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The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the ROC curve are widely used to compare the performance of diagnostic and prognostic assays. The ROC curve has the advantage that it is independent of…

Logistic models are studied as a tool to convert output from numerical weather forecasting systems (deterministic and ensemble) into probability forecasts for binary events. A logistic model obtains by putting the logarithmic odds ratio…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-01-29 Jochen Bröcker

Most binary classifiers work by processing the input to produce a scalar response and comparing it to a threshold value. The various measures of classifier performance assume, explicitly or implicitly, probability distributions $P_s$ and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Luma Omar , Ioannis Ivrissimtzis

We consider the problem of estimating and inferring treatment effects in randomized experiments. In practice, stratified randomization, or more generally, covariate-adaptive randomization, is routinely used in the design stage to balance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-27 Hanzhong Liu , Fuyi Tu , Wei Ma

In clinical trials the comparison of two different populations is a frequently addressed problem. Non-linear (parametric) regression models are commonly used to describe the relationship between covariates as the dose and a response…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-12 Kathrin Möllenhoff , Frank Bretz , Holger Dette

While there are many well-developed data science methods for classification and regression, there are relatively few methods for working with right-censored data. Here, we present "survival stacking": a method for casting survival analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-29 Erin Craig , Chenyang Zhong , Robert Tibshirani

The paper describes the use of Bayesian regression for building time series models and stacking different predictive models for time series. Using Bayesian regression for time series modeling with nonlinear trend was analyzed. This approach…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-07 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

Some patients benefit from a treatment while others may do so less or do not benefit at all. We have previously developed a two-stage network meta-regression prediction model that synthesized randomized trials and evaluates how treatment…

High resolution microarrays and second-generation sequencing platforms are powerful tools to investigate genome-wide alterations in DNA copy number, methylation and gene expression associated with a disease. An integrated genomic profiling…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-22 Ronglai Shen , Sijian Wang , Qianxing Mo

Proportional hazards are a common assumption when designing confirmatory clinical trials in oncology. With the emergence of immunotherapy and novel targeted therapies, departure from the proportional hazard assumption is not rare in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-27 José L. Jiménez

In this paper, we explore a method for treating survival analysis as a classification problem. The method uses a "stacking" idea that collects the features and outcomes of the survival data in a large data frame, and then treats it as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-27 Chenyang Zhong , Robert Tibshirani

Several efforts have been done to bring ROC analysis beyond (binary) classification, especially in regression. However, the mapping and possibilities of these proposals do not correspond to what we expect from the analysis of operating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-17 Jose Hernandez-Orallo

We explore whether survival model performance in underrepresented high- and low-risk subgroups - regions of the prognostic spectrum where clinical decisions are most consequential - can be improved through targeted restructuring of the…

Logistic regression is a commonly used method for binary classification. Researchers often have more than a single binary response variable and simultaneous analysis is beneficial because it provides insight into the dependencies among…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Mark de Rooij , Patrick J. F. Groenen

Positive and unlabelled learning is an important problem which arises naturally in many applications. The significant limitation of almost all existing methods lies in assuming that the propensity score function is constant (SCAR…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 Konrad Furmańczyk , Jan Mielniczuk , Wojciech Rejchel , Paweł Teisseyre

Statistical approaches that successfully combine multiple datasets are more powerful, efficient, and scientifically informative than separate analyses. To address variation architectures correctly and comprehensively for high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-01 Jiuzhou Wang , Eric F. Lock

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with binary primary endpoints introduce novel challenges for inferring the causal effects of treatments. The most significant challenge is non-collapsibility, in which the conditional odds ratio estimand…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-01 Yunfan Li , Arman Sabbaghi , Jonathan R. Walsh , Charles K. Fisher

Penalized logistic regression methods are frequently used to investigate the relationship between a binary outcome and a set of explanatory variables. The model performance can be assessed by measures such as the concordance statistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-20 Angelika Geroldinger , Lara Lusa , Mariana Nold , Georg Heinze

The performance of risk prediction models is often characterized in terms of discrimination and calibration. The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve is widely used for evaluating model discrimination. When evaluating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Mohsen Sadatsafavi , Paramita Saha-Chaudhuri , John Petkau

There has been a split in the statistics community about the need for taking covariates into account in the design phase of a clinical trial. There are many advocates of using stratification and covariate-adaptive randomization to promote…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-21 William F. Rosenberger , Oleksandr Sverdlov
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