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This paper presents a nonparametric method for estimating the conditional density associated to the jump rate of a piecewise-deterministic Markov process. In our framework, the estimation needs only one observation of the process within a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-12 Romain Azaïs , François Dufour , Anne Gégout-Petit

Let $\omega=(\omega_i)_{i\in\mathbb Z}=(\mu^{L}_i,...,\mu^{1}_i,\lambda_i)_{i\in \mathbb Z}$, which serves as the environment, be a sequence of i.i.d. random nonnegative vectors, with $L\ge1$ a positive integer. We study birth and death…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Hua-Ming Wang

We consider nonparametric statistical inference for L\'evy processes sampled irregularly, at low frequency. The estimation of the jump dynamics as well as the estimation of the distributional density are investigated. Non-asymptotic risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-23 Johanna Kappus

In many complex systems studied in statistical physics, inter-arrival times between events such as solar flares, trades and neuron voltages follow a heavy-tailed distribution. The set of event times is fractal-like, being dense in some time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-16 Katharina Hees , Smarak Nayak , Peter Straka

Iterated Bessel processes R^\gamma(t), t>0, \gamma>0 and their counterparts on hyperbolic spaces, i.e. hyperbolic Brownian motions B^{hp}(t), t>0 are examined and their probability laws derived. The higher-order partial differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-14 Mirko D'Ovidio , Enzo Orsingher

In this paper, we consider an ergodic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with jumps driven by a Brownian motion and a compensated Poisson process, whose drift and diffusion coefficients as well as its jump intensity depend on unknown parameters.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-14 Ngoc Khue Tran

We study the probability distribution, $P_N(T)$, of the coincidence time $T$, i.e. the total local time of all pairwise coincidences of $N$ independent Brownian walkers. We consider in details two geometries: Brownian motions all starting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-06-12 Alexandre Krajenbrink , Bertrand Lacroix-A-Chez-Toine , Pierre Le Doussal

First-passage properties of continuous stochastic processes confined in a 1--dimensional interval are well described. However, for jump processes (discrete random walks), the characterization of the corresponding observables remains…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-17 Jérémie Klinger , Raphaël Voituriez , Olivier Bénichou

In this paper we introduce a general stochastic representation for an important class of processes with resetting. It allows to describe any stochastic process intermittently terminated and restarted from a predefined random or non-random…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-11 Marcin Magdziarz , Kacper Taźbierski

We investigate statistical inference across time scales. We take as toy model the estimation of the intensity of a discretely observed compound Poisson process with symmetric Bernoulli jumps. We have data at different time scales:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-07 Céline Duval , Marc Hoffmann

Noncolliding diffusion processes reported in the present paper are $N$-particle systems of diffusion processes in one-dimension, which are conditioned so that all particles start from the origin and never collide with each other in a finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-05 Minami Izumi , Makoto Katori

For one-dimensional Jump-Drift and Jump-Diffusion processes converging towards some steady state, the large deviations of a long dynamical trajectory are described from two perspectives. Firstly, the joint probability of the empirical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Cecile Monthus

Score-based diffusion models generate samples from an unknown target distribution using a time-reversed diffusion process. While such models represent state-of-the-art approaches in industrial applications such as artificial image…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Adrian Baule

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

A partially observed jump diffusion $Z=(X_t,Y_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ given by a stochastic differential equation driven by Wiener processes and Poisson martingale measures is considered when the coefficients of the equation satisfy appropriate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-20 Alexander Davie , Fabian Germ , István Gyöngy

For a finite state Markov process and a finite collection $\{ \Gamma_k, k \in K \}$ of subsets of its state space, let $\tau_k$ be the first time the process visits the set $\Gamma_k$. We derive explicit/recursive formulas for the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-03 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Monique Jeanblanc , Ali Devin Sezer

This paper introduces the Generalized Fractional Compound Poisson Process (GFCPP), which claims to be a unified fractional version of the compound Poisson process (CPP) that encompasses existing variations as special cases. We derive its…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Neha Gupta , Aditya Maheshwari

We consider a Markovian jumping process with two absorbing barriers, for which the waiting-time distribution involves a position-dependent coefficient. We solve the Fokker-Planck equation with boundary conditions and calculate the mean…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-10-16 A. Kamińska , T. Srokowski

We consider a stochastic process driven by a diffusion and jumps. We devise a technique, which is based on a discrete record of observations, for identifying the times when jumps larger than a suitably defined threshold occurred. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cecilia Mancini

In this paper, we study a birth and death process $\{N_t\}_{t\ge0}$ on positive half lattice, which at each discontinuity jumps at most a distance $R\ge 1$ to the right or exactly a distance $1$ to the left. The transitional probabilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-16 Hua-Ming Wang