochastic Newton algorithm and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-30 Claire Boyer , Antoine Godichon-Baggioni

Parallel stochastic gradient methods are gaining prominence in solving large-scale machine learning problems that involve data distributed across multiple nodes. However, obtaining unbiased stochastic gradients, which have been the focus of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Ali Beikmohammadi , Sarit Khirirat , Sindri Magnússon

In this paper, we propose a probabilistic reduced-dimensional vector autoregressive (PredVAR) model with oblique projections. This model partitions the measurement space into a dynamic subspace and a static subspace that do not need to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Yanfang Mo , Jiaxin Yu , S. Joe Qin

This paper concerns quasi-stochastic approximation (QSA) to solve root finding problems commonly found in applications to optimization and reinforcement learning. The general constant gain algorithm may be expressed as the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Caio Kalil Lauand , Sean Meyn

Let $\mathbf{X}=(\mathbf{X}_t)_{t \geq 0}$ be a stochastic process issued from $x \in \mathbb R$ that admits a marginal stationary measure $\nu$, i.e. $\nu \mathbf{P}_t f = \nu f$ for all $t \geq 0$, where $\mathbf{P}_t f(x)=…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Pierre Patie , Anna Srapionyan

We study a class of nonlinear nonparametric inverse problems. Specifically, we propose a nonparametric estimator of the dynamics of a monotonically increasing trajectory defined on a finite time interval. Under suitable regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-25 Debashis Paul , Jie Peng , Prabir Burman

Large-time behaviour of solutions to stochastic evolution equations driven by two-sided regular Volterra processes is studied. The solution is understood in the mild sense and takes values in a separable Hilbert space. Sufficient conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-20 Petr Čoupek

This article develops nonparametric cointegrating regression models with endogeneity and semi-long memory. We assume that semi-long memory is produced in the regressor process by tempering of random shock coefficients. The fundamental…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-31 Sepideh Mosaferi , Mark S. Kaiser

This work is concerned with model reduction of stochastic differential equations and builds on the idea of replacing drift and noise coefficients of preselected relevant, e.g. slow variables by their conditional expectations. We extend…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-03-05 Carsten Hartmann , Lara Neureither , Upanshu Sharma

The real life time series are usually nonstationary, bringing a difficult question of model adaptation. Classical approaches like ARMA-ARCH assume arbitrary type of dependence. To avoid their bias, we will focus on recently proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-23 Jarek Duda

Moving from univariate to bivariate jointly dependent long-memory time series introduces a phase parameter $(\gamma)$, at the frequency of principal interest, zero; for short-memory series $\gamma=0$ automatically. The latter case has also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-07 P. M. Robinson

In this paper, we study a class of backward stochastic Volterra integral equations driven by Teugels martingales associated with an independent L\'{e}vy process and an independent Brownian motion (BSVIELs). We prove the existence and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-11 Wen Lu

A classical random walk $(S_t, t\in\mathbb{N})$ is defined by $S_t:=\displaystyle\sum_{n=0}^t X_n$, where $(X_n)$ are i.i.d. When the increments $(X_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ are a one-order Markov chain, a short memory is introduced in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-17 Peggy Cénac , Brigitte Chauvin , Samuel Herrmann , Pierre Vallois

We propose a novel numerical approach for nonlocal diffusion equations [8] with integrable kernels, based on the relationship between the backward Kolmogorov equation and backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) driven by L\`{e}vy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Guannan Zhang , Weidong Zhao , Clayton Webster , Max Gunzburger
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