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A rapid decline in mortality and fertility has become major issues in many developed countries over the past few decades. A precise model for forecasting demographic movements is important for decision making in social welfare policies and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Ka Kin Lam , Bo Wang

Gaussian Processes (GPs) provide a general and analytically tractable way of modeling complex time-varying, nonparametric functions. The Automatic Bayesian Covariance Discovery (ABCD) system constructs natural-language description of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-15 Yunseong Hwang , Anh Tong , Jaesik Choi

Gaussian Process (GP) models are a powerful tool in probabilistic machine learning with a solid theoretical foundation. Thanks to current advances, modeling complex data with GPs is becoming increasingly feasible, which makes them an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Sarem Seitz

Multitask Gaussian processes (MTGP) are the Gaussian process (GP) framework's solution for multioutput regression problems in which the $T$ elements of the regressors cannot be considered conditionally independent given the observations.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Óscar García-Hinde , Vanessa Gómez-Verdejo , Manel Martínez-Ramón

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

While Gaussian processes (GPs) are the method of choice for regression tasks, they also come with practical difficulties, as inference cost scales cubic in time and quadratic in memory. In this paper, we introduce a natural and expressive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Martin Trapp , Robert Peharz , Carl E. Rasmussen , Franz Pernkopf

Nonparametric regression for massive numbers of samples (n) and features (p) is an increasingly important problem. In big n settings, a common strategy is to partition the feature space, and then separately apply simple models to each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-10 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , David B. Dunson

Despite the widespread utilization of Gaussian process models for versatile nonparametric modeling, they exhibit limitations in effectively capturing abrupt changes in function smoothness and accommodating relationships with heteroscedastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-01 Taehee Lee , Jun S. Liu

This paper proposes a hybrid Gaussian process (GP) approach to robust economic model predictive control under unknown future disturbances in order to reduce the conservatism of the controller. The proposed hybrid GP is a combination of two…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-08 Mohammadreza Rostam , Ryozo Nagamune , Vladimir Grebenyuk

Gaussian Process (GP) models provide a flexible framework for prediction and uncertainty quantification. For most covariance functions, however, exact GP prediction with $n$ points scales as $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$, making it prohibitively…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-29 Samanyu Arora , Christopher J. Geoga

The penalized Cox proportional hazard model is a popular analytical approach for survival data with a large number of covariates. Such problems are especially challenging when covariates vary over follow-up time (i.e., the covariates are…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Steve Cygu , Jonathan Dushoff , Benjamin M. Bolker

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a framework for Bayesian inference that can offer principled uncertainty estimates for a large range of problems. For example, if we consider regression problems with Gaussian likelihoods, a GP model enjoys…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Felix Leibfried , Vincent Dutordoir , ST John , Nicolas Durrande

Standard GPs offer a flexible modelling tool for well-behaved processes. However, deviations from Gaussianity are expected to appear in real world datasets, with structural outliers and shocks routinely observed. In these cases GPs can fail…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-08 Yaman Kındap , Simon Godsill

We develop a non-parametric multivariate time series model that remains agnostic on the precise relationship between a (possibly) large set of macroeconomic time series and their lagged values. The main building block of our model is a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-07 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Massimiliano Marcellino , Nico Petz

In this paper, we revisit batch state estimation through the lens of Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider continuous-discrete estimation problems wherein a trajectory is viewed as a one-dimensional GP, with time as the independent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Sean Anderson , Timothy D. Barfoot , Chi Hay Tong , Simo Särkkä

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is shown to be effective for learning unknown dynamics, enabling efficient and safety-aware control strategies across diverse applications. However, existing GP-based model predictive control (GP-MPC)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-13 Manish Prajapat , Johannes Köhler , Amon Lahr , Andreas Krause , Melanie N. Zeilinger

The Gaussian process (GP) regression can be severely biased when the data are contaminated by outliers. This paper presents a new robust GP regression algorithm that iteratively trims the most extreme data points. While the new algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Zhao-Zhou Li , Lu Li , Zhengyi Shao

Additive-interactive regression has recently been shown to offer attractive minimax error rates over traditional nonparametric multivariate regression in a wide variety of settings, including cases where the predictor count is much larger…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-26 Shaan Qamar , Surya T. Tokdar

We develop a fast variational approximation scheme for Gaussian process (GP) regression, where the spectrum of the covariance function is subjected to a sparse approximation. Our approach enables uncertainty in covariance function…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-24 Linda S. L. Tan , Victor M. H. Ong , David J. Nott , Ajay Jasra
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