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Satellite conjunctions involving "near misses" of space objects are becoming increasingly likely. One approach to risk analysis for them involves the computation of the collision probability, but this has been regarded as having some…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-11 Soumaya Elkantassi , Anthony Davison

This Engineering Note addresses the challenge of estimating the probability of collision for tethered spacecraft during close encounters with other space objects. Standard probability of collision methods, based on spherical hard-body…

Estimating the probability of collision between spacecraft is crucial for risk management and collision-avoidance strategies. Current methods often rely on Gaussian assumptions and simplifications, which can be inaccurate in highly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-22 Théo Verhelst , Giacomo Acciarini , Dario Izzo , Francesco Biscani

The proliferation of space debris in LEO has become a major concern for the space industry. With the growing interest in space exploration, the prediction of potential collisions between objects in orbit has become a crucial issue. It is…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-11 Ricardo Ferreira , Cláudia Soares , Marta Guimarães

The probability that two satellites overlap in space at a specified instant of time is called their instantaneous collision probability. Assuming Gaussian uncertainties and spherical satellites, this probability is the integral of a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-24 Jason Bernstein

Computing collision-free trajectories is of prime importance for safe navigation. We present an approach for computing the collision probability under Gaussian distributed motion and sensing uncertainty with the robot and static obstacle…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Antony Thomas , Fulvio Mastrogiovanni , Marco Baglietto

We revisit the computation of a probability of collision in the context of automotive collision avoidance (also referred to as conflict detection in other contexts). After reviewing existing approaches to the definition and computation of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-20 Richard Altendorfer , Christoph Wilkmann

The minimum orbital intersection distance is used as a measure to assess potential close approaches and collision risks between astronomical objects. Methods to calculate this quantity have been proposed in several previous publications.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-25 José Manuel Hedo , Elena Fantino , Manuel Ruíz , Jesús Pelaez

Over 34,000 objects bigger than 10 cm in length are known to orbit Earth. Among them, only a small percentage are active satellites, while the rest of the population is made of dead satellites, rocket bodies, and debris that pose a…

Satellite conjunctions involving near misses of space objects are increasingly common, especially with the growth of satellite constellations and space debris. Accurate risk analysis for these events is essential to prevent collisions and…

Characterizing the risk of operations is a fundamental requirement in robotics, and a crucial ingredient of safe planning. The problem is multifaceted, with multiple definitions arising in the vast recent literature fitting different…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-03 Lorenzo Paiola , Giorgio Grioli , Antonio Bicchi

This paper describes continuous-space methodologies to estimate the collision probability, Euclidean distance and gradient between an ellipsoidal robot model and an environment surface modeled as a set of Gaussian distributions.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Kshitij Goel , Wennie Tabib

This paper presents an analytical model for collision probability assessments between de-orbiting or injecting space objects and satellite constellations. Considering the first to be subjected to a continuous tangential acceleration, its…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-15 Eduardo Maria Polli , Juan Luis Gonzalo , Camilla Colombo

In many modern astronomical facilities, multi-object telescopes are crucial instruments. Most of these telescopes have thousands of robotic fiber positioners(RFPs) installed on their focal plane, sharing an overlapping workspace. Collisions…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Baolong Chen , Jianping Wang , Zhigang Liu , Zengxiang Zhou , Hongzhuan Hu , Feifan Zhang

Probability of coincidental clustering among the orbits of comets, asteroids and meteoroids depends on many factors like: the size of the orbital sample searched for clusters or the size of the identified group, it is different for groups…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-28 Tadeusz J. Jopek , Malgorzata Bronikowska

In this paper, we address the problem of predicting collision for objects moving on the surface of a spherical manifold. Toward this end, we develop the notion of a collision triangle on such manifolds. We use this to determine analytical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-18 Animesh Chakravarthy , Debasish Ghose

Many topics in planetary studies demand an estimate of the collision probability of two objects moving on nearly Keplerian orbits. In the classic works of \"Opik (1951) and Wetherill (1967), the collision probability was derived by…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-05-10 Youngmin JeongAhn , Renu Malhotra

As robots are being increasingly used in close proximity to humans and objects, it is imperative that robots operate safely and efficiently under real-world conditions. Yet, the environment is seldom known perfectly. Noisy sensors and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Antony Thomas , Fulvio Mastrogiovanni , Marco Baglietto

The computation of the Minimum Orbital Intersection Distance (MOID) is an old, but increasingly relevant problem. Fast and precise methods for MOID computation are needed to select potentially hazardous asteroids from a large catalogue. The…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-22 Jose M. Hedo , Manuel Ruiz , Jesus Pelaez

There are two popular ways to speed up simulations of planet formation via increasing the collision probability: ({\it i}) confine motion to 2D, ({\it ii}) artificially enhance the physical radii of the bodies by an expansion factor. In…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-24 Áron Süli
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