English
Related papers

Related papers: Travel time estimation for ambulances using Bayesi…

200 papers

Many geophysical problems can be cast as inverse problems that estimate a set of parameter values from observed data. Within a Bayesian framework, solutions to such problems are described probabilistically by the so-called posterior…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-07-23 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

Spatial count data models are used to explain and predict the frequency of phenomena such as traffic accidents in geographically distinct entities such as census tracts or road segments. These models are typically estimated using Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Prateek Bansal , Rico Krueger , Daniel J. Graham

Estimating the travel time of a path is of great importance to smart urban mobility. Existing approaches are either based on estimating the time cost of each road segment which are not able to capture many cross-segment complex factors, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-08 Hanyuan Zhang , Hao Wu , Weiwei Sun , Baihua Zheng

Providing transport users and operators with accurate forecasts on travel times is challenging due to a highly stochastic traffic environment. Public transport users are particularly sensitive to unexpected waiting times, which negatively…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-25 Hector Rodriguez-Deniz , Mattias Villani

Deterministic compartmental models are predominantly used in the modeling of infectious diseases, though stochastic models are considered more realistic, yet are complicated to estimate due to missing data. In this paper we present a novel…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-22 Shuying Wang , Stephen G. Walker

Traffic speed data imputation is a fundamental challenge for data-driven transport analysis. In recent years, with the ubiquity of GPS-enabled devices and the widespread use of crowdsourcing alternatives for the collection of traffic data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-11 Filipe Rodrigues , Kristian Henrickson , Francisco C. Pereira

Because of the complexity of urban transportation networks and the temporal changes in traffic conditions, it is difficult to assess real-time traffic situations. However, the development of information terminals has made it easier to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Tatsuro Mukai , Yuichi Ikeda

Traditional epidemic detection algorithms make decisions using only local information. We propose a novel approach that explicitly models spatial information fusion from several metapopulations. Our method also takes into account…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-15 Michael Ludkovski , Katherine Shatskikh

The rapid urbanization and increasing traffic have serious social, economic, and environmental impact on metropolitan areas worldwide. It is of a great importance to understand the complex interplay of road networks and traffic conditions.…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Weizi Li , Meilei Jiang , Yaoyu Chen , Ming C. Lin

Predicting travel times of vehicles in urban settings is a useful and tangible quantity of interest in the context of intelligent transportation systems. We address the problem of travel time prediction in arterial roads using data sampled…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-17 Avinash Achar , Venkatesh Sarangan , R Rohith , Anand Sivasubramaniam

In this study, two mathematical models have been developed for assigning emergency vehicles, namely ambulances, to geographical areas. The first model, which is based on the assignment problem, the ambulance transfer (moving ambulances)…

We address the problem of simultaneously estimating arc travel times in a network \emph{and} parameters of route choice models for strategic and tactical network planning purposes. Hitherto, these interdependent tasks have been approached…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Sobhan Mohammadpour , Emma Frejinger

Due to the rapid development of Internet of Things (IoT) technologies, many online web apps (e.g., Google Map and Uber) estimate the travel time of trajectory data collected by mobile devices. However, in reality, complex factors, such as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Zhiwen Zhang , Hongjun Wang , Zipei Fan , Jiyuan Chen , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Scientists often express their understanding of the world through a computationally demanding simulation program. Analyzing the posterior distribution of the parameters given observations (the inverse problem) can be extremely challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-14 Edward Meeds , Max Welling

Past research on pedestrian trajectory forecasting mainly focused on deterministic predictions which provide only point estimates of future states. These future estimates can help an autonomous vehicle plan its trajectory and avoid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian , Zachary Doerzaph

Estimating the travel time for a given path is a fundamental problem in many urban transportation systems. However, prior works fail to well capture moving behaviors embedded in paths and thus do not estimate the travel time accurately. To…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-13 Tao-yang Fu , Wang-Chien Lee

Traffic flow prediction is a big challenge for transportation authorities as it helps plan and develop better infrastructure. State-of-the-art models often struggle to consider the data in the best way possible, as well as intrinsic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Mayur Patil , Qadeer Ahmed , Shawn Midlam-Mohler

In indirect measurements, the measurand is determined by solving an inverse problem which requires a model of the measurement process. Such models are often approximations and introduce systematic errors leading to a bias of the posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-22 Maren Casfor , Philipp Trunschke , Sebastian Heidenreich , Nando Hegemann

The lack of GPS data limits the ability to reconstruct the actual routes taken by cyclists in urban areas. This article introduces an inference method based solely on trip durations and origin-destination pairs from bike-sharing system…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-18 Bertrand Jouve , Paul Rochet , Mohamadou Salifou

In this paper we consider a network of agents monitoring a spatially distributed arrival process. Each node measures the number of arrivals seen at its monitoring point in a given time-interval with the objective of estimating the unknown…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-17 Angelo Coluccia , Giuseppe Notarstefano