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The mixed fractional Vasicek model, which is an extended model of the traditional Vasicek model, has been widely used in modelling volatility, interest rate and exchange rate. Obviously, if some phenomenon are modeled by the mixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Chunhao Cai , Yinzhong Huang , Weilin Xiao

Employing the optimal fluctuation method (OFM), we study the large deviation function of long-time averages $(1/T)\int_{-T/2}^{T/2} x^n(t) dt$, $n=1,2, \dots$, of centered stationary Gaussian processes. These processes are correlated and,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-13 Baruch Meerson

We prove large deviation principles (LDPs) for random matrices in the orthogonal group and Stiefel manifold, determining both the speed and good convex rate functions that are explicitly given in terms of certain log-determinants of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-04 Zakhar Kabluchko , Joscha Prochno

We study the problem of parametric estimation for continuously observed stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Under some assumptions on drift and diffusion coefficients, we construct maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-31 Shohei Nakajima

The large deviation principle is proved for a class of $L^2$-valued processes that arise from the coarse-graining of a random field. Coarse-grained processes of this kind form the basis of the analysis of local mean-field models in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 R. S. Ellis , K. Haven , B. Turkington

We study rates of convergence in central limit theorems for the partial sum of squares of general Gaussian sequences, using tools from analysis on Wiener space. No assumption of stationarity, asymptotically or otherwise, is made. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-09 Soukaina Douissi , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens

We establish large deviation principle (LDP) for the family of vector-valued random processes $(X^\epsilon,Y^\epsilon),\epsilon\to 0$ defined as $$ X^\epsilon_t=\frac{1}{\epsilon^\kappa}\int_0^t H(\xi^\epsilon_s,Y^\epsilon_s)ds,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 A. Guillin , R. Liptser

We consider the parametric estimation of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy process with the stable index $\alpha>1$ and possibly skewed jumps, based on a discrete-time sample over a fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Eitaro Kawamo , Hiroki Masuda

Moving average processes driven by exponential-tailed L\'evy noise are important extensions of their Gaussian counterparts in order to capture deviations from Gaussianity, more flexible dependence structures, and sample paths with jumps.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Zhongwei Zhang , David Bolin , Sebastian Engelke , Raphaël Huser

We prove that the stationary measure associated to a boundary driven exclusion process in any dimension satisfies a large deviation principle with rate function given by the quasi potential of the Freidlin and Wentzell theory.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Jonathan Farfan

Consider a multivariate L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process where the stationary distribution or background driving L\'evy process is from a parametric family. We derive the likelihood function assuming that the innovation term is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-01 Kevin W. Lu

In this paper we introduce the well-balanced L\'{e}vy driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process as a moving average process of the form $X_t=\int \exp(-\lambda |t-u|)dL_u$. In contrast to L\'{e}vy driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-08 Alexander Schnurr , Jeannette H. C. Woerner

We consider the homogeneous stochastic differential equation with unknown parameter to be estimated. We prove that the standard maximum likelihood estimate is strongly consistent under very mild conditions. There are also established the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-07 Yuliya Mishura

In this paper we present nonparametric estimators for coefficients in stochastic differential equation if the data are described by independent, identically distributed random variables. The problem is formulated as a nonlinear ill-posed…

Computation · Statistics 2015-11-18 Fabian Dunker , Thorsten Hohage

In this paper a drift-randomized Milstein method is introduced for the numerical solution of non-autonomous stochastic differential equations with non-differentiable drift coefficient functions. Compared to standard Milstein-type methods we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Raphael Kruse , Yue Wu

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

Tight estimates of exit/containment probabilities are of particular importance in many control problems. Yet, estimating the exit/containment probabilities is non-trivial: even for linear systems (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes), the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Quang-Cuong Pham , Bastien Mallein , Jean-Jacques Slotine

The goal of this paper is to construct ergodic estimators for the parameters in the double exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, observed at discrete time instants with time step size h. The existence and uniqueness, the strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-19 Yaozhong Hu , Neha Sharma

Birth-death processes form a natural class where ideas and results on large deviations can be tested. In this paper, we derive a large deviation principle under the assumption that the rate of a jump down (death) is growing asymptotically…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , A. A. Yambartsev

We prove a large deviation principle for the largest eigenvalue of Wigner matrices without Gaussian tails, namely such that the distribution tails $\mathbb{P}( |X_{1,1}|>t)$ and $\mathbb{P}(|X_{1,2}|>t)$ behave like $e^{-bt^{\alpha}}$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Fanny Augeri