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We study the limit behaviour of upper and lower bounds on expected time averages in imprecise Markov chains; a generalised type of Markov chain where the local dynamics, traditionally characterised by transition probabilities, are now…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock

The cutoff phenomenon describes a sharp transition in the convergence of an ergodic finite Markov chain to equilibrium. Of particular interest is understanding this convergence for the simple random walk on a bounded-degree expander graph.…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-19 Eyal Lubetzky , Allan Sly

A random-walk Metropolis sampler is geometrically ergodic if its equilibrium density is super-exponentially light and satisfies a curvature condition [Stochastic Process. Appl. 85 (2000) 341-361]. Many applications, including Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Leif T. Johnson , Charles J. Geyer

In this paper, we study dynamical properties as hypercyclicity, supercyclicity, frequent hypercyclicity and chaoticity for transition operators associated to countable irreductible Markov chains. As particular cases, we consider simple…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-04-17 Ali Messaoudi , Glauco Valle

Let {X_n,n\geq0} be a Markov chain on a general state space X with transition probability P and stationary probability \pi. Suppose an additive component S_n takes values in the real line R and is adjoined to the chain such that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Cheng-Der Fuh

In the simplest sequential decision problem for an ergodic stochastic process X, at each time n a decision u_n is made as a function of past observations X_0,...,X_{n-1}, and a loss l(u_n,X_n) is incurred. In this setting, it is known that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-04 Ramon van Handel

Fix an irrational number $\alpha$ and a smooth, positive, real function $\mathfrak{p}$ on the circle. If current position is $x\in \mathbb R/\mathbb Z$ then in the next step jump to $x+\alpha$ with probability $\mathfrak{p}(x)$ or to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Klaudiusz Czudek

We study the ergodic property of a continuous-state branching process with immigration and competition. The exponential ergodicity in a weighted total variation distance is proved under natural assumptions. The main theorem applies to…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Pei-Sen Li , Zenghu Li , Jian Wang , Xiaowen Zhou

In ergodic physical systems, time-averaged quantities converge (for large times) to their ensemble-averaged values. Large deviation theory describes rare events where these time averages differ significantly from the corresponding ensemble…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-20 Robert L. Jack

Famously, a $d$-dimensional, spatially homogeneous random walk whose increments are non-degenerate, have finite second moments, and have zero mean is recurrent if $d \in \{1,2\}$ but transient if $d \geq 3$. Once spatial homogeneity is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Nicholas Georgiou , Mikhail V. Menshikov , Aleksandar Mijatović , Andrew R. Wade

It has been established under very general conditions that the ergodic properties of Markov processes are inherited by their conditional distributions given partial information. While the existing theory provides a rather complete picture…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-04 Patrick Rebeschini , Ramon van Handel

In this paper, we study nonlocal random walk strategies generated with the fractional Laplacian matrix of directed networks. We present a general approach to analyzing these strategies by defining the dynamics as a discrete-time Markovian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-02 A. P. Riascos , T. M. Michelitsch , A. Pizarro-Medina

The rotor walk on a graph is a deterministic analogue of random walk. Each vertex is equipped with a rotor, which routes the walker to the neighbouring vertices in a fixed cyclic order on successive visits. We consider rotor walk on an…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-09-27 Omer Angel , Alexander E. Holroyd

We consider a Metropolis--Hastings method with proposal $\mathcal{N}(x, hG(x)^{-1})$, where $x$ is the current state, and study its ergodicity properties. We show that suitable choices of $G(x)$ can change these compared to the Random Walk…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-20 Samuel Livingstone

Let $G$ be a connected semisimple real Lie group with finite center, and $\mu$ a probability measure on $G$ whose support generates a Zariski-dense subgroup of $G$. We consider the right $\mu$-random walk on $G$ and show that each random…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Timothée Bénard

In this paper, we present an overview of different types of random walk strategies with local and non-local transitions on undirected connected networks. We present a general approach to analyzing these strategies by defining the dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-08 A. P. Riascos , José L. Mateos

Consider a random walk whose (light-tailed) increments have positive mean. Lower and upper bounds are provided for the expected maximal value of the random walk until it experiences a given drawdown d. These bounds, related to the Calmar…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-23 Isaac Meilijson

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is a central tool for evidence synthesis in clinical research. The results of an NMA depend critically on the quality of evidence being pooled. In assessing the validity of an NMA, it is therefore important to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-01-04 Annabel L. Davies , Theodoros Papakonstantinou , Adriani Nikolakopoulou , Gerta Rücker , Tobias Galla

We are concerned with the absolute continuity of stationary distributions corresponding to some piecewise deterministic Markov process, being typically encountered in biological models. The process under investigation involves a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

We propose a model of random walks on weighted graphs where the weights are interval valued, and connect it to reversible imprecise Markov chains. While the theory of imprecise Markov chains is now well established, this is a first attempt…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-20 Damjan Škulj