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We present a generic and powerful approach to study the statistics of extreme phenomena (meteorology, finance, biology...) that we apply to the statistical estimation of the tail of the distribution of earthquake sizes. The chief innovation…

Geophysics · Physics 2008-05-13 V. F. Pisarenko , A. Sornette , D. Sornette , M. V. Rodkin

Different questions related with analysis of extreme values and outliers arise frequently in practice. To exclude extremal observations and outliers is not a good decision because they contain important information about the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-17 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Monika P. Petkova

A novel statistical method is proposed and investigated for estimating a heavy tailed density under mild smoothness assumptions. Statistical analyses of heavy-tailed distributions are susceptible to the problem of sparse information in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-18 Surya T Tokdar , Sheng Jiang , Erika L Cunningham

Asymptotic theory of tail index estimation has been studied extensively in the frequentist literature on extreme values, but rarely in the Bayesian context. We investigate whether popular Bayesian kernel mixture models are able to support…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-19 Cheng Li , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

General hypergeometric distribution (GHGD) definition: from a finite space $N$ containing $n$ elements, randomly select totally $T$ subsets $M_i$ (each contains $m_i$ elements, $1 \geq i \geq T$), what is the probability that exactly $x$…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-01 Xing-gang Mao , Xiao-yan Xue

In this note we prove an inequality for t-geometric means that immediately implies the recent results of Audenaert [2] and Hayajneh-Kittaneh [6].

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2015-12-16 Dinh Trung Hoa

In extreme value inference it is a fundamental problem how the target value is required to be extreme by the extreme value theory. In iid settings this study both theoretically and numerically compares tail estimators, which are based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Taku Moriyama

We propose a mean functional which exists for any probability distributions, and which characterizes the Pareto distribution within the set of distributions with finite left endpoint. This is in sharp contrast to the mean excess plot which…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-05 Bernhard Klar

We suggest approximating the distribution of the sum of independent and identically distributed random variables with a Pareto-like tail by combining extreme value approximations for the largest summands with a normal approximation for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Ulrich K. Mueller

Survey of hypergeometric motives, with a focus on their source varieties, Hodge numbers, and L-functions.

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2021-09-02 David P. Roberts , Fernando Rodriguez Villegas

For $n$ positive numbers ($a_k$, $1\leq k \leq n$), enhanced inequalities about the arithmetic mean ($A_n \equiv \frac{\sum_ka_k}{n}$) and the geometric mean ($G_n\equiv \sqrt[n]{\Pi_ka_k}$) are found if some numbers are known, namely,…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Fang Dai , Li-Gang Xia

In this paper the double-sided Talor's approximations are used to obtain generalisations and improvements of some trigonometric inequalities.

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Branko Malesevic , Tatjana Lutovac , Marija Rasajski , Bojan Banjac

We give a broad survey of inequalities for the number of linear extensions of finite posets. We review many examples, discuss open problems, and present recent results on the subject. We emphasize the bounds, the equality conditions of the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Swee Hong Chan , Igor Pak

We study the upper tail of the number of arithmetic progressions of a given length in a random subset of {1,...,n}, establishing exponential bounds which are best possible up to constant factors in the exponent. The proof also extends to…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Lutz Warnke

The discrete isoperimetric inequality states that among all n -gons with a fixed area, the regular n -gon has the least perimeter. We prove analogues of the discrete isoperimetric inequality (involving circumradius or inradius) for cyclic…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Subash Chandra Behera , Shiv Parsad

Consider the upper tail probability that the homomorphism count of a fixed graph $H$ within a large sparse random graph $G_n$ exceeds its expected value by a fixed factor $1+\delta$. Going beyond the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi model, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-01 Sohom Bhattacharya , Amir Dembo

In this paper non-asymptotic exponential estimates are derived for the tail distribution of polynomial martingale differences in terms unconditional tails distributions of summands. Applications are considered in the theory of polynomials…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eugene Ostrovsky

(The third edition corrects minor typos and adds 3 chapters synthesized from published papers plus an appendix on maximum entropy distributions.) The monograph investigates the misapplication of conventional statistical techniques to fat…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-09-18 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We consider an inhomogeneous Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph ensemble with exponentially decaying random disconnection probabilities determined by an i.i.d. field of variables with heavy tails and infinite mean associated to the vertices of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Luca Avena , Diego Garlaschelli , Rajat Subhra Hazra , Margherita Lalli

We find two-sided inequalities for the generalized hypergeometric function of the form ${_{q+1}}F_{q}(-x)$ with positive parameters restricted by certain additional conditions. Both lower and upper bounds agree with the value of…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-02-03 D. Karp , S. M. Sitnik