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We propose and study a simple stochastic model for the dynamics of a limit order book, in which arrivals of market order, limit orders and order cancellations are described in terms of a Markovian queueing system. Through its analytical…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Rama Cont , Adrien De Larrard

We propose a model for the dynamics of a limit order book in a liquid market where buy and sell orders are submitted at high frequency. We derive a functional central limit theorem for the joint dynamics of the bid and ask queues and show…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-01 Rama Cont , Adrien De Larrard

Order positions are key variables in algorithmic trading. This paper studies the limiting behavior of order positions and related queues in a limit order book. In addition to the fluid and diffusion limits for the processes, fluctuations of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-14 Xin Guo , Zhao Ruan , Lingjiong Zhu

This work's purpose is to understand the dynamics of limit order books in order-driven markets. We try to illustrate a dynamical trading mechanism attached to the microstructure of limit order markets. We capture the iterative nature of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-13 Shilei Wang

We investigate the behavior of limit order books on the meso-scale motivated by order execution scheduling algorithms. To do so we carry out empirical analysis of the order flows from market and limit order submissions, aggregated from…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-10 Kyle Bechler , Michael Ludkovski

This paper studies the fill probabilities of limit orders placed at different price levels in a limit order book. These probabilities play a central role in execution optimization, as limit orders are not guaranteed to be executed and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-09 Felix Lokin , Fenghui Yu

We investigate whether the bid/ask queue imbalance in a limit order book (LOB) provides significant predictive power for the direction of the next mid-price movement. We consider this question both in the context of a simple binary…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-14 Martin D. Gould , Julius Bonart

Order book dynamics play an important role in both execution time and price formation of orders in an exchange market. In this study, we aim to model the limit order arrival rates in the vicinity of the best bid and the best ask price…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-19 Can Yilmaz Altinigne , Harun Ozkan , Veli Can Kupeli , Zehra Cataltepe

We analyze a tractable model of a limit order book on short time scales, where the dynamics are driven by stochastic fluctuations between supply and demand. We establish the existence of a limiting distribution for the highest bid, and for…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-24 Frank Kelly , Elena Yudovina

Volume imbalance in a limit order book is often considered as a reliable indicator for predicting future price moves. In this work, we seek to analyse the nuances of the relationship between prices and volume imbalance. To this end, we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-24 Sergio Pulido , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Emmanouil Sfendourakis

A limit order book provides information on available limit order prices and their volumes. Based on these quantities, we give an empirical result on the relationship between the bid-ask liquidity balance and trade sign and we show that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-09 Ban Zheng , Eric Moulines , Frédéric Abergel

I present an overview of some recent advancements on the empirical analysis and theoretical modeling of the process of price formation in financial markets as the result of the arrival of orders in a limit order book exchange. After…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-04 Fabrizio Lillo

R. Cont and A. de Larrard (SIAM J. Finan. Math, 2013) introduced a tractable stochastic model for the dynamics of a limit order book, computing various quantities of interest such as the probability of a price increase or the diffusion…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-11 Anatoliy Swishchuk , Nelson Vadori

We study the dynamics of the limit order book of liquid stocks after experiencing large intra-day price changes. In the data we find large variations in several microscopical measures, e.g., the volatility the bid-ask spread, the bid-ask…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-10-26 Bence Toth , Janos Kertesz , J. Doyne Farmer

We study a microscopic limit order book model, in which the order dynamics depend on the current best bid and ask price and the current volume density functions, simultaneously, and derive its macroscopic high-frequency dynamics. As opposed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-17 Dörte Kreher , Cassandra Milbradt

Market participants regularly send bid and ask quotes to exchange-operated limit order books. This creates an optimization challenge where their potential profit is determined by their quoted price and how often their orders are…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-16 Chutian Ma , Giacinto Paolo Saggese , Paul Smith

A micro-scale model is proposed for the evolution of the limit order book. Within this model, the flows of orders (claims) are described by doubly stochastic Poisson processes taking account of the stochastic character of intensities of bid…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-09 V. Yu. Korolev , A. V. Chertok , A. Yu. Korchagin , A. I. Zeifman

We present a simple dynamic equilibrium model for an online exchange where both buyers and sellers arrive according to a exogenously defined stochastic process. The structure of this exchange is motivated by the limit order book mechanism…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2008-12-02 Garud Iyengar , Anuj Kumar

We study the price impact of order book events - limit orders, market orders and cancelations - using the NYSE TAQ data for 50 U.S. stocks. We show that, over short time intervals, price changes are mainly driven by the order flow…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Rama Cont , Arseniy Kukanov , Sasha Stoikov

One popular approach to model the limit order books dynamics of the best bid and ask at level-1 is to use the reduced-form diffusion approximations. It is well known that the biggest contributing factor to the price movement is the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-13 Tzu-Wei Yang , Lingjiong Zhu
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