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This paper introduces a novel model-based clustering approach for clustering time series which present changes in regime. It consists of a mixture of polynomial regressions governed by hidden Markov chains. The underlying hidden process for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Patrice Aknin , Gérard Govaert

Survival regression is used to estimate the relation between time-to-event and feature variables, and is important in application domains such as medicine, marketing, risk management and sales management. Nonlinear tree based machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Avinash Barnwal , Hyunsu Cho , Toby Dylan Hocking

In the mixture modeling frame, this paper presents the polynomial Gaussian cluster-weighted model (CWM). It extends the linear Gaussian CWM, for bivariate data, in a twofold way. Firstly, it allows for possible nonlinear dependencies in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-05 Antonio Punzo

A novel family of twelve mixture models with random covariates, nested in the linear $t$ cluster-weighted model (CWM), is introduced for model-based clustering. The linear $t$ CWM was recently presented as a robust alternative to the better…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-10 Salvatore Ingrassia , Simona C. Minotti , Antonio Punzo

Time-to-event analysis, also known as survival analysis, aims to predict the time of occurrence of an event, given a set of features. One of the major challenges in this area is dealing with censored data, which can make learning algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Hyunjun Lee , Junhyun Lee , Taehwa Choi , Jaewoo Kang , Sangbum Choi

Much work has been done in the area of the cluster weighted model (CWM), which extends the finite mixture of regression model to include modelling of the covariates. Although many types of distributions have been considered for both the…

Healthcare cost prediction is a challenging task due to the high-dimensionality and high correlation among covariates. Additionally, the skewed, heavy-tailed, and often multi-modal nature of cost data can complicate matters further due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-13 Zhengxiao Li , Yifan Huang , Yang Cao

Finite mixture models have been widely used to model and analyze data from a heterogeneous populations. Moreover, data of this kind can be missing or subject to some upper and/or lower detection limits because of the restriction of…

We develop a constructive approach for $\ell_0$-penalized estimation in the sparse accelerated failure time (AFT) model with high-dimensional covariates. Our proposed method is based on Stute's weighted least squares criterion combined with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-11 Xingdong Feng , Jian Huang , Yuling Jiao , Shuang Zhang

Risk behavior can have substantial consequences for health, well-being, and functioning. Previous studies have shown an association between real-world risk behavior and risk behavior on experimental tasks, such as the Columbia Card Task,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-08 Nienke F. S. Dijkstra , Henning Tiemeier , Bernd C. Figner , Patrick J. F. Groenen

In model-based clustering and classification, the cluster-weighted model constitutes a convenient approach when the random vector of interest constitutes a response variable Y and a set p of explanatory variables X. However, its…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-23 Sanjeena Subedi , Antonio Punzo , Salvatore Ingrassia , Paul D. McNicholas

We propose a functional accelerated failure time model to characterize effects of both functional and scalar covariates on the time to event of interest, and provide regularity conditions to guarantee model identifiability. For efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Changyu Liu , Wen Su , Kin-Yat Liu , Guosheng Yin , Xingqiu Zhao

Evaluating the performance of a prediction model is a common task in medical statistics. Standard accuracy metrics require the observation of the true outcomes. This is typically not possible in the setting with time-to-event outcomes due…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-18 Zhenwei Yang , Dimitris Rizopoulos , Lisa F. Newcomb , Nicole S. Erler

We develop methods to analyze clustered competing risks data when the event types are only available in a training dataset and are missing in the main study. We propose to estimate the exposure effects through the cause-specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-06 Yujie Wu , Molin Wang

In contrast to the popular Cox model which presents a multiplicative covariate effect specification on the time to event hazards, the semiparametric additive risks model (ARM) offers an attractive additive specification, allowing for direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-21 Tong Wang , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay , Samiran Sinha

Fitts' law is often employed as a predictive model for human movement, especially in the field of human-computer interaction. Models with an assumed Gaussian error structure are usually adequate when applied to data collected from…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-03 Yanxi Li , Derek S. Young , Julien Gori , Olivier Rioul

The Adversarially Learned Mixture Model (AMM) is a generative model for unsupervised or semi-supervised data clustering. The AMM is the first adversarially optimized method to model the conditional dependence between inferred continuous and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-26 Andrew Jesson , Cécile Low-Kam , Tanya Nair , Florian Soudan , Florent Chandelier , Nicolas Chapados

Accelerated life-testing (ALT) is a very useful technique for examining the reliability of highly reliable products. It allows testing the products at higher than usual stress conditions to induce failures more quickly and economically than…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Aida Calviño

The Gaussian cluster-weighted model (CWM) is a mixture of regression models with random covariates that allows for flexible clustering of a random vector composed of response variables and covariates. In each mixture component, it adopts a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-23 Antonio Punzo , Paul D. McNicholas

The proportional hazards (PH) model is arguably one of the most popular models used to analyze time to event data arising from clinical trials and longitudinal studies, among many others. In many such studies, the event time of interest is…