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An agent-based model with interacting low frequency liquidity takers inter-mediated by high-frequency liquidity providers acting collectively as market makers can be used to provide realistic simulated price impact curves. This is possible…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-23 Ivan Jericevich , Patrick Chang , Tim Gebbie

In the present work we introduce a novel multi-agent model with the aim to reproduce the dynamics of a double auction market at microscopic time scale through a faithful simulation of the matching mechanics in the limit order book. The…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-18 Marco Bartolozzi

This paper focuses on some simple models of limit order book dynamics which simulate market trading mechanisms. We start with a discrete time/space Markov process and then perform a re-scaling procedure leading to a deterministic dynamical…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-08 N Vvedenskaya , Y Suhov , V Belitsky

One approach to the analysis of stochastic fluctuations in market prices is to model characteristics of investor behaviour and the complex interactions between market participants, with the aim of extracting consequences in the aggregate.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ulrich Horst , Ronnie Sircar

This paper presents a method for forecasting limit order book durations using a self-exciting flexible residual point process. High-frequency events in modern exchanges exhibit heavy-tailed interarrival times, posing a significant challenge…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-02 Kyungsub Lee

Starting from the Avellaneda-Stoikov framework, we consider a market maker who wants to optimally set bid/ask quotes over a finite time horizon, to maximize her expected utility. The intensities of the orders she receives depend not only on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Diego Zabaljauregui , Luciano Campi

We propose a modeling framework for the dynamics of a reduced form order book in event time and based on event sizes. Our framework for the order book is influenced by [9], but compared to [9] we allow the best bid ask spread to be larger…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-21 Kaj Nyström , Sidi Mohamed Ould Aly

We introduce a practical, interactive simulator of the limit order book for large-tick assets, designed to produce realistic execution, costs, and P&L. The book state is projected onto a tractable representation based on spread and volume…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-26 Patrick Noble , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Saad Souilmi

We derive a continuous time model for the joint evolution of the mid price and the bid-ask spread from a multiscale analysis of the whole limit order book (LOB) dynamics. We model the LOB as a multiclass queueing system and perform our…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-07 Jose Blanchet , Xinyun Chen

A point process for event arrivals in high frequency trading is presented. The intensity is the product of a Hawkes process and high dimensional functions of covariates derived from the order book. Conditions for stationarity of the process…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Luca Mucciante , Alessio Sancetta

We propose a new model for the level I of a Limit Order Book (LOB), which incorporates the information about the standing orders at the opposite side of the book after each price change and the arrivals of new orders within the spread. Our…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-15 Jonathan A. Chávez-Casillas , José E. Figueroa-López

Managing the prediction of metrics in high-frequency financial markets is a challenging task. An efficient way is by monitoring the dynamics of a limit order book to identify the information edge. This paper describes the first publicly…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-03-12 Adamantios Ntakaris , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

A micro-scale model is proposed for the evolution of the limit order book. Within this model, the flows of orders (claims) are described by doubly stochastic Poisson processes taking account of the stochastic character of intensities of bid…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-09 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Chertok , A. Yu. Korchagin , A. I. Zeifman

We present a simple dynamic equilibrium model for an online exchange where both buyers and sellers arrive according to a exogenously defined stochastic process. The structure of this exchange is motivated by the limit order book mechanism…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2008-12-02 Garud Iyengar , Anuj Kumar

We propose a limit order book (LOB) model with dynamics that account for both the impact of the most recent order and the shape of the LOB. We present an empirical analysis showing that the type of the last order significantly alters the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-31 Federico Gonzalez , Mark Schervish

Motivated by a zero-intelligence approach, the aim of this paper is to connect the microscopic (discrete price and volume), mesoscopic (discrete price and continuous volume) and macroscopic (continuous price and volume) frameworks for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-27 Ben Hambly , Jasdeep Kalsi , James Newbury

This paper studies the fill probabilities of limit orders placed at different price levels in a limit order book. These probabilities play a central role in execution optimization, as limit orders are not guaranteed to be executed and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-09 Felix Lokin , Fenghui Yu

We study the dynamics of the limit order book of liquid stocks after experiencing large intra-day price changes. In the data we find large variations in several microscopical measures, e.g., the volatility the bid-ask spread, the bid-ask…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-26 Bence Toth , Janos Kertesz , J. Doyne Farmer

In this article, we consider a continuous review (s, S) inventory system with failures of demand fulfillment (service) modeled as a Markov-modulated retrial queueing system. The inventory system features a single product that experiences…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-18 James Cordeiro , Ying-Ju Chen , Andres Larrain-Hubach , Mark Abramson

The estimation of the volatility with high-frequency data is plagued by the presence of microstructure noise, which leads to biased measures. Alternative estimators have been developed and tested either on specific structures of the noise…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-20 Tommaso Mariotti , Fabrizio Lillo , Giacomo Toscano