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In this paper we consider the problem of dynamic clustering, where cluster memberships may change over time and clusters may split and merge over time, thus creating new clusters and destroying existing ones. We propose a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-24 Maria De Iorio , Stefano Favaro , Alessandra Guglielmi , Lifeng Ye

In machine learning, privacy requirements at inference or deployment time often evolve due to changing policies, regulations, or user preferences. In this work, we aim to construct a magnitude of models to satisfy any target differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Qichuan Yin , Manzil Zaheer , Tian Li

This paper focuses on the problem of hierarchical non-overlapping clustering of a dataset. In such a clustering, each data item is associated with exactly one leaf node and each internal node is associated with all the data items stored in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-26 Weipeng Huang , Nishma Laitonjam , Guangyuan Piao , Neil Hurley

We propose a model of inference and heuristic decision-making in groups that is rooted in the Bayes rule but avoids the complexities of rational inference in partially observed environments with incomplete information, which are…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2016-11-04 M. Amin Rahimian , Ali Jadbabaie

This paper develops a novel nonparametric identification method for treatment effects in settings where individuals self-select into treatment sequences. I propose an identification strategy which relies on a dynamic version of standard…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-05 Pedro Picchetti

We propose a novel nonparametric Bayesian approach for meta-analysis with event time outcomes. The model is an extension of linear dependent tail-free processes. The extension includes a modification to facilitate (conditionally) conjugate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Bernardo Flores , Peter Mueller

The Nested Dirichlet Distribution (NDD) provides a flexible alternative to the Dirichlet distribution for modeling compositional data, relaxing constraints on component variances and correlations through a hierarchical tree structure. While…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Jacob A. Turner , Monnie McGee , Bianca A. Luedeker

We present a framework for online inference in the presence of a nonexhaustively defined set of classes that incorporates supervised classification with class discovery and modeling. A Dirichlet process prior (DPP) model defined over class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Murat Dundar , Ferit Akova , Alan Qi , Bartek Rajwa

We propose a particularly structured Boltzmann machine, which we refer to as a dynamic Boltzmann machine (DyBM), as a stochastic model of a multi-dimensional time-series. The DyBM can have infinitely many layers of units but allows exact…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-09-30 Takayuki Osogami , Makoto Otsuka

Arguably the key issue in modelling discrete choice data is capturing preference heterogeneity. This can be through observed characteristics, and/or using techniques for capturing random heterogeneity across respondents. On the latter, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-18 Thomas O. Hancock , John Buckell

We consider the problem of model-based clustering in the presence of many correlated, mixed continuous and discrete variables, some of which may have missing values. Discrete variables are treated with a latent continuous variable approach…

Dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) are sequences of decision rules designed to tailor treatment based on patients' treatment history and evolving disease status. Ordinal outcomes frequently serve as primary endpoints in clinical trials and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Xinru Wang , Tanujit Chakraborty , Bibhas Chakraborty

Recent research shows that large language models are susceptible to privacy attacks that infer aspects of the training data. However, it is unclear if simpler generative models, like topic models, share similar vulnerabilities. In this…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Nico Manzonelli , Wanrong Zhang , Salil Vadhan

Hypergraph can capture complex and higher-order dependencies among learners and learning resources in personalized educational recommender systems. Many existing hypergraph-based recommendation approaches underexplored the dynamic…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Tao Xie , Yan Li , Yongpan Sheng , Jian Liao

Continuous-time event data are common in applications such as individual behavior data, financial transactions, and medical health records. Modeling such data can be very challenging, in particular for applications with many different types…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Alex Boyd , Robert Bamler , Stephan Mandt , Padhraic Smyth

Network datasets typically exhibit certain types of statistical dependencies, such as within-dyad correlation, row and column heterogeneity, and third-order dependence patterns such as transitivity and clustering. The first two of these can…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-24 Peter D. Hoff

In microbiome studies, it is often of great interest to identify clusters or partitions of microbiome profiles within a study population and to characterize the distinctive attributes of each resulting microbial community. While raw counts…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-18 Zhongmao Liu , Xiaohui Yin , Yanjiao Zhou , Gen Li , Kun Chen

In this paper, we showed that the no-arbitrage condition holds if the market follows the mixture of the geometric Brownian motion (GBM). The mixture of GBM can incorporate heavy-tail behavior of the market. It automatically leads us to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-02 Sourish Das , Aritra Halder , Ananya Lahiri , Dipak K Dey

Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) is a popular framework for estimating a causal effect in settings where treatment is assigned if an observed covariate exceeds a fixed threshold. We consider estimation and inference in the common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Kevin Tao , Y. Samuel Wang , David Ruppert

Researchers are increasingly turning to machine learning (ML) algorithms to investigate causal heterogeneity in randomized experiments. Despite their promise, ML algorithms may fail to accurately ascertain heterogeneous treatment effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li
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