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Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch

Computer models are used as a way to explore complex physical systems. Stationary Gaussian process emulators, with their accompanying uncertainty quantification, are popular surrogates for computer models. However, many computer models are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-25 Faezeh Yazdi , Derek Bingham , Daniel Williamson

Recently, using Bayesian Machine Learning, a deviation from the cold dark matter model on cosmological scales has been put forward. Such model might replace a proposed non-gravitational interaction between dark energy and dark matter, and…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-02-14 Martiros Khurshudyan , Emilio Elizalde

We propose practical deep Gaussian process models on Riemannian manifolds, similar in spirit to residual neural networks. With manifold-to-manifold hidden layers and an arbitrary last layer, they can model manifold- and scalar-valued…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-03 Kacper Wyrwal , Andreas Krause , Viacheslav Borovitskiy

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

Gaussian processes are the gold standard for many real-world modeling problems, especially in cases where a model's success hinges upon its ability to faithfully represent predictive uncertainty. These problems typically exist as parts of…

We introduce a novel way to combine boosting with Gaussian process and mixed effects models. This allows for relaxing, first, the zero or linearity assumption for the prior mean function in Gaussian process and grouped random effects models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Fabio Sigrist

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a flexible non-parametric approach to approximate complex models. In many cases, these models correspond to processes with bounded physical properties. Standard GP regression typically results in a proxy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-10 Andrew Pensoneault , Xiu Yang , Xueyu Zhu

Bayesian methods in machine learning, such as Gaussian processes, have great advantages com-pared to other techniques. In particular, they provide estimates of the uncertainty associated with a prediction. Extending the Bayesian approach to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-20 Zhikuan Zhao , Alejandro Pozas-Kerstjens , Patrick Rebentrost , Peter Wittek

One goal in Bayesian machine learning is to encode prior knowledge into prior distributions, to model data efficiently. We consider prior knowledge from systems of linear partial differential equations together with their boundary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Markus Lange-Hegermann

Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

Gaussian process regression is a popular method for non-parametric probabilistic modeling of functions. The Gaussian process prior is characterized by so-called hyperparameters, which often have a large influence on the posterior model and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-18 Andreas Svensson , Johan Dahlin , Thomas B. Schön

Gaussian Processes are widely used for regression tasks. A known limitation in the application of Gaussian Processes to regression tasks is that the computation of the solution requires performing a matrix inversion. The solution also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-22 Sourish Das , Sasanka Roy , Rajiv Sambasivan

An important issue in cosmology is reconstructing the effective dark energy equation of state directly from observations. With so few physically motivated models, future dark energy studies cannot only be based on constraining a dark energy…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 Chris Clarkson , Caroline Zunckel

Gaussian processes allow for flexible specification of prior assumptions of unknown dynamics in state space models. We present a procedure for efficient Bayesian learning in Gaussian process state space models, where the representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-18 Andreas Svensson , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön

We reconstruct the Equation of State of Dark Energy (EoS) from current data using a non-parametric approach where, rather than assuming a specific time evolution of this function, we bin it in time. We treat the transition between the bins…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-23 Francesca Gerardi , Matteo Martinelli , Alessandra Silvestri

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar

In this paper, we introduce the notion of Gaussian processes indexed by probability density functions for extending the Mat\'ern family of covariance functions. We use some tools from information geometry to improve the efficiency and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-09 A. Fradi , Y. Feunteun , C. Samir , M. Baklouti , F. Bachoc , J-M. Loubes

Bayesian filtering is a general framework for recursively estimating the state of a dynamical system. Classical solutions such that Kalman filter and Particle filter are introduced in this report. Gaussian processes have been introduced as…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-11-04 Mr. Chong Han , Dr. Ido Nevat , Dr. Gareth Peters , Prof. Jinhong Yuan

A basic aim of ongoing and upcoming cosmological surveys is to unravel the mystery of dark energy. In the absence of a compelling theory to test, a natural approach is to better characterize the properties of dark energy in search of clues…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2010-11-11 Tracy Holsclaw , Ujjaini Alam , Bruno Sanso , Herbert Lee , Katrin Heitmann , Salman Habib , David Higdon