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We discuss a class of conditionally heteroscedastic time series models satisfying the equation $r_t= \zeta_t \sigma_t$, where $\zeta_t$ are standardized i.i.d. r.v.'s and the conditional standard deviation $\sigma_t$ is a nonlinear function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Paul Doukhan , Ieva Grublytė , Donatas Surgailis

Variable projection solves structured optimization problems by completely minimizing over a subset of the variables while iterating over the remaining variables. Over the last 30 years, the technique has been widely used, with empirical and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Tristan van Leeuwen , Aleksandr Aravkin

We analyze prediction error in stochastic dynamical systems with memory, focusing on generalized Langevin equations (GLEs) formulated as stochastic Volterra equations. We establish that, under a strongly convex potential, trajectory…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-12 Quanjun Lang , Jianfeng Lu

We develop a stochastic calculus for processes which are built by convoluting a pure jump, zero expectation L\'{e}vy process with a Volterra-type kernel. This class of processes contains, for example, fractional L\'{e}vy processes as…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Christian Bender , Tina Marquardt

In this work we introduce the class of beta autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average models for continuous random variables taking values in the continuous unit interval $(0,1)$. The proposed model accommodates a set of…

We construct the basis of a stochastic calculus for so-called Volterra processes, i.e., processes which are defined as the stochastic integral of a time-dependent kernel with respect to a standard Brownian motion. For these processes which…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 L. Decreusefond

We investigate stochastic Volterra equations and their limiting laws. The stochastic Volterra equations we consider are driven by a Hilbert space valued \Levy noise and integration kernels may have non-linear dependence on the current state…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-22 Fred Espen Benth , Nils Detering , Paul Kruehner

We study the existence and properties of stationary solution of ARCH-type equation $r_t= \zeta_t \sigma_t$, where $\zeta_t$ are standardized i.i.d. r.v.'s and the conditional variance satisfies an AR(1) equation $\sigma^2_t = Q^2\big(a +…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Ieva Grublytė , Andrius Škarnulis

In this paper we introduce and analyze a class of diffusion type equations related to certain non-Markovian stochastic processes. We start from the forward drift equation which is made non-local in time by the introduction of a suitable…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Antonio Mura , Murad S. Taqqu , Francesco Mainardi

In this paper we consider a linear stochastic Volterra equation which has a stationary solution. We show that when the kernel of the fundamental solution is regularly varying at infinity with a log-convex tail integral, then the…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2010-09-08 John A. D. Appleby , Katja Krol

This paper is devoted to study a class of stochastic Volterra equations associated with fractional Brownian motion. We first prove the Driver type integration by parts formula and the shift Harnack type inequalities. As a direct…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-24 XiLiang Fan

We unify two paradigmatic mesoscopic mechanisms for the emergence of nonextensive statistics, namely the multiplicative noise mechanism leading to a {\it linear} Fokker-Planck (FP) equation with {\it inhomogenous} diffusion coefficient, and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Ananias M. Mariz , Constantino Tsallis

The main contributions of this paper are the proposition and the convergence analysis of a class of inertial projection-type algorithm for solving variational inequality problems in real Hilbert spaces where the underline operator is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Yekini Shehu , Olaniyi. S. Iyiola , Xiao-Huan Li , Qiao-Li Dong

The non-linear autoregressive (NLAR) model plays an important role in modeling and predicting time series. One-step ahead prediction is straightforward using the NLAR model, but the multi-step ahead prediction is cumbersome. For instance,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-08 Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis

A novel first-order moving-average model for analyzing time series observed at irregularly spaced intervals is introduced. Two definitions are presented, which are equivalent under Gaussianity. The first one relies on normally distributed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Cesar Ojeda , Wilfredo Palma , Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta

We obtain limit theorems for a class of nonlinear discrete-time processes $X(n)$ called the $k$-th order Volterra processes of order $k$. These are moving average $k$-th order polynomial forms: \[…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-15 Shuyang Bai , Murad S. Taqqu

Variational inference has had great success in scaling approximate Bayesian inference to big data by exploiting mini-batch training. To date, however, this strategy has been most applicable to models of independent data. We propose an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-19 Tom Ryder , Dennis Prangle , Andrew Golightly , Isaac Matthews

We consider rough stochastic volatility models where the variance process satisfies a stochastic Volterra equation with the fractional kernel, as in the rough Bergomi and the rough Heston model. In particular, the variance process is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-19 Christian Bayer , Simon Breneis

In this paper, we consider a class of slow-fast systems of stochastic partial differential equations where the nonlinearity in the slow equation is not continuous and unbounded. We first provide conditions that ensure the existence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Sandra Cerrai , Yichun Zhu

We consider convolution-type stochastic Volterra equations with additive Hilbert-valued fractional Brownian motion, $0<H<1$. We find the weak solution to this stochastic Volterra equation, and study its stochastic integral part, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter Caithamer , Anna Karczewska
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