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Moving average processes driven by exponential-tailed L\'evy noise are important extensions of their Gaussian counterparts in order to capture deviations from Gaussianity, more flexible dependence structures, and sample paths with jumps.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Zhongwei Zhang , David Bolin , Sebastian Engelke , Raphaël Huser

Let $W_i,i\in{\mathbb{N}}$, be independent copies of a zero-mean Gaussian process $\{W(t),t\in{\mathbb{R}}^d\}$ with stationary increments and variance $\sigma^2(t)$. Independently of $W_i$, let $\sum_{i=1}^{\infty}\delta_{U_i}$ be a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-25 Zakhar Kabluchko , Martin Schlather , Laurens de Haan

We prove new lower bounds for the upper tail probabilities of suprema of Gaussian processes. Unlike many existing bounds, our results are not asymptotic, but supply strong information when one is only a little into the upper tail. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-25 Adam J. Harper

We show that in the point process limit of the bulk eigenvalues of $\beta$-ensembles of random matrices, the probability of having no eigenvalue in a fixed interval of size $\lambda$ is given by \[\bigl(\…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Benedek Valkó , Bálint Virág

The non-asymptotic tail bounds of random variables play crucial roles in probability, statistics, and machine learning. Despite much success in developing upper bounds on tail probability in literature, the lower bounds on tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Anru R. Zhang , Yuchen Zhou

We study the largest eigenvalue of a Gaussian random symmetric matrix $X_n$, with zero-mean, unit variance entries satisfying the condition $\sup_{(i, j) \ne (i', j')}|\mathbb{E}[X_{ij} X_{i'j'}]| = O(n^{-(1 + \varepsilon)})$, where…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Debapratim Banerjee , Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee , Dipranjan Pal

Finite-width fully connected neural networks with Gaussian-initialized weights deviate from their infinite-width Gaussian limit, exhibiting non-vanishing higher-order cumulants. We approximate these deviations, for a neural network…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Lucia Celli

Let $\{Z(\tau,s), (\tau,s)\in [a,b]\times[0,T]\}$ with some positive constants $a,b,T$ be a centered Gaussian random field with variance function $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)$ satisfying $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)=\sigma^{2}(\tau)$. We firstly derive the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Zhongquan Tan , Shengchao Zheng

We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Christoph H. Lampert , Liva Ralaivola , Alexander Zimin

We propose a lower bound on the log marginal likelihood of Gaussian process regression models that can be computed without matrix factorisation of the full kernel matrix. We show that approximate maximum likelihood learning of model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-17 Artem Artemev , David R. Burt , Mark van der Wilk

Motivated by the problem of testing for the existence of a signal of known parametric structure and unknown ``location'' (as explained below) against a noisy background, we obtain for the maximum of a centered, smooth random field an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-27 Yuval Nardi , David O. Siegmund , Benjamin Yakir

We show that the probability that a multilinear polynomial $f$ of independent random variables exceeds its mean by $\lambda$ is at most $e^{-\lambda^2 / (R^q Var(f))}$ for sufficiently small $\lambda$, where $R$ is an absolute constant.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-11 Warren Schudy , Maxim Sviridenko

For an $n\times n$ Laplacian random matrix $L$ with Gaussian entries it is proven that the fluctuations of the largest eigenvalue and the largest diagonal entry of $L/\sqrt{n-1}$ are Gumbel. We first establish suitable non-asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-22 Santiago Arenas-Velilla , Victor Pérez-Abreu

Gaussian random fields on finite dimensional smooth manifolds whose variances reach their maximum value at smooth submanifolds are considered. Exact asymptotic behaviors of large excursion probabilities have been evaluated. Vector Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-18 Vladimir I. Piterbarg

It is well-known that the expected scaled maximum of non-negative random variables with unit mean defines a stable tail dependence function associated with some extreme-value copula. In the special case when these random variables are…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-30 Jan-Frederik Mai

Let $\bigl\{X_k\bigr\}_{k \in \mathbb{Z}} \in \mathbb{L}^2(\mathcal{T})$ be a stationary process with associated lag operators ${\boldsymbol{\cal C}}_h$. Uniform asymptotic expansions of the corresponding empirical eigenvalues and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Moritz Jirak

Several classical results on boundary crossing probabilities of Brownian motion and random walks are extended to asymptotically Gaussian random fields, which include sums of i.i.d. random variables with multidimensional indices,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

The paper deals with the expected maxima of continuous Gaussian processes $X = (X_t)_{t\ge 0}$ that are H\"older continuous in $L_2$-norm and/or satisfy the opposite inequality for the $L_2$-norms of their increments. Examples of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-04 Konstantin Borovkov , Yuliya Mishura , Alexander Novikov , Mikhail Zhitlukhin

This paper derives a new strong Gaussian approximation bound for the sum of independent random vectors. The approach relies on the optimal transport theory and yields \textit{explicit} dependence on the dimension size $p$ and the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-06 Nazar Buzun , Nikolay Shvetsov , Dmitry V. Dylov

The assumption that the elements of the cost matrix in the classical assignment problem are drawn independently from a standard Gaussian distribution motivates the study of a particular Gaussian field indexed by the symmetric permutation…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-24 Gilles Mordant , Johan Segers
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